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(118,577 posts)
Sun Feb 25, 2024, 08:16 AM Feb 25

What If Biden Only Won 60% In a Primary?

What If Biden Only Won 60% In a Primary?

February 24, 2024 at 10:41 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 332 Comments



G. Elliott Morris: “I have become a little obsessed tonight about what we should be expecting Trump to hit in this primary a priori. That is, given Trump is assumed to be the eventual party nominee and almost universally liked in the GOP, should he be winning more than 60 percent in South Carolina?”

Josh Marshall: “I’m not going to speculate what it means for the general election. But this is a lot of persistent opposition for a candidate who has always been running as a de facto incumbent. Even if you set that de facto incumbency aside, it’s quite a lot for a candidate who is, whatever technicalities you want to get caught up in, the presumptive nominee. 40% of Republican primary voters are still showing up to say they don’t want Trump even when they know they’re definitely going to get him.”


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(10,141 posts)
1. "Still showing up to say they don't want Trump even when they know they're definitely going to get him."
Sun Feb 25, 2024, 08:36 AM
Feb 25

Hopefully, some of these voters will feel the same way in the general election and crossover for Biden, or simply stay home.


(5,704 posts)
4. Beating haley by 20 points is a hallow victory for trump.
Sun Feb 25, 2024, 09:17 AM
Feb 25

He was already president with high name recognition and a track record with republicans.
Why he isn’t getting support in the 90’s instead of the 50’s, shows how lacking and sad his candidacy is.

Wonder Why

(3,170 posts)
5. "Biden crushed by unexpected resurgence of his chief competitor! Is this his doom?"
Sun Feb 25, 2024, 12:12 PM
Feb 25

I need to become a Fox News investigative reporter.


(31,963 posts)
6. If Biden won 60% against Gov. Newsom people would be celebrating.
Sun Feb 25, 2024, 04:00 PM
Feb 25

Biden is not running against any serious candidate. Trump is not an incumbent and is running against serious candidates. Not the same.


(15,364 posts)
8. Not exactly the same thing, as he's not an incumbent with no big names running against him
Sun Feb 25, 2024, 04:04 PM
Feb 25

The equivalent would be Biden losing in 2024, and running again in 2028. 60% for someone who lost the previous Presidency isn't terrible. If Bush lost in 2004 (Ohio would do the trick), do you think he would have gotten 60%? I doubt it.


(20,640 posts)
12. I believe SC was an open primary? Wwre some of them non-gqp?
Sun Feb 25, 2024, 04:49 PM
Feb 25

Let's see how the rat-effer does in a closed gqp primary in a red state.

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