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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums" Guys, I gotta say, I think Dark Brandon & team absolutely nailed this."
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/5/27/2171833/-Guys-I-gotta-say-I-think-Dark-Brandon-team-absolutely-nailed-thisGuys, I gotta say, I think Dark Brandon & team absolutely nailed this.
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Sunday May 28, 2023 · 1:42 AM EDT
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Morning update: Nice to see this discussion happen while I was asleep. The morning after, I find myself thinking more and more about Kevin McCarthy. Why on Earth did he accept such a weak deal? I think, as noted quickly below, that the GOPs oligarch puppet masters must have told him enough is enough.
Just a few quick thoughts.
Truth is, Im stunned at how well Biden did. That assessment has to start with the caveat that the entire Democratic leadership screwed up not killing the debt ceiling when we had a real shot during past moments of united governance.
That said. Two weeks ago, I believed McCarthy and the Vandals absolutely were willing to push the US in to default. Tonight I certainly believe the Vandals still are. Ronna McDaniel sure seemed to suggest as much with her Kinsley Gaffe the other day. But clearly, tonight, it seems that Kevin McCarthy is not. Im inclined to think thats because the oligarchs who run the GOP (not to mention SCOTUS) actually do think they have more to lose from a global economic crash than they have to gain from the resulting Shock Doctrine moment. Lucky for the rest of us.
But lets get real. Biden got a TWO-YEAR debt ceiling reprieve (which might be more than enough to kill it forever in court), and all we lost was work rules for SNAP benefits for childless people under 55, which wont even change the total amount of money spent on SNAP benefits. Changes to environmental permitting regulations which I wont pretend I know very much about yet, but doubt I will like them. But absolutely no change to the historic IRA bills climate provisions. No change to Medicaid provisions at all? (Im not quite clear on these details yet.)
And two years of flat government spending, which obviously isnt ideal at all but, as Matt Yglesias pointed out in his email tonight, is precisely what the GOP could get anyway just by forcing through two years of continuing resolutions through the election.
Thats it? Thats what Kevin McCarthy got?
The debt ceiling is defanged through 2025 (and hopefully forever). The market will pop Monday morning because Joe Biden protected the global economy by pushing through a bipartisan deal that almost all of us, just a week ago, would have thought impossible. And which the extremes of both parties are going to scream against and maybe vote against.
And lets talk about those extremes.
Starting with the Vandals. I think (and hope) that what were now about to witness is the defanging of the Freedom Caucus supposed hold over the GOP and American politics. Theyre going to try and tank this deal. McCarthys going to get most of the GOP and, I believe, plenty of the Democrats as well. Maybe then theyll try to depose him as Speaker. Who will win that vote? Will any Democrats support him in exchange for what hes doing now? All pure speculation.
What I do know is that if the Republican candidate wins in 2024 we might expect that the GOP will also keep the House and take the Senate, and lord only knows how our free republic survives that scenario. And I believe that by cutting this deal Biden is going a long way toward winning in 2024. Because for sure this deal goes a long way to stabilize the economy I have wanted to see Biden invoke the 14th all along, Ive been an absolutist who believed he shouldnt give the Vandals anything. Not a crumb.
Dark Brandon is much smarter than that. While were nursing our grievances over the cruel and stupid concessions that we shouldnt have had to make to the opposition, lets please remember what were protecting. Joe Biden, who I never supported for the 2020 nomination and did not believe was the person for the moment, and whom I still find woefully deficient as keeper of the bully pulpit, nonetheless continues to amass a record of effective progressive governance that hasnt been equalled by any Democratic president since LBJ and FDR before him. Im still stunned to read and reread the collected legislation that this administration has passed over the past two years through razor-thin majorities at the perpetual mercy of the likes of Manchin and Sinema. None of that was touched today. Not even close. And as noted: the budgets agreed to are the same flat-line budgets the Republicans could have and surely would have had through CRs anyway. Its a deal for two years, removing one huge risk for Biden in 2024. And Biden is going to be the great conciliator, presiding over bipartisan governance, just like he always promised America he could be.
And there wont be an economic crisis over this. And the likes of MTG, Gaetz, and the rest of them are going to get stuffed.
I forgot to talk about our sides extremes. if thats us I just dont think we have a lot to complain about and I think we have a lot to be grateful for. I think the awesome Joan McCarter got it really wrong yesterday. I think the provisions Biden had to surrender in order to close this deal are nowhere near the level of what we all gained. Nor anywhere near the level of what would have been at risk if Biden (and, it must be said, McCarthy) allowed it to through to the deadline, the 14th, who knows what.
