Brand New Poll: Harris Up By Two Points

[Pototan]

Unlike many here, I believe polls. I know they are not predictive, especially this far out from election day. However, I do believe you can assess a trend. This linked Reuters Poll was conducted entirely after Biden dropped out, therefore was no longer a hypothetical matchup. Also, the numbers appear to allow Harris to grow if we can seize the opportunity to define her favorably to the important 10% to 15% of the undecided. After all, that 10% to 15% already knows Trump and aren't with him. I believe a younger, more sensible and energetic candidate can win them over.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/harris-leads-trump-44-42-us-presidential-race-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-07-23/

[Walleye]

1. I guess I'm gonna have to start looking at polls now

It would be nice to see some upward movement

[calguy]

2. I won't read too much into polls yet

but it's nice to see a bounce in our favor for a change. It's especially nice that Biden's timing pulled the rug out from under any bounce that trump may have gotten from his convention. It's entirely possible that trump's campaign has already peaked.

[Walleye]

4. Yes, and we still have our convention coming up which I think will probably be epic

[moonscape]

6. I confess. I never expected a change at

the top of the ticket could/would go this smoothly if it happened. Thought it would be fraught, disruptive, and Chicago could be anxious vs energizing.

TG my fears aren’t in charge of things

[MustLoveBeagles]

7. Me too

I'm happy to have been wrong.

[MaryMagdaline]

3. I'm happy that this poll will depress the other side.

We will also get a bump for the convention. The VP vetting process will keep all eyes focused on us.

What’s most important is that we’ve energized our voters. We have a machine like no other when we’re fired up!

[AZSkiffyGeek]

5. Three way she's up by 4

Harris - 42
TSF - 38
RFKJR - 8

[kerry-is-my-prez]

9. Yes!! You really have to have RFK in there. It's more accurate.

[Pototan]

10. The problem with polling RFK Jr.

is that he is on so few state ballots his national numbers become irrelevant.

[kerry-is-my-prez]

11. What sucks is that he is on Michigan's ballot and trying for more

Battleground states. If he takes votes from Kamala in battleground states, tha is a problem. Just enough to be a spoiler but not a winner. He needs to drop out:


Kennedy has officially gained ballot access in seven states—Utah, Michigan, California, Delaware, Oklahoma, Hawaii and Texas—according to his campaign, which said it has collected enough signatures to be placed on the ballot in nine others—New Hampshire, Nevada, North Carolina, Idaho, Nebraska, Iowa, Ohio, New Jersey and New York.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/05/28/rfk-jr-says-hell-be-on-the-ballot-in-these-states-with-more-in-the-works-his-campaign-says/

[Metaphorical]

8. Watched my 20-something kids

They had been very negative about Biden, but were quite excited about Harris. I think that's going to make a HUGE difference.