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Celerity

(54,112 posts)
Sun Sep 24, 2023, 10:26 AM Sep 2023

Post-ABC poll: Biden faces criticism on economy, immigration and age



A finding that shows Trump leading Biden by a wide margin does not match other recent polling, however, suggesting it is an outlier

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/09/24/biden-trump-poll-2024-election/

https://archive.ph/HZAIf



A Washington Post-ABC News poll finds President Biden struggling to gain approval from a skeptical public, with dissatisfaction growing over his handling of the economy and immigration, a rising share saying the United States is doing too much to aid Ukraine in its war with Russia and broad concerns about his age as he seeks a second term.

Biden and former president Donald Trump appear headed for a rematch of their 2020 contest, although more than 3 in 5 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say they would prefer a nominee other than the president. But Biden’s advisers have argued that he is the strongest Democrat for 2024 and those who wish for someone else share no consensus on who that should be, with 8 percent naming Vice President Harris, 8 percent naming Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and 20 percent saying they prefer “just someone else.”

The Post-ABC poll shows Biden trailing Trump by 10 percentage points at this early stage in the election cycle, although the sizable margin of Trump’s lead in this survey is significantly at odds with other public polls that show the general election contest a virtual dead heat. The difference between this poll and others, as well as the unusual makeup of Trump’s and Biden’s coalitions in this survey, suggest it is probably an outlier.

In his bid to become the Republican presidential nominee for a third time, Trump is in a strong position nationally despite facing multiple criminal charges. He is favored by 54 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, little changed from 51 percent in May. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is second at 15 percent, down from 25 percent in May. No other Republican reaches double digits. Trump also leads his GOP rivals in recent state polls, which are likely to be more reliable indicators than national polls of the shape of the GOP race in the coming months.

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Methodology

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Post-ABC poll: Biden faces criticism on economy, immigration and age (Original Post) Celerity Sep 2023 OP
Immigration is a big risk area Amishman Sep 2023 #1
So Biden Faces Criticism........ McKim Sep 2023 #2
Bullshit poll that WaPo/ABC are rightfully getting blasted for publishing. Fiendish Thingy Sep 2023 #3
While it's probably and outlier, this part is worrysome: Polybius Sep 2023 #4
Celerity.... you would think - with 39,000 posts - you'd have learned... albacore Sep 2023 #5
Message auto-removed Name removed Sep 2023 #6

Amishman

(5,924 posts)
1. Immigration is a big risk area
Sun Sep 24, 2023, 10:46 AM
Sep 2023

There is little compassion for the undocumented, and goodwill in blue urban areas is waning. While morally (and likely legally) wrong, the Pubs mass bussing tactic seems to be having a significant impact.

McKim

(2,426 posts)
2. So Biden Faces Criticism........
Sun Sep 24, 2023, 10:46 AM
Sep 2023

So Biden faces criticism for …………..blah blah blah…….. More rubbish from the Main Stream Media!

Fiendish Thingy

(22,810 posts)
3. Bullshit poll that WaPo/ABC are rightfully getting blasted for publishing.
Sun Sep 24, 2023, 11:40 AM
Sep 2023

Oversampling republicans 46% to Dems 41% with a crazy quilt sample of mostly “adults” with a minority of registered voters should tell you all you need to know…

Polybius

(21,780 posts)
4. While it's probably and outlier, this part is worrysome:
Sun Sep 24, 2023, 11:43 AM
Sep 2023


Every major poll has Trump ahead or tied, except one where Biden leads by 1 point. With the EC favoring Republicans, Biden probably has to win by 3.

On the plus side though, I'm not worried because it's September 24, 2023. Now, if it stays like this in a year, then sure I'd be worried. But not now.

albacore

(2,747 posts)
5. Celerity.... you would think - with 39,000 posts - you'd have learned...
Sun Sep 24, 2023, 11:52 AM
Sep 2023

...that some DUers don't like to face bad news. Polls are often inaccurate, but any hint of difficulties makes those DUers very uncomfortable.
I think they forget...

Response to albacore (Reply #5)

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