And maybe most of all, I think what Biden pulled off here remember that Dolt 45 was out there urging the GOP to push to default is going to help us win next year. Which we absolutely absolutely absolutely must.
bucolic_frolic
(43,576 posts)I imagine negotiators on both sides were unaware of this, but it was a point of discussion between President Biden and McCarthy. Kev got talked back toward the political middle, albeit in small terms. 'This is the way you consolidate power, Kev. Let extremists fiddle.' Is it an Irish politician understanding?
"Changes to environmental permitting regulations" are a concern, but the GOP would do it when in power anyway, and SCOTUS is breathing down green necks too.
AllaN01Bear
(18,891 posts)thinks mr prez.
bucolic_frolic
(43,576 posts)In politics there's always the flip side
True Blue American
(17,998 posts)True Blue American
(17,998 posts)Big time! Trump was demanding default!
Walleye
(31,168 posts)peggysue2
(10,854 posts)Whenever I read OP's similar to this, an OMG can you believe what Joe Biden pulled off moment, I'm reminded that Biden is indeed underestimated in all the skills he's honed over the years--legislating, negotiating, working the room. People forget that the art of politics is a learned skill. Add an intuitive touch (touch of the Irish schmooze, if you will) along with Biden's experience factor and we can all be grateful that this particular man is at the helm steering the Ship of State through very troubled waters.
Being underestimated has played to Joe Biden's advantage and to the advantage of us all.
Thank God for that!!
Srkdqltr
(6,398 posts)To pull this off. The dems should see that McCarthy stays in. Seems like he is easy.
2naSalit
(87,012 posts)Sellout. Margie might have his nuts but Biden's got his number and knew when to dial.
Srkdqltr
(6,398 posts)2naSalit
(87,012 posts)It's just a matter of who has the most interesting treats, he'll go home with them until the goodies run out.
sheshe2
(84,102 posts)yardwork
(61,827 posts)Biden honed his skills as a negotiator who got things done over decades of service. The Affordable Care Act is just one of his many remarkable successes. The guy can work a room.
I had no doubt that Biden would succeed in averting this disaster but I'm only now learning how little we actually gave up.
True Blue American
(17,998 posts)Including what he did for Obama!
CTyankee
(63,935 posts)He knows things and gets stuff done.
AllyCat
(16,277 posts)True Blue American
(17,998 posts)Mopar151
(10,014 posts)After a meeting with the freedumb caucus, President Biden must seem like Kev Boy's newest best friend.
DemBlue76
(78 posts)McCarthy now sees he is not a complete hostage to the freedumbs. I do wonder what happens if one plays the 'no confidence' card. Does he have to be elected again by the full House?
True Blue American
(17,998 posts)They already said they would.
InstantGratification
(175 posts)One congress member can call for a no confidence vote. That doesn't take McCarthy out of the speaker's seat, it forces a vote to remove him and that takes a majority vote just like it did to put him there in the first place. I would imagine that an unwritten promise behind this deal is that Dems promise to help keep him in the speaker's seat if the FreeDumb members go after McCarthy.
Biden now has a certain leverage over McCarthy. Kevin back stabbed the FreeDumb caucus by reneging on the promises he made to them to get the speaker's gavel. If McCarthy tries to renege on the promises he made in this deal, Dems support the freedumb causes in a vote to remove him. If he honors the deal, Dems support keeping the gavel in Kevin's hands.
How much leverage that turns out to be depends on Reps. If they revolt against McCarthy, he has to work with Dems to keep the gavel. If they drop back into line behind him, then it goes back to business as usual in the house with a razor thin Rep majority unable to get out of it's own way to get work done.
Unwind Your Mind
(2,044 posts)Well said
AllyCat
(16,277 posts)Love your explanation.
InstantGratification
(175 posts)Numbers in the House: 213 Democrats and 222 Republicans. Just to show how precarious McCarthy's position could be:
To remove him from the Speakership would take 218 votes.
With no Democratic votes, if 4 Republicans stick with him (he gets to vote too), then those 5 votes leave Republicans with 217 and the removal fails.
To remove him if every Democrat votes to remove takes just 5 Republicans going along.
Analysis from that: The Freedom Caucus is pissed at McCarthy right now, one or more of them may actually call for a vote to remove. There is no way they have enough votes to do it with only Republican votes, at least 4 will stick with McCarthy.
