America's "violent crime wave" is a hoax.

[Nevilledog]

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Judd Legum

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Nov 3, 2022
@JuddLegum
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America's "violent crime wave" is a hoax.

Over the last 30 years violent crime is down dramatically.

And there is no recent increase.
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Judd Legum

@JuddLegum
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pewresearch.org
Violent crime is a key midterm voting issue, but what does the data say?
With Election Day approaching, here’s a closer look at voter attitudes on violent crime and an analysis of the nation’s violent crime rate.
3:04 PM · Nov 3, 2022

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/10/31/violent-crime-is-a-key-midterm-voting-issue-but-what-does-the-data-say/

Political candidates around the United States have released thousands of ads focusing on violent crime this year, and most registered voters see the issue as very important in the Nov. 8 midterm elections. But official statistics from the federal government paint a complicated picture when it comes to recent changes in the U.S. violent crime rate.

With Election Day approaching, here’s a closer look at voter attitudes about violent crime, as well as an analysis of the nation’s violent crime rate itself. All findings are drawn from Center surveys and the federal government’s two primary measures of crime: a large annual survey from the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) and an annual study of local police data from the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI).

How we did this

1. Around six-in-ten registered voters (61%) say violent crime is very important when making their decision about who to vote for in this year’s congressional elections. Violent crime ranks alongside energy policy and health care in perceived importance as a midterm issue, but far below the economy, according to the Center’s October survey.

2. Republican voters are much more likely than Democratic voters to see violent crime as a key voting issue this year. Roughly three-quarters of Republican and GOP-leaning registered voters (73%) say violent crime is very important to their vote, compared with around half of Democratic or Democratic-leaning registered voters (49%).

Conservative Republican voters are especially focused on the issue: About eight-in-ten (77%) see violent crime as very important to their vote, compared with 63% of moderate or liberal Republican voters, 65% of moderate or conservative Democratic voters and only about a third of liberal Democratic voters (34%).

*snip*

[SlimJimmy]

1. Using "registered" voters five days from an election is poll malfeasance.

This almost invalidates the poll. I've said it before and it's worth repeating, half or more of registered voters don't vote.

[RainCaster]

2. Violence? Let's talk about January 6

If you want to talk about violence, let's begin with that. Then we will move on to the election "observers".

[jimfields33]

3. It doesn't matter with this guy says.

People especially in New York City find crime to be a problem. How hard is it to say yes it’s a problem and we’re gonna do something about it. I find this one to be ridiculous trying to pretend that the woman didn’t just get killed by her ex-husband.

[Nevilledog]

5. Maybe it's time to think about HOW people are forming these opinions.

Vibes are not evidence.

People can either accept the studies and statistics or decide that media and anecdotal stories are more accurate.

[WhiskeyGrinder]

4. K&R

[crickets]

6. K&R for visibility.