NYT election map shows 22 seats to be determined - and 204 to 211

[NewHendoLib]

Current vote totals for each

Maine 2 - Dem 48-45
New York 22 - Rep 51-49
Colorado 3 - Rep 50.2-49.8
Colorado 8 - Dem 48.4-47.4
Arizona 1 - Dem 50.4-49.6
Arizona 6 - Rep 50.2-49.8
Alaska at large - Dem 47, Rep 27
Oregon 5 - Rep 51-49
Oregon 6 - Dem 50-48
CA 3 - Rep 53-47
CA 6 - Dem 56-44
CA 9 - Dem 56-44
CA 13 - Rep 50.1-49.9
CA 21 - Dem 55-45
CA 22 - Rep 53-47
CA 27 - Rep 55-45
CA 34 - Dem unopposed
CA 41 - Rep 50.7-49.3
CA 45 - Rep 54-46
CA 47 - Dem 51-49
CA 49 - Dem 52-48

If the above totals hold, 215 Dem, 221 Rep

We need to hold all of our leads, and grab CO3, AZ 6, CA 13 or CA 41

Any DUers from CO, AZ or CA - can we get three of these four?

[hlthe2b]

1. Colorado 3 basically on hold until next Wed when military, out-of country and cured votes are due.

It will be a stretch to break the 1100 or so lead Boebert has now and a recount is likely.

[Historic NY]

2. A lot of these have already been called.

These are uncalled NBC news

Ca 47 Porter v Baugh
Ca 22 Salas v Valadao
Co 3 Frisch v Boebert
Az 1 Hodge v Schweikert
Ak 1 Peltola v Palin
NY 22 Conole v William


[link:https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-elections/house-results|]

[gldstwmn]

5. CO 3 has not been called.

[Orangepeel]

6. that's their list of "key" uncalled races

the others are also uncalled, but NBC doesn't find them interesting, I guess.

[niyad]

12. I believe CA 47 has been called for Porter.

[Historic NY]

13. Not call she is a about 5000 ahead 72% in and the mail in votes have a week to arrive/

Katie Porter*
incumbent
Democrat 107,687 +51.3% 51.3%
Scott Baugh
Republican 102,350 +48.7% 48.7

[niyad]

14. Ah, thank you. I thought I saw a post here yesterday saying that it had

been called.

[Orangepeel]

3. % of vote in

AZ 6: 91%
CA 3: 51%
CA 13: 46%
CA 22: 39%
CA 27: 53%
CA 41: 53%
CA 45: 63%
CO 3: 99%
NY 22: 94%
OR 5: 93%


https://www.cnn.com/election/2022/results/house?election-data-id=2022-HG&election-painting-mode=projection&filter-key-races=false&filter-flipped=false

[gldstwmn]

4. These three are potential flips:

AZ6, CA13, CA41.

[SoCalDavidS]

7. They Can't Add

211 + 204 + 22 = 437, and there are only 435 seats.

[Doc Sportello]

8. Dave Wasserman says it will come down to five races

Toss Ups (5): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41

Democrats need to win all five.

[gldstwmn]

9. According to this report

there are 5000 ballots yet to be counted in CO 3.
https://www.coloradopolitics.com/elections/latest-boebert-frisch-watch-and-wait-as-ballot-count-inches-ahead-in-too-close-to/article_d0b30896-6222-11ed-b899-2762a98c5568.html
Thousands of ballots remain to be counted in the Colorado district, though most election officials in the sprawling, 27-county district suspended activity on Friday for the Veterans Day holiday, and so they didn't report new totals. Although ballot processing is set to resume on Monday, most counties in the district aren't expected to post new totals until later in the week.

That's because voters have until Wednesday to "cure" ballots that were initially rejected due to missing signatures or signatures that didn't appear to match the ones on file, or to provide missing ID, in some cases. Additionally, clerks are awaiting the arrival of ballots from military and overseas voters whose ballots were postmarked by 7 p.m. on Election Day.

County clerks are also waiting to process a small number of ballots — numbering around a dozen in smaller counties, though some larger counties have around 100 set aside, election officials say — until they can be counted in the same batches as the cured ballots and the ones received by the Nov. 16 deadline from military and overseas residents.
(snip)
According to political operatives' estimates, as many as 5,000 ballots remain uncounted or in transit — potentially enough to hand a win to either candidate, or to push the race into automatic recount territory.

[yardwork]

10. So we have to win all the races where we're ahead AND flip three?

That's not at all impossible. We could still win the House.

[secondwind]

11. We are 3 seats away from a tie in the House.

Doesn’t get any better than this!!!