Generic Congressional ballot poll has Dems +5

[Qutzupalotl]

Link to tweet

Generic Congressional Ballot:

Democrats 47% (+5)
Republicans 42%

.@MorningConsult/@Politico, 2,005 RV, 10/28-31
https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000184-3674-ddd7-afd7-3ef41c9e0000

[LakeArenal]

1. Five posts from now a poll will be posted that says the opposite.

[OilemFirchen]

3. One post from now,

a poll will be posted five times that says the opposite.

[Ellipsis]

4. Actually out today...

2022 Generic Congressional Vote CNN Republicans 51, Democrats 47 Republicans +4
2022 Generic Congressional Vote NPR/PBS/Marist Republicans 49, Democrats 46 Republicans +3
2022 Generic Congressional Vote Quinnipiac Republicans 48, Democrats 44 Republicans +4
2022 Generic Congressional Vote Newsnation Republicans 45, Democrats 43 Republicans +2

[FBaggins]

7. Several of them in fact

Including another Morning Consult poll with different results.


Here’s hoping that this is the one that we look back on in a week as the one that saw things others missed.

[Sympthsical]

15. MC is paid surveys

I don't get into good/bad pollsters, because there's no point and you can spend forever cherry-picking based on preference.

But I really hate the paid survey method for a lot of reasons. Their results are almost always skewed heavily Democratic to a staggering degree. In 2020, they were a complete shitshow. They just bother me. Morning Consult and YouGov are the two polls I will instantly discount if they are outliers.

[FBaggins]

16. Well that's not good

Those are the only two with semi-encouraging figures for this metric.

[Sympthsical]

17. Just check out 538

This link:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/morning-consult/

Note their final polls and the results.

It's, like, not even close. And always towards us with the exception of Colorado. Wisconsin is just hilariously bad. And that was end of October as well.

[Amishman]

20. Magic 8 ball says Try Again Later

I guess I'll break out the Ouija board next

[Johnny2X2X]

2. Very nice

Dems need a good push.

I take all this polling data with a grain of salt because I think the pollsters had the toughest job ever this year. There simply isn't a way to incorporate Roe v Wade overturning into polling data, so they can't even try to bring it in.

[Wednesdays]

6. Great news, but take nothing for granted! GOTV!

GOTV! GOTV! GOTV!


https://www.democraticunderground.com/100217307798

[sarisataka]

8. FINALLY

An honest and fair poll that is unquestionably accurate.


Just Vote.

[Polybius]

9. Four other ratings were released today and show the opposite

CNN: Republicans 51, Democrats 47
NPR/PBS/Marist: Republicans 49, Democrats 46
Quinnipiac: Republicans 48, Democrats 44
Newsnation: Republicans 45, Democrats 43

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

[Alexander Of Assyria]

14. Puzzled why the fascists seem to be on the uptick in polls...is it the massive fearmongering ad

buys, followed by both siderism by the grateful media that gets that cargoship full of ad money?

Are people and voters so empty headed that TV ads fill the void so easily?

[Ace Rothstein]

19. Mainly Inflation

When people see their money not going as far as it used to then they aren't going to vote for the people in power. Picking up some sandwiches and chips at a sub shop for my family of four is closing in on $45. Grocery bills in the $150-200 range weekly when they were $120-150 a few years ago.

[Alexander Of Assyria]

21. Not that simple my opinion.

[JohnSJ]

10. Generic polls mean nothing

[Alexander Of Assyria]

11. They do as generic indicator of voter sentiment, which is why ppl pay for them.

Wish the pollsters would ask:

How important is saving democracy from Republican Party election denialism to you?

[JohnSJ]

18. They are not an indicator of how the midterms will turn out, just as national polls

becathat is how elections are determined, state by state, and for some it is psychologically misleading

[Peacetrain]

12. Alrighty now!!!

[tritsofme]

13. This is a good poll, because I like the results!