BTRTN: Reports of Trump's Political Demise Are Greatly Exaggerated.

[reggieandlee]

Born To Run The Numbers looks at the media frenzy-du-jour: that Donald Trump was the “biggest loser” in the mid-terms, that his awful choices cost the Republicans the chance to flip the Senate, that the absence of a “red wave” was all his fault, and that Ron DeSantis is now the shiny new object of Republican affection. But has his grip on the Republican Party really been weakened?

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2022/11/btrtn-reports-of-trumps-political.html

Excerpts:
"Do we note anything missing from the pile-on? Maybe every major player in the Republican Party? Note to anyone who thinks that now, finally, the Republican Party is ready to move on from Donald Trump: Wake me up when any of Mitch McConnell, Lindsey Graham, or Kevin McCarthy walks up to a microphone and announces that the Republican Party should not nominate Trump in 2024...
"The minute Trump makes that announcement, the big Republican politicians will have microphones thrust in their faces and will be put on the spot: do they endorse Trump’s candidacy? That's when things will get interesting...
"So let’s be real. We’ve been to this party too many times, and we’ve never once had a good time. People thought that Trump was politically dead for his “grab’em by the pussy” video. For his appalling ignorance, sloth, and self-protecting political calculations during the Covid crisis. For Charlottesville. For separating immigrant children from their parents. For his own disastrous mid-terms. For the first impeachment. For losing the Presidency in 2020. For leading a bloody insurrection that was intended to topple our democracy. For urging a mob to violence against own his Vice President. For the second impeachment. For stealing top secret documents. And now Trump will lose his iron grip on Republicans his candidates performed poorly in the midterms?... I don't think so."

[Thomas Hurt]

1. Of course, his cult of personality and the whackjobs who inhabit it haven't gone anywhere.

I believe the numbers are thinning but they still represent a base that the more sane GOP has to deal with.

[secondwind]

2. I think he's toast. My opinion.

[sop]

3. Trump only maintains his iron grip on the GOP if he is not prosecuted for his many crimes.

[reggieandlee]

6. Not sure I agree that Trump's grip would be weakened by prosecution

There is nothing preventing a convicted felon from running for, or serving as President of the United States. Even from prison.

The day Trump gets indicted on any of the charges will be the biggest fundraising day in Republican Party history.

An indictment, trial, and conviction would only serve to further energize Trump's base, as they all believe that the prosecutions are politically motivated witch hunts.

I think one reason Trump is going to run for President is because it is one of his very best legal strategies for avoiding legal catastrophe.

[Zorro]

4. I think we have passed peak MAGA

[Deminpenn]

5. Me, too

but they will always be among us.

[ProfessorGAC]

7. I Think They've Twisted Themselves...

...into a pretzel refuting an argument nobody is making.

[PortTack]

8. BTRTN was way off in with their midterm predictions..I don't think he got this one right either

[reggieandlee]

9. Way off in our mid term predictions? Uh, take a look at this...

Uh, are you sure about that?

BTRTN correctly called 34 out of 35 Senate races.
BTRTN correctly called every single on of the 35 Governor races that have been settled.
BTRTN said that the House would flip Republican, which it is likely to do.

So please tell me exactly how you conclude that BTRTN was "off" on its midterm predictions???