I think its a pretty safe assumption that, as part of this deal, McCarthy got some assurances from Democrats that they would stay out of it if that happens. Likewise, I think they let him know that if he double crosses them, they will support any Freedom Caucus effort to remove him and that would mean just 5 Republicans would need to vote in favor of removal.
Bottom line: Depending on how many of the Freedom Caucus members hold a grudge against him, Kevin McCarthy's Speakership just got much weaker. He has to appease his caucus to keep them in line, but he can't risk double crossing Democrats unless he is 100% sure that there aren't 5 members of the Freedom Caucus willing to back stab him the way he did to them.
True Blue American
(17,998 posts)I think Kevin working with Biden shows he is sensible, unlike those he had to embrace to get the votes to be Speaker.
I am reading what is in the bill. Rescinding SOME IRS FUNDING! Not all!
True Blue American
(17,998 posts)Democrats have already assured McCarthy they would back him if they tried that. This is a threat from the lunatic brigade that Kevin had to pacify to become Speaker. They no longer control.
People are now laughing at them as they fail.
multigraincracker
(32,764 posts)History will look kindly a Joe. Airports, Post Offices and Highways will carry his name.
roamer65
(36,748 posts)tclambert
(11,087 posts)There are a couple of elementary schools named after George W. Bush.
I would think a school named after Trump might collapse from the weight of the irony.
JohnnyRingo
(18,702 posts)...not if it cost them very real money on their market investments.
Because of that, it was always a bluff. They had no choice but to raise the ceiling or fall into the basement with the stock market.
TaraG
(28 posts)I, too, thought that MAGAts, at Trump's direction, planned to crash the economy. We still have to see if both sides can get the votes to pass this thing, of course, but it seems they will. Biden made a passing reference to ending that debt ceiling procedure AFTER an agreement is reached. I hope this becomes a priority in the next few months. We can't give Republicans the opportunity to destroy the country through the debt ceiling ever again.
yardwork
(61,827 posts)The only way to get rid of it is for us to elect a Democratic majority in both houses of Congress.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,426 posts)since they're the ones best positioned to get away with shady tax stuff if the IRS doesn't have the personnel to investigate. Ironically, in the long term this will increase federal debt since the IRS hiring would have more than paid for itself. But GOP donors aren't interested in the actual federal debt, they're interested in getting more money for themselves.
True Blue American
(17,998 posts)muriel_volestrangler
(101,426 posts)https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/27/politics/whats-in-the-debt-ceiling-deal/index.html
Mopar151
(10,014 posts)Attack from the other flank! Time for Tax Reform, done quietly. Winding down on Wal-Mart to recover income tax equal to the public assistance their underpaid staff draws. Undoing the subsidies to the oil industry while they are obscenely profitable? That'll help!
JudyM
(29,294 posts)PatSeg
(47,780 posts)jaxexpat
(6,887 posts)repercussions for stumbles over the next few days, they'll lay squarely on the GOP soul pirates. I glow!
Demsrule86
(68,873 posts)Manchin ET AL. Joe does just fine. He used the bully pulpit in 22...abortion of course, but also our Republic was endangered... the media fell all over themselves laughing...but that was the second most important issue that was polled in exit polls. He has gotten more legislation through than any president since Johnson and Maybe Roosevelt...I consider Pres. Biden and Obama are the best presidents in my lifetime in terms of legislation. President Obama got us healthcare after 100 years of trying.
And of course, President Biden has gotten much legislation through and hopefully, the debt ceiling is included and will pass. For those who never liked Biden and post every negative poll they see, I say to them we are damned lucky to have Biden who is going to win the General in 24. I hear Biden is pushing a 50-state election strategy and he is right...don't what will happen but we must reach out to all states. The last time, we had a 60-state majority was when Howard Dean used his 50-state strategy.
Also, I have no doubt President Biden presented this agreement to Kevin McCarthy as a way to save his speakership and the country...with Democrats helping him retain the position of speaker, the MAGA wing is pretty much declawed. And Kevin owes us and depends upon us.
flamingdem
(39,342 posts)Demsrule86
(68,873 posts)calimary
(81,612 posts)And in the White House where we need him most. I think Walleyes assessment of Bidens superpower is indeed being underestimated.
Demsrule86
(68,873 posts)nominee in 20...and I saw the Young Turks broadcast when Biden won Super Tuesday and the one after that. It was pretty hilarious. Of course, they are still at it today with dire warnings that Biden isn't our friend. They are wrong as usual.
calimary
(81,612 posts)He must have a WHALE of a great agent, maybe someone with some powerful leverage because of a super stellar talent list.
