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Nevilledog

(51,104 posts)
Sat Nov 5, 2022, 02:31 PM Nov 2022

Rosenberg: A "GOP flooding the zone w/shit polls" update




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A "GOP flooding the zone w/shit polls" update.

In GA last 5 "A" rated independent polls have Warnock up an average of 3.2 pts, and he leads in every poll.

In October Rs have dropped 15 different polls by *10* different pollsters. The last 5 of these have Walker up 4.4 pts. 1/

Perhaps my favorite of the firms to join the GOP flood the zone gravy train is Amber Integrated from Oklahoma.

They just dropped a new poll in GA (?), showing Walker leading by 3 of course.

This high-quality OK firm misspelled Herschel in their release 👇 2/



There's no question about what's happening here. Rs have launched major campaign to game the polling averages.

If you review GA R polls in early Oct had Warnock up. Then the campaign began and everything went negative.

Only do this if you're losing. 3/
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A party which:

- asked, received Russia's help in 2016
- worked for months to de-legitimize 2020 election
- tried to illegally install Trump as President
- led a mob to attack the final vote count

Is capable of dropping some bucks to game the polling averages. 4/

Responsible media organization should produce their own averages now just of respected, independent, non-partisan polls taken in recent weeks.

Such a set of averages would show no red wave, and Dems w/solid leads in AZ, GA, PA and clearly favored to win the Senate. 5/

Responsible media organizations should produce their own averages now just of respected, independent, non-partisan polls taken in recent weeks.

Such a set of averages would show no red wave, and Dems w/solid leads in AZ, GA, PA and clearly favored to win the Senate. 5/

More on the GOP's clear effort to game the poll averages.

A reminder - you only do something like this if you are losing. 6/




Both Nates are now acknowledging that we're seeing an unprecedented flooding of the averages by Rs.

Answer to all this is each major news org creating their own averages of high-quality, independent polling. It's not hard.

This year media got played. 7/




Um, Nate, Rs aren't releasing their polls. Almost no R candidate/party/IE polling has been released.

Campaigns don't usually release internals because they don't want other side to know what they're seeing.

Rs invented entire new class of polls - partisan bullshit polls. 8/
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Rosenberg: A "GOP flooding the zone w/shit polls" update (Original Post) Nevilledog Nov 2022 OP
Excellent compilation of critical information. Fiendish Thingy Nov 2022 #1

Fiendish Thingy

(15,616 posts)
1. Excellent compilation of critical information.
Sat Nov 5, 2022, 03:28 PM
Nov 2022

The biased polling flood is important, but those stats on turnout is even more significant IMO.

Those turnout stats gave me a good boost of optimism, thanks!

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