General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsIf Bibi and TSF "take out" Ayatollah Khomeini and his government in Iran,
that would leave a power vacuum, not only in Iran and Iraq, but regional destabilization.
Allowing an opportunity for ISIS to move in for their Islamic califate.
As much as the current Iranian regime is noxious, it could be worse.

RockRaven
(17,481 posts)"You break it, you bought it."
no_hypocrisy
(51,949 posts)RockRaven
(17,481 posts)regnaD kciN
(27,126 posts)
Well be greeted as liberators.
rampartd
(1,959 posts)i think trump wants to install him as puppet shah
Pachamama
(17,351 posts)
jcmaine72
(1,810 posts)Last edited Wed Jun 18, 2025, 06:07 AM - Edit history (1)
And it will be worse, rest assured. Much, much worse.
If we've proven nothing else since we first decided to go chest deep into the raw sewage of the Middle East decades ago it's that we absolutely suck at nation building there. By and large, we are NOT seen as fair and unbiased actors by the overwhelming majority of the people there, let alone as the benevolent, boundlessly heroic, generous agents of democracy that our government undoubtedly sees itself as. If we're not instituting regime change to safeguard ours and the West's oil supply in the region, we're handing blank check after blank check to a nation they see (rightly or wrongly) as their mortal enemy.
The saddest part of all is that, given enough time, the people of Iran of their own accord would probably rid themselves of the Ayatollah's and the early-medieval theocracy they've shackled the Iranian people and nation to. However, if we destroy their nation, if we humiliate them on the world stage and impose some half-a$$ed puppet regime on them, they will never forgive us.
Iran was once a democracy, until the CIA helped to orchestrate a coup against its democratically elected prime minister (Mohammad Mossadegh) in 1953 because we didn't like the cut of his Socialist jib. Instead, we foisted the tyranny of Mohammad Reza Pahlavi on the Iranian people which eventually produced the 1979 Islamic Revolution....and gee, look at how wonderful that worked out for us.
How to radicalize a population over several generations and make permanent enemies 101. It's a class we've been masterfully teaching since the 1950s. Too bad we haven't learned anything.
JI7
(92,133 posts)And they do not hate America. They hate the Islamic regime that is currently ruling over them.
jcmaine72
(1,810 posts)If we help to destroy their nation, especially if we force intransigent terms on Iranians in the form of an unconditional surrender, like the Orange Baboon is threatening to do, rest assured it will about us. And God forbid if one of those MOABs we'll undoubtedly drop on their nuclear facilities succeeds in irradiating large portions of their nation it will be ALL about us and us only, for generations of Iranians to come.
We desperately need to reassess our priorities here. Unfortunately, with such a smooth-brained, drool-dripping simian in the WH, that won't happen.
EX500rider
(11,909 posts)jcmaine72
(1,810 posts)Would you like to live above a sea of radioactive materials? How about your grandchildren? Or their grandchildren's great-grandchildren? That's a gift that will keep on giving for thousands of years, seeping into the soil, poisoning the environment.
That's quite the legacy we'd be leaving behind there, eh? I'm sure all future generations of Iranians will just be absolutely champing at the bit to be our friends and allies.
EX500rider
(11,909 posts)Also the Natanz Nuclear Facility is in the middle of nowhere
jcmaine72
(1,810 posts)Oh, well that's okay, then. Bombs away!!
Who needs uncontaminated ground water, or soil? And what the hey, it's in an isolated area that no doubt future generations of Iranians, or anyone else for that matter, will never have any conceivable use for, so it's perfectly okay to shit on the planet.
EX500rider
(11,909 posts)Raw uranium, even in its natural state, is not particularly radioactive, while spent nuclear fuel is highly radioactive due to the fission products and other radioactive materials created during its time in a reactor.
centrifuges would not have spent uranium
jcmaine72
(1,810 posts)They already have plans in place to contain the nuclear fallout from such an airstrike.
https://www.newsweek.com/israel-plans-contain-nuclear-fallout-strike-iran-fordow-2086631
But what would they know? All the experts on Iran's nuclear facilities, their precise layouts, materials contained within, etc., are obviously all here at DU.
choie
(5,649 posts)You mean like they did when we overthrew Mossadeq?
hedda_foil
(16,758 posts)vanessa_ca
(201 posts)CHENEY: The Middle East expert, Professor Fouad Ajami, predicts that after liberation, the streets in Basra and Baghdad are sure to erupt in joy...
RUSSERT: Do you think the American people are prepared for a long, costly and bloody battle with significant American casualties?
VICE PRESIDENT CHENEY: I dont think its likely to unfold that way, Tim, because I really do believe we will be greeted as liberators.
WOLFOWITZ: These are Arabs, 23 million of the most educated people in the Arab world, who are going to welcome us as liberators.
Don't you fret. It's going to be another "cakewalk".
orangecrush
(25,179 posts)JI7
(92,133 posts)are Shia so ISIS will not be able to get power there.
Most of the people want the Pahlavi family back and that is what is most likely to happen.
And for the people of Iran it would be far better than what they have now.