I can think of dozens of other news people and broadcasters who deserve that kind of high-profile exposure more than that LITTLE talent. Hell, even ID be better at it than he is. Hes a real peewee in a lineup that might otherwise resemble a progressive Mount Rushmore.
I often play a mind game imagining what Id do if I ran MSNBC. First on my to-do list would be getting rid of Chris Hayes. Hes not fit to polish Rachel Maddows boots.
Demsrule86
(68,873 posts)Much political knowledge. My favorite is The last word.
calimary
(81,612 posts)Hes got both experience and gravitas. I like his perspective and analysis on the issues, too.
Im not looking for a pretty face or high Q score. I want the knowledge and experience and years in the arena that give it to you.
Demsrule86
(68,873 posts)he understood politics and had experience. Of course, O'Donnell is much better.
calimary
(81,612 posts)Youre apt to get a saliva shower.
betsuni
(25,845 posts)Reade: "I stand with @RT.com. We need balance in the media not more censorship. I respect my colleagues who are all over the globe that work for RT. I will always support RT. You will not silence or suppress truth, western governments."
Oops, RT fired her anyway.
Now she makes appearances at weirdo fringe groups that love to hear that Russia had every right to invade Ukraine, Russia good, U.S. very very bad (meaning Democrats). "I see the Russian flags out there. Hello Russia!" "Dear western empire. You will never successfully keep your boot on my throat. Never. I will not be silenced." As long as she gets paid for appearances there will not be silence.
There's a fun video compilation of The Young Turks and those types frothing at the mouth in the usual Teh Establishment Cannot Stop Us way, then the actual real live base of the Democratic Party voted on Super Tuesday. I wonder if they had to admit to themselves that they're wrong about who the base is, about why people vote for Republicans (no, it's not Democrats fault). Wrong about so much.
Demsrule86
(68,873 posts)Because he wanted to.
betsuni
(25,845 posts)a Russian asset and now kind of defector's obvious bullshit.
Demsrule86
(68,873 posts)betsuni
(25,845 posts)and all-you-drink vodka. Fabulous!
Demsrule86
(68,873 posts)Assuming they ever did. Many but not all who believed this nonsense still don't like Biden and complain about his age and breathlessly post 'polls' that claim to show he is unpopular. Of course, national polls done more than a year before an election and many with a righty spin using the usual tricks...small sample sizes, more Republicans than Democrats, and adding right-leaning 'independents' for good measure are completely useless.
vlyons
(10,252 posts)For starters, we women have not stopped being pissed over abortion rights. Add to that the sheer indifference to the well being of everyone WORLDWIDE, if the US defaulted on its debt. Maybe the rich oligarchs could weather the loss of a few millions, but corporate CEOs were having none of it.
I still can't get over that the GOP doesn't give a hoot about how much pain their stupidity inflicts on others. They think they are just hurting libs, but they hurt their own base as well.
Vote these assholes OUT!
Phoenix61
(17,028 posts)Between women and their allies pissed about losing reproductive rights and young people tired of no one doing anything about the insane level of gun violence, I think the repukes are going to get slapped into the next decade.
vlyons
(10,252 posts)losing campaign money from Exxon and gun manufacturers.
TexasBushwhacker
(20,257 posts)In no way am I minimizing the impact of the Dobbs ruling on the fertile women of America but ....
Imagine being a young, single, sexually active man who has to worry about knocking up a partner, who doesn't want a child any more than he does, and being FORCED to continue the pregnancy. Will he be on the hook for child support for the next 18 years? Sure, he can and should wear a condom for disease prevention if nothing else. But he's in college. He's already taken out student loans. Is he going to have to be celibate until he's ready for fatherhood? Should be get a vasectomy and then hope he can get it reversed when he wants to become a father later?
Imagine being a couple interested in starting or expanding their family, ON THEIR OWN TIMELINE.
Imagine being the partner of a woman who has already had a high risk pregnancy. Should they take a chance with another? What if she can't terminate when it's apparent her life is in danger? How close to death will she have to be IN THEIR HOME STATE to get an abortion?
Imagine being the parents of an intelligent, ambitious young woman who is studying to be a doctor. They have already paid tens of thousands of dollars to finance her education, when she becomes pregnant during her second year of med school. What now?
Taking away the right to a safe, legal abortion affects EVERYONE.
