Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Proud Public Servant

(2,097 posts)
Mon Nov 12, 2012, 04:02 PM Nov 2012

A map of the future

Sure Obama's re-election has conservatives panicking, and the successful referendums on on gay marriage and legal marijuana scare them. But this is the map that should have them flat-out terrified.



Take a look, paying attention to the light-blue and light-red areas. Light blue is where we flipped a seat; light red is where they did. We both flipped districts. But look at where they did it, and look at where we did. Do you see any blue states turning red? No, you don't. But do you see red states turning blue? Yes, yes you do.

Seriously, the GOP should be wetting its collective pants every time they glance at this.

13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

SCantiGOP

(13,871 posts)
2. technicality
Mon Nov 12, 2012, 04:15 PM
Nov 2012

the district in the northeastern part of SC wasn't a flip; it was a new seat that came as a result of the census. SC votes about 45% every year for the Democrat for President, but the GOP legislature has gerrymandered so far that we have a lock on one seat (Jim Clyburn's) and no real chance of winning any of the other 6.

 

Egalitarian Thug

(12,448 posts)
4. Have you actually look at this map yourself? Do you know anything about any of those
Mon Nov 12, 2012, 04:21 PM
Nov 2012

places you are projecting to turn blue? You've got NV, AZ, TN, completely wrong and those are just the states I know enough about to make an educated guess on.

Enjoy the euphoria, we all deserve it. But don't confuse wishful thinking with reality.

Proud Public Servant

(2,097 posts)
5. What are you saying?
Mon Nov 12, 2012, 04:41 PM
Nov 2012

These aren't projections; this is the actual outcome from last week. AZ, TX, and NV are all bluer. The change is being driven by teh Latino vote, by and large.

 

Egalitarian Thug

(12,448 posts)
13. The projection is your stated assumption that this result is a trend that will continue
Mon Nov 12, 2012, 07:12 PM
Nov 2012

into the future. And NV is not bluer, BTW, we did hold the House seat that Shelly Berkeley held but she lost her Senate race to Heller. This is why I asked if you know anything about the states you're projecting.

Brickbat

(19,339 posts)
8. The change in MN was a correction, not a flip. That seat was held by a DFLer for decades and we lost
Mon Nov 12, 2012, 05:29 PM
Nov 2012

it in 2010 to an upstart teabagger. Last week, we got it back. It's back where it should be and will be for decades more. I suspect, but don't know, that some of those other "flips" may be the same way.

Quantess

(27,630 posts)
12. I guarantee, latinos will be pandered to
Mon Nov 12, 2012, 05:39 PM
Nov 2012

and thoroughly greased by the GOP. Starting immediately, you will see a lot of desperate wooing of hispanics, beginning with tone and token hispanic GOP faces. Until finally, you will see some hispanic friendly policies before the next election.

brooklynite

(94,581 posts)
11. Unrec
Mon Nov 12, 2012, 05:38 PM
Nov 2012

I respect the notion that we are picking up seats in Republican areas...but this analogy is as silly as the post 2000 Republicans trumpeting GWB's popularity because of all the counties that he ended up "winning". "Turning" a State blue by picking up a single House seat that covers half of it (see AZ or NV) says nothing other than not a lot of people live there.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»A map of the future