General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsAny news on the PA state Senate?
I read somewhere Dems had a shot there at a majority.
Claustrum
(4,845 posts)gab13by13
(21,378 posts)the remaining votes are promising, Philly suburbs.
onetexan
(13,053 posts)d_b
(7,463 posts)No clue.
yellowcanine
(35,701 posts)kansasobama
(609 posts)BumRushDaShow
(129,296 posts)msongs
(67,430 posts)Both chambers absurdly gerrymandered, the senate even more so.
Orrex
(63,219 posts)BumRushDaShow
(129,296 posts)and notably because that latest map was under the purview of a (D) Governor and a (D)-majority State Supreme Court (vs the 2010 and later 2012 versions all done under a trifecta of (R)s). So they are not as absurd as they were before.
I know for the first time in like 25 years, I am in a new state House District.
I have heard all kinds of buzz this year that although Dems might not take either chamber, we could get close in one or both.
Cosmocat
(14,567 posts)They weren't ungerrymandered, they were modestly less gerrymandered.
dsp3000
(487 posts)BumRushDaShow
(129,296 posts)when a pile of racist cops moved out the city to Bucks County.
BumRushDaShow
(129,296 posts)they shifted more of the seats over here in the east.
By Kate Huangpu | Spotlight PA,
Stephen Caruso | Spotlight PA
Published October 31, 2022 at 1:07 PM EDT
(snip)
Democrats have a better chance in the state House
Operatives in both major parties agree that Democrats are likely to shrink Republicans 111-92 advantage in the state House because of the new lines.
Under the old map, 80 seats leaned Republican and 78 leaned Democratic, according to Daves Redistricting App. The rest were classified as competitive, with the electoral margin between the parties typically being less than 10 percentage points. Under the new map, 81 seats favor Republicans and 95 favor Democrats.
While Republicans nearly built a supermajority in the lower chamber in recent years, the new lines indicate Democrats will likely secure a larger share of the seats due (barring a major shift in voting patterns among the electorate.)
Why this dramatic shift occurred depends on who you ask. All will agree this is in part because of population shifts from the more rural west to the more suburban and urban east. Democrats backed by independent analysts add that the previous maps were drawn to aid Republicans. While Democrats regularly win statewide races, they havent had control of a legislative chamber since 2010.
Republicans counter that comparing statewide results and 253 individual races is like comparing apples and oranges, and argue that the old map was designed to protect western Pennsylvania Democrats who simply couldnt survive the post-Trump political realignment. The GOP has acknowledged that the new lines will likely cut into their margin, but its still an open question whether Democrats can flip the chamber.
(snip)
https://www.wesa.fm/politics-government/2022-10-31/how-redistricting-could-alter-control-of-the-pa-legislature-and-other-changes-to-watch-nov-8