Rasmussen Explains What Went Wrong

[kpete]

Rasmussen Explains What Went Wrong

Rasmussen Reports, which had Mitt Romney leading President Obama on the final day of the presidential campaign and picked the winner in just three of nine swing states, explains:

"A preliminary review indicates that one reason for this is that we underestimated the minority share of the electorate. In 2008, 26% of voters were non-white. We expected that to remain relatively constant. However, in 2012, 28% of voters were non-white. That was exactly the share projected by the Obama campaign. It is not clear at the moment whether minority turnout increased nationally, white turnout decreased, or if it was a combination of both. The increase in minority turnout has a significant impact on the final projections since Romney won nearly 60% of white votes while Obama won an even larger share of the minority vote."

"Another factor may be related to the generation gap. It is interesting to note that the share of seniors who showed up to vote was down slightly from 2008 while the number of young voters was up slightly."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/weekly_updates/what_they_told_us_reviewing_last_week_s_key_polls2
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/11/12/rasmussen_explains_what_went_wrong.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+PoliticalWire+%28Political+Wire%29

[Firebirds01]

1. So in other words

They just polled reliable republican voters. I bet they made a lot of money off of telling RWers what they wanted to hear.

[valerief]

2. Of course, the TRUTH is that RW Raz tried to sway the vote to the right. nt

[Horse with no Name]

3. You are now delegated to being irrelevant

your polls should NOT be included in any national polling anymore.

You attempted to sway a national election.

The information was out there and you got.it.all.wrong.

Others got it right...why was this?

Perhaps because they weren't promoting one party's agenda and ideology over another?

Suck on it Rasmussen. You have no credibility.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. I Want Repugs To Keep Following Ras. Therefore They Will Keep Losing./nt

[yardwork]

4. Constant racist attacks by Republicans motivated people of color to vote against them.

Who could have predicted?

[BeyondGeography]

6. Whatever

At least you sucked a little less than Gallup, Scott.

[cleduc]

7. Rasmussen has had GOP bias issues since at least 2008

I don't buy their explanation. Maintaining the perception that the race is close is important for campaign financing and holding the media from pushing the advantage the Dems had.

Gravis, ARG and others put their finger on the scale to weigh down the polls of polls in battleground states - Rasmussen could only count one poll in most poll of polls.

The result of that kept the money flowing to the GOP campaign and the pundits open to the perception of a "close race".

[sellitman]

8. Keeping the RW ignorant one poll at a time

Keep up the good work Rasmussen!

[edhopper]

9. Why back in 1912

0nly white men were voting, so we saw no need to adjust.

[SDjack]

11. The county GOP bosses were suppressing the vote. Not

Raz' fault that their dam broke and the minorities rushed the polls and deposited their ballots.

[grantcart]

10. Can't wait for Gravis' explanation lol