I'm not happy with the House race.

[EndlessWire]

Is there any hope? What am I not considering?

[JuJuChen]

1. thanks for posting, sorry. No hope in sight

[Claustrum]

2. Sadly, there is a reason 538 had the house going to republican 80/20 while

it's 60/40 for senate. The map for the House is too tough for us. We can only spare 5 seats when we already lost 3 in FL.

[msongs]

3. so far repubs are within one seat or so of getting the house...so far

they need 5 which they got in florida (or 3 some say) and maybe one in VA..so far

[jcgoldie]

4. The writing has been on the wall for awhile in the House

Midterm backlash vs sitting president + inflation... fundamentals too much...

The key at this point is to limit the damage... all of those swing house seats will come up in 2 years when we have renewed momentum. Any Senate seat we lose tonight is gone for 6 and will affect outcomes for the next 3 cycles. Those senate seats in GA PA NV AZ WI are gold.

[democrattotheend]

5. Pretty sure we will lose the House, but FWIW, my toss-up district looks good for now

NY-03 (Dem Open) was rated as a toss-up, and so far it looks really good. Major caveat: no results from Nassau yet, only a small number from Queens, and it may only be early votes. But I do recall a bit of a red mirage in this district in 2020 for President and Congress, though it's possible we changed the counting order. Early voting is very new in New York.

I still think Republicans will win the House, but it may not be the worst case scenario in terms of how many seats we lose.

[democrattotheend]

7. Nevermind about the red mirage

I just read on NYT that New York changed its counting order to allow early processing of mail ballots. This was not the case previously. I remember watching Wasserman on Twitter for weeks after the election in 2012 as mostly blue votes trickled in from New York and California (for those wondering why I cared, I was waiting for Romney's share of the popular vote to fall to 47%).

[BlueTsunami2018]

6. We were always going to lose the House.

Precedent, Gerrymandering and the unfortunate economic situation all but assured that.

No President has won seats in the House during their first midterm in over fifty years except W. And those were extraordinary circumstances.

It’s just how it goes. Americans aren’t very smart or patient.

Our only hope is to hold the Senate. That’s still possible if not probable.

[Orrex]

8. NPR called the House for Republikkkans on the day of Biden's inauguration

And they, among other members of the "Liberal Media" have happily repeated that prediction countless times since then.


Now I sit back and wait for someone to tell me that I haven't been listening to NPR doing exactly that for the past 2 years.

[EndlessWire]

9. TY.

I'm starting to feel like I felt when Hillary ran. There are so many things I don't understand. Why people vote the way they vote is beyond me. They reelected Rubio. Why did they reelect Rubio and Rand? Green? Desantis? What is wrong with people?

When they wake up with faux Hitler running the country, they won't be able to say they weren't warned.

[Beautiful Disaster]

10. I don't know why anyone thought the Democrats would win the House.

They'll lose it - but it'll be competitive.

[EndlessWire]

11. I'm just disappointed that people have chosen

fascism over Democracy. And, I am not looking forward to the damage that the repubs will do to the country, the vindictive behavior, and the encouragement of Trump. Never in my life would I have believed that our country would go down because of the likes of Trump.

Well, I don't have to hold back now from thoroughly despising those Repubs who proved tonight they weren't a fluke. I'm not giving up, but it will be ugly.

Can you imagine that Walker got over one million votes??? Why, just why??