Beartracks
(12,847 posts)... if it isn't already somewhere.
===========
Demsrule86
(68,873 posts)IbogaProject
(2,866 posts)Handcuffing us in case of economic crisis could still cause problems. We just have to focus on economics in the upcoming elections. Our not being selfish meanies should just be icing on the cake.
patphil
(6,266 posts)He knows how to pull the levers, spin the wheels, and press the buttons to get the job done. He's truly a remarkable man, and a great president.
We need to pull together to keep the Biden/Harris team in Office in 2025.
And also gain control of both Houses of Congress.
calimary
(81,612 posts)Attilatheblond
(2,280 posts)And the experience Biden's exceptional team is getting is an incredible investment in the future. Some amazing talent on the team, and they are learning from a master, so they can carry the heavy load of good governance even further than Biden's years at the helm.
Then, there are all the young people looking on, growing hope and strength within themselves. Ah, so much to worry about in these times, but, damn, what a fine garden Biden is growing to assure our future.
calimary
(81,612 posts)Thats a colossal human investment in our countrys future! Having the Biden administration on your resume wont hurt a bit! Hes planted some outstanding seeds in the garden, thats for sure. What a legacy hell leave, not just in government but also potentially for the private sector as well. Theyll have witnessed effective management first-hand.
yorkster
(1,542 posts)with Manchin and Sinema in the picture, even though we had the House then and a majority of 1 in the Senate with VP Harris?
This deal if it passes buys time until after the elections and if we are successful in 2024 we should end the debt ceiling stat.
Unwind Your Mind
(2,044 posts)And we know exactly who the holdouts would have been
yorkster
(1,542 posts)Martin Eden
(12,888 posts)Concessions do not consist of having only some of your demands met in a manufactured crisis.
A concession in a "deal" outside normal annual budgetary negotiations means giving up something you already have in previously legislated policy.
The federal budget and deficit have two sides of the ledger: taxes and spending.
President Biden gave concessions with spending cuts and/or caps to existing programs Democrats fought for and enacted into law.
What did McCarthy give up in terms of rescinding at least a portion of the huge tax cuts for millionaires and wealthy corporations which drove the record highest deficit during a one term presidency, as they unquestionably raised the debt ceiling three times?
As I stated earier, this was not the normal legislative budgetary process. The Republican House majority was essentially holding hostage the full faith and credit of the United States -- along with the American and world economies -- to extract concessions outside the normal budgetary process.
All of which is not to criticise President Biden. He very likely averted a catastrophe which the nihilists in the "freedom caucus" were perfectly willing if not eager to inflict on the American people and the world. I have little doubt that our president through his wisdom and skill and long experience produced the best possible outcome.
What I am trying to do here is provide some necessary perspective.
This is a victory only to the extent that a terrible catastrophe was averted and that, hopefully, public perception accrues more to Democrats in the 2024 election.
But McCarthy and his gang extracted concessions without making any concessions of their own. Reducing the extent of their unreasonable demands is not a concession. Paying our nation's bills (which they have yet to do) is not a concession.
Negotiating with hostage takers and giving in to ANY of their demands is not a good thing.
Though, perhaps, necessary.
And that is a sad testament to the state of our nation.
FoxNewsSucks
(10,447 posts)Those who do mention it will be criticized despite the truth. Simply repealing the tRump tax cuts would solve a lot of budgetary problems.
But as usual, the environment the poor and childless get sacrificed to preserve billionaire and corporate wealth.
Martin Eden
(12,888 posts)The implied threat of wrecking our economy unless demands are met should NEVER be normalized and framed as bothsiderism politics.
Hostage taking is a mild description of what Republicans are doing. Threatening catastrophe is economic terrorism.
FoxNewsSucks
(10,447 posts)with the total corporate ownership of all US media.
BumRushDaShow
(130,156 posts)Well the most "immediate" is that the GOP "policy agenda" bill that passed in the House that I posted about here - https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1002&pid=17951590
H.R.2811 - Limit, Save, Grow Act of 2023
which included items that were repeals of Democratic policies as well as taking control over Executive Branch regulatory authority, that they were NOT going to bargain away.
Yet they just did.
The irony here is that we have done a pendulum swing from a period where the "Unitary Executive" theory was promoted under Shrub, to one where both congressional GOPers AND a conservative SCOTUS, have moved to knee-cap the Executive Branch.
goes nowhere...