AZProgressive
(29,608 posts)but am not sure about looking at the future of Iran through rose colored glasses. If there is a serious effort at regime change in Iran with Trump & Netanyahu leading the charge it would most likely end up being a brutal occupation that is if they are successful.
Haggard Celine
(17,228 posts)Are they Zoroastrian? There aren't that many Zoroastrians there, right?
JI7
(92,133 posts)are a mix of non religious, zoroastrian , atheist and other things.
I think they have a culture which is stronger and unites them outside of religious belief.
Scrivener7
(56,110 posts)from the fact that this is Taco we're talking about.
While there might be a path where this is better for the Iranian people, Taco has never made anything better for anyone ever. He won't choose that path.
I'm thinking of Atlantic City, where his casino promised to revitalize the city and turn it to the Vegas of the east. Instead, in true Taco fashion, it turned the city into a cesspit and ruined ALL the business there. It's a depressed ghost town now.
If he does this, it'll be done in a way that makes things worse for the Iranians and for us and for the rest of the world.
JI7
(92,133 posts)my comments are more about the people of Iran and what I have learned from Iranian people . There is a lot of hatred against the regime among Iranians.
The pro Israel feelings among them have a lot to do with their hatred of the ruling govt. Although I'm sure some of that may have turned into true support.
But I think as liberals we need to keep this in mind about how the people feel and what they want. The most we can do is stay out as much as possible based on our history in the region .
Hopefully the regular people of Iran can take control and keep Trump and others tryng to benefit themselves out.
hatrack
(62,784 posts)ISIS wouldn't have a chance in a Shia country that, unlike Iraq, is relatively unified in its religious demographic.
JI7
(92,133 posts)hedda_foil
(16,758 posts)vanessa_ca
(201 posts)haele
(14,324 posts)The reason there's a religious theocracy running Iran in the first place was that the Shah was a brutal dictator who didn't just force the majority of Iran's population into a peasantry by destroying labor unions and democracy under his "anti-Communist" agendas, and his secret police still went after "favored" or privileged intellectuals and businesses. The Shah was a Fascist.
The Revolutionary Guard and their use of torture and execution as a method of enforcing compliance to a regime came directly out of SAVAK's playbook.
The Iranian people were sold a bill of goods from Ayatollah Khomani when he persuaded them his interpretation of Islam would save them from the corrupt excesses of the Shah.
But an Autocrat is always an Autocrat, and the Ayatollah never promised Democracy or a thriving Middle Class, because his vision of Islam had no use for either. The Iranian people in general want Democracy, the ability to have personal autonomy and a chance to succeed if they take the risks, as well as the stability to live fairly comfortably and work within their capabilities, and with a safety net to help them through old age needed.
Neither Netenyahu and *rump/Project 2025, nor Putin and the rest of the Arab Cartel, are going to allow the Iranian people the dignity to determine their own government. They all want Iran to be an client oil supplier.
JI7
(92,133 posts)JanMichael
(25,633 posts)Then again I don't speak Farsi which I think is the language there. So I wouldn't know if they all want the shah back. Well not the one from 1979 since he is dead.
Prairie Gates
(5,340 posts)Do you have any data or evidence that "most" of the 92 million Iranians want the Pahlavi family back and are, as you say downthread, cheering on Israel?
I'd be interested in seeing some support for those claims.
AloeVera
(3,091 posts)Muslims make up 99% of Iran's population. Shia at 90-95%.
Where do you get your facts from? The same place that tells you the Shah is wanted back??
Oh yeah, the Shah was great for Iranians.
Might want to check other sources.
purple_haze
(144 posts)Alice B.
(535 posts)Nt
Rebl2
(16,555 posts)break it, they buy it and will be to blame for what happens afterwards.
the_liberal_grandpa
(218 posts)Basso8vb
(1,165 posts)Endless retribution is nothing more than gang warfare.
Canada Kid
(252 posts)Any regime change is welcome in that country...but moreover...a western presence will allow a democratic shift towards a fair vote for someone who is not a controlling tyrant. Iranians need to get their freedom back. Living a lifetime in fear is not living. Using religion as a tool of control is abhorrant, and these scumbags have been doing this for decades. A complete elimination of this crap is necessary to erase the continuing threat not only to Israel...but to the rest of the Middle East and the world.
JanMichael
(25,633 posts)Seems kind of imperialistic to me.
hedda_foil
(16,758 posts)I'm sure they'll love that as much as they loved the CIA replacing Mossadeq with the US-backed shah. That worked out almost as well as our little neocon adventure in Iraq.
Kid Berwyn
(20,822 posts)AZProgressive
(29,608 posts)Even though I think Erdogan is like a dictator I don't think he is wrong. Not only is Israel occupying Palestinian territories, they attacked Lebanon, Yemen, Syria, and now Iran.
Srkdqltr
(8,540 posts)Any scenario for the day after they surrender, whoever they surrender too, is ....who knows?
A really stupid way to run things. But then, Trump and Netanyahu. What a shit show.
maxsolomon
(36,731 posts)I think you're off base here.