Poll: Obama Leads Romney 62-29 in Miami Area

[ProSense]

Poll: Obama Leads Romney 62-29 in Miami Area

By Kyle Munzenrieder

We know you're tired of polls. Mitt Romney has taken a commanding lead in Florida primary polls, and will all but certainly beat his rivals. After that, Florida polls are likely to show a neck and neck battle between Romney and Obama. This Tarrance Group poll conducted for the Everglades foundation is no exception, but it does show one pretty damn interesting results: Obama is leading Romney in South Florida by a landslide.

The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4 percent, and that's likely increased when statistics are broken down, but, dayum the poll claims that Obama leads Romney in the Miami designated media area of Miami by 62 to 29.

The Miami DMA includes Miami-Dade, Broward and Monroe counties. Those counties all went for Obama in 2008. Sixty-seven percent of Browardians voted for Obama, and 58 percent of Miamians did the same. He'll have to pull similar number in 2012 if he hopes to re-win Florida, and it looks like he's in solid position to do that.

Obama also lead among Florida Latinos, 50-41 percent, and Independents, 44-39.

http://blogs.miaminewtimes.com/riptide/2012/01/poll_obama_leads_romney_62-29.php

[DCBob]

1. Good sign. If that holds he has a good chance to win the state.

Florida will no doubt be key state again this election. Might be the deciding factor.

[lpbk2713]

2. This is a big "FUG YOU" to Marco Rubio aka Jeb's protegee.

And I'm glad to see it.

[RZM]

3. But does that change if Rubio is tapped for the second spot on the ticket?

I don't know. Maybe not. But I have to believe that Obama's margins in the Miami area will be less if Rubio is on the ticket. We'll see I guess. The Republicans have to flip a lot of states if they want to win in 2012. It's going to be very difficult for them.

[lpbk2713]

4. IMO Romney does not want to be associated with the Bush family.

And Rubio has close ties via Jeb. I tend to think he'll pass on Rubio.


And at this point I'm just about certain Romney will be the GOP nominee BTW.

[RZM]

6. I don't know about that

As long as he isn't too closely connected with W himself, I don't think that will matter much. Rubio's going to be on the short list for sure. I'm not all that well versed on the Republican bench, but if I had to pick a single person most likley to be tapped, it would be Rubio.

I don't know if that would be the best pick for them or not. Advantages would be Tea Party cred, better chances for Florida, and a the Latino angle (including the ability stump in Spanish). The main disadvantage I see would be inexperience and his Catholicism. Not that the religion thing matters much, but turning out the evangelicals with a Catholic and a Mormon isn't a sure thing.

[monmouth]

7. I believe GHW Bush gave Romney his first important endorsement..n/t

[Scurrilous]

5. Wow!

That's encouraging.

[Tarheel_Dem]

8. K & R

[isaac2731]

9. Problems

Disenfranchising voters will be HUGE in Florida. Shorter poll hours, limited early voting, it will be messy

[RockaFowler]

10. Add Palm Beach County, too

We were overwhelmingly for President Obama as well

[Scurrilous]

11. Yep.

[DonCoquixote]

12. do not forget

That will not stop Rick Scott from trying to STEAL every vote. They will outright toss demcoratic votes into the trash bins.

[alcibiades_mystery]

13. Butterfly ballot being prepared as we speak

Where's Katherine Harris, by the way?