I.e., this agreement, should it make it to Biden's desk (in whatever form as there might be attempts to amend it) moots that draconian piece of garbage that would have been DOA in the Senate anyway.
For example, what was in that package was this -
SEC. 251. Rescission of certain balances made available to the Internal Revenue Service.
The unobligated balances of amounts appropriated or otherwise made available for activities of the Internal Revenue Service by paragraphs (1)(A)(ii), (1)(A)(iii), (1)(B), (2), (3), (4), and (5) of section 10301 of Public Law 117169 (commonly known as the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022) as of the date of the enactment of this Act are rescinded.
The above was in reference to provisions enacted in this - H.R.5376 - Inflation Reduction Act of 2022
TITLE I--COMMITTEE ON FINANCE
Subtitle A--Deficit Reduction
(snip)
Part 3--Funding the Internal Revenue Service and Improving Taxpayer Compliance
(Sec. 10301) The act provides additional funding for the Internal Revenue Service for taxpayer services and enforcement, including for operations support, business systems modernization, and the development of a free direct e-file tax return system. It also provides additional funding for the Department of the Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration, the Office of Tax Policy, the Tax Court, and Treasury departmental offices.
(snip)
The CRS (Congressional Research Service) summarized this (text version here - & PDF is here)
Internal Revenue Service Appropriations, FY2023
(snip)
P.L. 117-169 (Inflation Reduction Act)
In August 2022, President Biden signed into law P.L. 117-
169, commonly called the Inflation Reduction Act or IRA,
which included $78.9 billion in mandatory funding for the
IRS; the funds are available for obligation until September
30, 2031. The law specified how that amount should be
distributed among the IRSs four appropriations accounts.
These funds are available regardless of the amounts
received by the IRS through annual appropriations. The
figures in Table 1 exclude IRAs mandatory funding. This
is the first time that Congress has approved multiyear
funding for the IRSs appropriations accounts.
(snip)
And rather than a complete "rescission of funds" (which were to be allocated over 10 years), there was a $10 billion reduction, which was a concession by McCarthy.
But as a note and something to keep in mind - look what ELSE was in Biden's "Inflation Reduction Act" (i.e., right at the very top of the "summary" page) - https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/5376
TITLE I--COMMITTEE ON FINANCE
Subtitle A--Deficit Reduction
Part 1--Corporate Tax Reform
(Sec. 10101) This act imposes an alternative minimum tax of 15% of the average annual adjusted financial statement income of domestic corporations (excluding Subchapter S corporations, regulated investment companies, and real estate investment trusts) that exceeds $1 billion over a specified 3-year period. The tax is effective in taxable years beginning after December 31, 2022.
Part 2--Excise Tax on Repurchase of Corporate Stock
(Sec. 10201) The act imposes a non-deductible 1% excise tax on the fair market value of stock repurchased by a publicly traded domestic corporation after 2022, with certain exceptions, including for repurchases that are part of a reorganization, are less than $1 million, that are contributed to certain tax-exempt retirement plans, or that are treated as a dividend. The tax applies to purchases of corporate stock by certain corporate subsidiaries and foreign corporations.
So there was already some "take back" of what was in - H.R.1 - An Act to provide for reconciliation pursuant to titles II and V of the concurrent resolution on the budget for fiscal year 2018 (Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017)
I.e., from the "summary" of the tax cuts for the wealthy (and corporations) bill - https://www.congress.gov/bill/115th-congress/house-bill/1
(This measure has not been amended since the House agreed to the Senate amendment without amendment on December 20, 2017. The summary of that version is repeated here.)
This bill amends the Internal Revenue Code (IRC) to reduce tax rates and modify policies, credits, and deductions for individuals and businesses. It also establishes an oil and gas leasing program for the Coastal Plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) in Alaska.
(Unless otherwise specified, provisions referred to in this summary as temporary or as a suspension of an existing provision apply for taxable years beginning after December 31, 2017, and before January 1, 2026.)
(snip)
Subtitle B--Alternative Minimum Tax
(Sec. 12001) This section repeals the corporate alternative minimum tax (AMT).
(snip)
And from the "tax cuts" law text - https://www.congress.gov/bill/115th-congress/house-bill/1/text
Subtitle B--Alternative Minimum Tax
SEC. 12001. REPEAL OF TAX FOR CORPORATIONS.
(a) In General.--Section 55(a) is amended by striking ``There'' and
inserting ``In the case of a taxpayer other than a corporation, there''.
