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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThree scenarios for what might happen next following Trump's bombing of Iran
This is always the prime consideration of the clerical regime led by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei everything else is subordinate to that.
To gauge Irans possible reaction, we can look at the how it responded to the first Trump administrations assassination of the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps elite Quds Force, Qassem Soleimani, in January 2020.
Iran said there would be a major reaction, but all it did was launch a barrage of missiles at two American bases in Iraq, which caused no US fatalities and very little damage. After that token retaliation, Iran said the matter was closed.
Irans reaction to the new US strikes will likely be along these lines. It probably wont want to get into a tit-for-tat with the US by launching attacks against American facilities in the region. Trump has promised to respond with force:
Iran, a bully of the Middle East, must now make peace. If they do not, future attacks will be far greater and a lot easier.
https://www.alternet.org/trump-iran-retaliation/

gab13by13
(28,895 posts)caused no fatalities and little damage is correct, however, Trump covered up the dozens of US military personnel who suffered significant brain issues from the attack.
Deep State Witch
(12,014 posts)You can bet on that. While they will probably lob some missiles at US bases, they are more likely to employ their vast terrorist network to bomb soft targets where Americans and Israelis are. I'm warning my friends traveling in Europe to make sure that they have an evacuation plan.
They are also more likely to do a cyber attack against US soft targets. Think things like water, electricity, hospitals, etc. They already do this. Expect it to ramp up. Especially because TACO has decimated our cybersecurity protections.
Bookreadingliberal53
(100 posts)So he can declare martial law.
MarineCombatEngineer
(15,864 posts)however, they can cause widespread damage with their terror network and cyber terrorism and I've no doubt that there are terror sleeper cells inside the US than can cause a lot of death and destruction also, especially with the buffoons in charge at the WH.