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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(108,255 posts)
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 04:19 PM Nov 2022

Cortez Masto draws closer to Laxalt in Nevada Senate race

The Nevada Senate race has continued to tighten in the days since the Nov. 8 election, with Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) narrowing Republican Adam Laxalt’s lead late Thursday night.

At the time of writing, the incumbent senator trails Laxalt by just under 9,000 votes, giving him just a 1-point lead over her at 49 percent to 48 percent with 10 percent of votes in the state that still need to be counted. The counties with the highest number of votes still outstanding are Republican-heavy Lincoln County and Democratic-leaning Washoe County.

Democrats were concerned going into the midterms that a favorable political climate for Republicans, as well as the role that inflation has had on the economy in tourism-heavy Las Vegas, would hurt Cortez Masto in the race. Though the election is still too close to call, the senator is now within serious striking distance of Laxalt, raising Democratic hopes that she could still squeeze out a win.

Laxalt, a former state attorney who lost his 2018 GOP gubernatorial race to Gov. Steve Sisolak (D), had been shown leading Cortez Masto in a number of polls leading up to the midterms. Still, many on both sides of the aisle predicted the Nevada race would go down to the wire.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/cortez-masto-draws-closer-laxalt-125902851.html

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Cortez Masto draws closer to Laxalt in Nevada Senate race (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Nov 2022 OP
Sorry, this sounds to me like we need a Rick Strike sprint from behind bucolic_frolic Nov 2022 #1
Nevada rso Nov 2022 #2
Phoenix? Polybius Nov 2022 #4
Continental drift? GreenWave Nov 2022 #7
Las Vegas rso Nov 2022 #11
Pheonix is in AZ. Clark is Vegas Amishman Nov 2022 #5
The last two drops from Clark have favored lees1975 Nov 2022 #9
From your lips to God's ears! BComplex Nov 2022 #10
The mention of Lincoln county is somewhat misleading Amishman Nov 2022 #3
Come On Cortez Masto!! We need you! 🤞🤦‍♂️💕🤞 nt Cha Nov 2022 #6
CCM liked her chances far less than I did, was very apprehensive DFW Nov 2022 #8

rso

(2,273 posts)
2. Nevada
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 04:31 PM
Nov 2022

Actually, CNN just reported that the majority of outstanding votes are from Clark County, a Democratic area where Phoenix is located.

Amishman

(5,559 posts)
5. Pheonix is in AZ. Clark is Vegas
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 04:35 PM
Nov 2022

And while Clark is almost certainly the bulk of what is left (it has more votes than the rest of the state combined), the county overall is only slightly blue. It really will matter where and when these ballots are from in Clark.

lees1975

(3,886 posts)
9. The last two drops from Clark have favored
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 04:55 PM
Nov 2022

Cortez Masto at 63 percent and Washoe has been 58 percent. If that continues, she'll win by about 12000.

Amishman

(5,559 posts)
3. The mention of Lincoln county is somewhat misleading
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 04:34 PM
Nov 2022

Lincoln might have the lowest percentage reporting, but the population is tiny. Even at only 79% reporting, that is probably less than 500 votes left.

More significant is Douglas county, which has been +34 R and 22k votes so far, at 90% reporting as well. Carson City is only 81%, and has been +10 R with 20k votes.

That being said, Clark is now 93% in, and Washoe (86% in) has only been running +3 overall (admittedly slightly higher in recent batches).

We need the overall remaining votes to be +10% in our favor, so we need what is left out of Clark and Washoe to be significantly more than +10 D to offset the scraps out of Douglas and Carson City. Definitely possible, but will be agonizingly close from what I see.

edit: go read Ralston's twitter and ignore me. This is looking better than I thought

DFW

(54,445 posts)
8. CCM liked her chances far less than I did, was very apprehensive
Fri Nov 11, 2022, 04:54 PM
Nov 2022

She knew her situation a lot better, which is a good thing. It means she was going to work down to the wire to keep her seat. I would SO love for her to bring this one home. She gave me a verbal standing invitation to her swearing in party if she made it. That is one I plan to hold her to!!

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