What If Biden Only Won 60% In a Primary?

[applegrove]

What If Biden Only Won 60% In a Primary?

February 24, 2024 at 10:41 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 332 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2024/02/24/what-if-biden-only-won-60-in-a-primary/

"SNIP............

G. Elliott Morris: “I have become a little obsessed tonight about what we should be expecting Trump to hit in this primary a priori. That is, given Trump is assumed to be the eventual party nominee and almost universally liked in the GOP, should he be winning more than 60 percent in South Carolina?”

Josh Marshall: “I’m not going to speculate what it means for the general election. But this is a lot of persistent opposition for a candidate who has always been running as a de facto incumbent. Even if you set that de facto incumbency aside, it’s quite a lot for a candidate who is, whatever technicalities you want to get caught up in, the presumptive nominee. 40% of Republican primary voters are still showing up to say they don’t want Trump even when they know they’re definitely going to get him.”

............SNIP"

[sop]

1. "Still showing up to say they don't want Trump even when they know they're definitely going to get him."

Hopefully, some of these voters will feel the same way in the general election and crossover for Biden, or simply stay home.

[applegrove]

2. That is the big question. How will they break? Biden,

Kennedy, No Labels or couch?

[TheRickles]

3. Exactly. If Biden got 59.8% of the vote, it'd be described as "just over 50%", "barely half", etc.

[Omnipresent]

4. Beating haley by 20 points is a hallow victory for trump.

He was already president with high name recognition and a track record with republicans.
Why he isn’t getting support in the 90’s instead of the 50’s, shows how lacking and sad his candidacy is.

[Wonder Why]

5. "Biden crushed by unexpected resurgence of his chief competitor! Is this his doom?"

I need to become a Fox News investigative reporter.

[former9thward]

6. If Biden won 60% against Gov. Newsom people would be celebrating.

Biden is not running against any serious candidate. Trump is not an incumbent and is running against serious candidates. Not the same.

[lame54]

9. He is the incumbent...

He won 2 elections in a row

[former9thward]

10. I don't know who you are referring to.

No one on the ballot in 2024 has won two elections in a row.

[lame54]

11. If you count the stolen one...

Which is a strong MAGA belief

[Kingofalldems]

7. Democrats in disarray.

[Polybius]

8. Not exactly the same thing, as he's not an incumbent with no big names running against him

The equivalent would be Biden losing in 2024, and running again in 2028. 60% for someone who lost the previous Presidency isn't terrible. If Bush lost in 2004 (Ohio would do the trick), do you think he would have gotten 60%? I doubt it.

[lindysalsagal]

12. I believe SC was an open primary? Wwre some of them non-gqp?

Let's see how the rat-effer does in a closed gqp primary in a red state.