What polls do you trust the most?

[liberalmediaaddict]

I've seen 17 different polls with 17 different forecasts about the midterm elections. Even the cable news networks seem to be chasing their own tails trying to get their predictions right.

Hard to know which to believe. Since their track record in 2016 and 2020 wasn't so great.

Do you have a primary poll you follow?

[Demsrule86]

1. I have seen no poll that takes into account the Roe vote which I believe will be massive.

[LenaBaby61]

9. REALLY THIS 👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻

[BlueCheeseAgain]

22. I hope you're right.

However, I keep asking myself: How can we tell is a poll is missing that factor? Why wouldn't a large group of voters angry about abortion not show up in a poll?

[boston bean]

2. The Nancy Pelosi poll.

She lets us know if Dems are doing good. When she is mums the word I worry.

[Meadowoak]

3. The one on Nov 8. All the rest are bullshit propaganda.

[liberalmediaaddict]

6. Good point!

The early voting numbers have been really high. I really hope that people are voting Democrat.

[WhiskeyGrinder]

4. I generally ignore polls.

[liberalmediaaddict]

7. I hear ya

But every other headline on DU is about a new poll. It's almost like trying to avoid seeing news headlines about Trump. Nearly impossible.

[LenaBaby61]

10. REALLY THIS 👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻

[sarisataka]

5. I only trust the polls

That support my preconceptions. All others are obviously wrong

Don't sweat the polls, just vote.

[Arkansas Granny]

8. I don't trust any of them. I don't pay attention to them anymore.

I don't know who they poll to get their numbers. I've never been contacted and I don't know anyone who has.

[Elessar Zappa]

14. I've been polled twice this election season.

[Arkansas Granny]

16. If you don't mind me asking, how were you contacted?

[Elessar Zappa]

17. My cell phone.

I get calls from doctor’s offices so I have to answer unknown numbers. I’ve been happy to tell them I’m voting for the Democrats and that I consider most Republicans seditionists.

[Just A Box Of Rain]

20. Real polls?

I'm a 100% lifetime voter (and never miss voting) since 1976 and that's in the public record.

Despite that, I've never been contacted by a reputable polling organization. Not once.

I have been subjected to "push-polls" that were transparently designed to nudge me towards supporting a candidate or issue under the false pretext of being a "poll."

Perhaps I've just been unlucky?

[Elessar Zappa]

23. They sounded unbiased to me.

Not sure if they’re reputable but the two I answered didn’t seem like push polls.

[Just A Box Of Rain]

24. Did you recognize the names of the polling organizations?

[Elessar Zappa]

26. I didn't.

But I don’t know all the polling organizations. So yes, it could’ve been something shady but the questions seemed normal. One asked me if I approved of Biden, who I was voting for for governor and a few other questions. The other poll asked me which House candidate I was voting for and some other questions.

[doc03]

11. None of them and not even the one in November

since Trump.

[Arkansas Granny]

12. Here's what the Divine Miss M thinks about the polls.

Link to tweet

?s=20&t=4i9Y-S-K5GIggXUvOxyZCg

Link to tweet

/photo/1?

[d_b]

13. None this cycle

Roe is the X factor

[AngryOldDem]

15. None of them.

I think polling has become totally meaningless and can discourage people from voting, which is probably the point behind most polls in the first place.

[GreenWave]

18. When we count, the presumption is one differs from another, hence the increase in number.

I would be shocked if you found 17 same polls.

Join the crusade to eliminate different for the sake of reinforcing a count number!

[LW1977]

19. The mail in voting poll

[BlueCheeseAgain]

21. It's really hard to know anymore.

Polling is so challenging these days when nobody answers their phone.

Having said that, I do think most media-sponsored polls carried out by reputable pollsters are honest, in that they are doing their best to measure sentiment. The result may end up suffering from bias based on who answers, and they may not do well in terms of correcting for that. But I don't think the big-name polls are cooking the results.

Polls sponsored by candidates, PACs, or other people with a vested interest in the outcome are more suspect, of course.

[WarGamer]

25. Easy. The polls that reinforce my own opinions and biases.

All the rest suck.

[Sympthsical]

27. Just do a general reading/collection

Instead of, "This poll good! This poll bad!"

Just sit down and dispassionately look at various factors, who's being polled, methodologies. Then look for trends, what voters are prioritizing, etc.

It'll give you a sense. No one knows exactly for sure 100% what will happen. But just looking objectively can give a generally vague idea.

People act like good vs bad polls is an actual fight they have to wage.

Because, internet priorities.