(b) Conforming Amendments.--(1) Section 38(c)(6) is amended by adding at the end the
following new subparagraph:
``(E) Corporations.--In the case of a corporation,
this subsection shall be applied by treating the
corporation as having a tentative minimum tax of
zero.''.
(2) Section 53(d)(2) is amended by inserting ``, except that
in the case of a corporation, the tentative minimum tax shall be
treated as zero'' before the period at the end.
(snip)
Overall though, since the tax cuts for the wealthy was passed by the GOP via "reconciliation", that means it automatically sunsets after 10 years (which would mean, around 2027/2028) unless it is extended by legislation.
The 725 page "Inflation Reduction Act" has other stuff that was snuck in there and I know some other stuff was mentioned but I haven't had chance to delve into it.
I say this because while these things were being negotiated and making their way through Congress, complete with reality show-type drama of getting the 51 votes for reconciliation that the Inflation Reduction Act needed (like the that tax cuts for the wealthy bill), there were already claw-backs and other provisions that happened in that bill that became law and that were Democratic policy items (many of which were spearheaded by Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren and others).
Hekate
(91,059 posts)paleotn
(18,015 posts)Equities are up and treasuries haven't been doing crazy things. Treasuries reacted much stronger to the banking issues earlier this year and inflation worries. As I said before, there's no way the monied folks (that includes not only the movers and shakers of the financial world, but the collective voice of all of us with 401Ks, IRAs etc., etc.) would allow the crazies to crash the financial system. Wasn't going to happen. Period.
So, the only real loser from all this kabuki theater is Kevin McCarthy. I'd have to look it up, but I think he may end up with the shortest speakership in US history.
ExWhoDoesntCare
(4,741 posts)That McCarthy will be there until the end of this legislative session on 31 Dec 2024.
It took 15 tries to elect him because too many of the traitor party thugs refused to vote for him. The disarray was on their side. The Democrats held firm on theirs.
Now that he has the gavel, the Democrats will neither help McCarthy nor hurt him. They'll make the traitor thugs keep him or toss him, all on their own. The Ds don't like him, but they don't like anyone else that the other side of the aisle would nominate any better. So why get involved in that wankfest?
The Democrats are the smart party. That's why they will stay out of traitor party leadership battles. Make the traitors own that, all on their own, with no help from the correct side of the aisle.
BumRushDaShow
(130,156 posts)This has increasingly become an idiotic "talking point" that not only buys into and magnifies the asinine "Democrats in Disarray®" sentiment, but also exposes a lack of knowledge about how the reconciliation process is done, what options were available for it, and what priorities were being rearranged in a literal 50-50 split Senate, to get some form of a final piece of a fractured BBB (Build Back Better) initiative, enacted.
This was all then cloaked in a "damning with faint praise" dissertation to try to give the piece some kind of legitimacy.
Then you have this click-bait nonsense -
Unless this DKos author is talking about overseas (or perhaps some futures markets that might have opened with abbreviated hours), "the market (sic) " is closed today because guess what?
And then this reveals more -
Joe Biden has been in office as President of the United States since January 20, 2021, just after noon, yet the insults continue, despite more "damning with faint praise" nonsense.
I'm sorry, but despite its attempt at having an "appearance" of "wow look what we did!!11!!1!!", the whole thing just falls flat.
I know people might disagree with me but I increasingly get frustrated with people who come off like this who apparently haven't been paying attention the past couple years.
And they also forget that Joe Biden WAS a Senator for 35 years and if he were still there, he would literally be the most senior (not in terms of age as there is this stupid fixation on that), but in terms of when he was first elected to that body, and as the euphemism goes, "he knows where the bodies are buried". He was also VP for 8 years (which also made him the official "President of the Senate" ). When you have a guy who goes back to this -
no other, save for maybe Nixon (who had a few years in the U.S. House, a few years in the U.S. Senate, and then 8 years as a VP before becoming a President), with a couple others like Buchanan (with extensive House/Senate experience but never a VP) or Tyler (with similar to Buchanan but only a month as VP), comes close.
Major Nikon
(36,828 posts)Now that federal government borrowing has been freed up the supply of government securities will be high necessitating higher yields. This will make these investments more attractive to some and drain capital away from the equities markets. I wouldn't be surprised to see an equities market downturn this week. Personally I'm nearly 100% vested in government securities which I did when all of this mess started to preserve my own interests. I'm in no hurry to get back into the equity market.
