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We go over the fiscal cliff, any thoughts on how much of a discount we can buy blue chip (Original Post) RB TexLa Dec 2012 OP
Well, that all depends... brooklynite Dec 2012 #1
None of that changes the price of the stocks RB TexLa Dec 2012 #3
It might affect someone's capacity to buy them.... lastlib Dec 2012 #6
It's hard to tell. dawg Dec 2012 #2
20% tops....for a brief period right after the fall. RagAss Dec 2012 #4
When are you looking to buy? NeoConsSuck Dec 2012 #5
I would guess Sgent Dec 2012 #7
I don't profiteer with you. nt Codeine Dec 2012 #8

brooklynite

(94,592 posts)
1. Well, that all depends...
Sat Dec 22, 2012, 07:31 PM
Dec 2012

...did you lose your job or get furloughed because Government spending was cut sharply?

...did you lose value in your 401K/IRA so you don't have the funds to pay for blue chip stocks?

...do you have to hold on to your available funds to pay your higher tax rates?

dawg

(10,624 posts)
2. It's hard to tell.
Sat Dec 22, 2012, 07:35 PM
Dec 2012

By all rights, it should already be priced into the market. If the pubs can't even get their act together to vote for Plan B, then I don't see how it's possible to avoid the cliff.

But the stock market is notoriously delusional, and we may see a 10-15% pullback once it finally dawns on everyone that this thing really is happening.

NeoConsSuck

(2,544 posts)
5. When are you looking to buy?
Sat Dec 22, 2012, 08:22 PM
Dec 2012

We don't have a fiscal cliff, we have a fiscal slope. The economy is not really going to get hit unless this drags on after Jan. 1st. But if you buy on or around the first week of January, and nothing gets settled, and we fall back into a recession, you're going to wish you would have waited.

Do you know the stocktrader's saying: Never try to catch a falling knife.

Sgent

(5,857 posts)
7. I would guess
Sat Dec 22, 2012, 10:04 PM
Dec 2012

no more than 10% or so across the board; however, certain stocks will be effected much more than others.

The proverbial "widows and orphans" stocks (utilities, etc.) could face 20-30% or more declines if there is no hope of a deal going through. The pricing of those stocks is heavily based on dividends -- and the marginal tax on dividends going from 15% to 45% will hurt.

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