BumRushDaShow
(130,156 posts)since the start of the pandemic and is still reeling from the oddball takes about what the state of the economy is "supposed to be", that they have spent the past several years completely missing the mark about with their "estimates" for all kinds of indicators. And it also goes back even earlier to the collapse in 2007/2008 when house of cards that made up some of the types of vehicles for trading, completely collapsed - basically doing what you mention, causing some to flee one type of investment for another.
But I also blame a lot of this "volatility" on the "business media", who in some cases, dabble with what is often dubbed as "disaster capitalism". The whole reporting of this current issue has been fraught with confusing, speculative, and often exploitive reporting.
And I say this knowing that the reality, when it comes to credit-worthiness for the nation, is a real "thing" that makes the country's borrowing for the future, more expensive if not addressed.
dlk
(11,606 posts)Government at this level is highly complicated. Bidens many years of experience are paying off, royally. Hes the right person at the right time. Someone with less experience would not have provided this level of success. Go Joe!
PortTack
(32,826 posts)Did all the negotiating
I mean begging!
And yes
once again DARK BRANDON knew exactly what to do
wiggs
(7,826 posts)while he didn't want to employ 14th BEFORE the GOP defaulted, he may very well have pulled the trigger two minutes after the default. The GOP gets the blame for default and for fighting the fix.
I imagine there was plan A, B, and C...none of which were good options for McCarthy. This was prob the best McCarthy could do as well.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Wall Street and the Chamber of Commerce, et al, have had zero influence on the Republican Party for some time having been replaced by the brown shirt idiots (MTG and company).
What happened was quite obvious and in public: Senate Republicans gave a cold shoulder and McCarthy didn't have the guts to fight by himself and risk cratering the economy by himself.
gulliver
(13,205 posts)AllyCat
(16,277 posts)there had pilloried Biden on this. I think it was good strategy.
republianmushroom
(13,917 posts)keep_left
(1,801 posts)...Republican candidates. The new crop of MAGA chud candidates like Boebert and MTG (and the Freedom Caucus in general) tend to be funded by resource extraction interests, particularly those in the fracking business. That's also true for their latest "think" tanks and right-wing groups, like the execrable Turning Point USA. But those interests, especially the fracking companies, are much smaller and less deep-pocketed than old Wall Street interest groups tend to be. They are certainly influential, and they often "punch above their weight", but they can't sustain attacks--either on offense or defense--the way that Wall Street can. And it looks like Wall Street won this time, which isn't all that surprising since they had so much to lose from an economic crash.
Now the question is, will Wall Street try to take its pound of flesh from the MAGA chuds? After all, the chuds proved themselves willing to throw a temper tantrum like a bunch of toddlers and crash the world economy, all because they couldn't get their way in the routine give-and-take of the official budgetary process.
gibraltar72
(7,522 posts)They would have stood against that. kEVIN would have had nothing and some how a deal would have gotten done. He wouldn't have anything to show at show and tell. He will do as Trump does make a big deal about what he did get.
bhikkhu
(10,728 posts)Regardless of how many spout off in public like fascists and kleptocrat nutjobs, there are still reasonable minds in the GOP who will do the right thing if it's handed to them on a platter, out of public sight. The whole problem really is the frenzy that fox news (et al) tends to whip people up into. It doesn't have to be that way.
wryter2000
(46,148 posts)Weren't either Manchin or Sinema or both opposed to raising the debt limit as part of the earlier legislation? In other words, we wouldn't have gotten the bill we really loved if we'd insisted on including the debt limit. If I'm correct, can we drop the criticism of Biden for not fixing this earlier?
wryter2000
(46,148 posts)Can Biden get a court ruling on the 14th amendment without an active case from someone who has been harmed? It seems to me you don't just take a question to court. Someone has to be suing someone.
ExWhoDoesntCare
(4,741 posts)You can't file for the sole purpose of testing the system.
Cha
(298,154 posts)kimbutgar
(21,293 posts)And this commercial came on saying that the GOP beat Biden and they got their tax cuts. It was so bogus but they twisted the logic to make it that the GOP saved our country by demanding those cuts but saved our military!
Tetrachloride
(7,916 posts)flamingdem
(39,342 posts)He's more progressive and experienced than Obama.
Go Joe!!!!!!!
DemocraticPatriot
(4,545 posts)then yes, the overall result as reported is better than it might have been---
unless, of course, you are a single person between the age of 50-54,
who is dependent on food stamps (snap),
and doesn't have internet service...
About the 'spending freeze' for 2 years, I have no problem accepting that,
in return for a second year without 'the debt limit'...