Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(131,507 posts)
Sat Nov 22, 2025, 01:20 PM Nov 22

Here's why $1 trillion just got lopped off Trump's expected tariff windfall

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) slashed its estimate of tariff revenues this week, dampening the projected deficit reduction by $1 trillion compared to what was previously thought.

This downward change — and a new total savings figure of $3 trillion by 2035 instead of the $4 trillion the agency projected in August — came as a result of both a recent tariff-lowering spree from President Trump as well as a greater understanding the CBO says it now has of goods moving into the US duty-free.

As director Phillip Swagel put it in his posting, the group's August calculation found that Trump 2.0 tariffs had increased America's overall effective tariff rate by 18 percentage points. But when they reran the numbers this week, it was down to a 14 percentage point bump.

The change is partly a reflection of how Trump's up-and-down tariff moves this year have more recently trended downward. The CBO cited the recent lowering of duties on goods from China, the European Union, and Japan, as well as the recent loosening of tariffs on auto parts, lumber, and certain agricultural products.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/heres-why-1-trillion-just-got-lopped-off-trumps-expected-tariff-windfall-180131433.html

They're basically shitty with numbers.

1 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Here's why $1 trillion just got lopped off Trump's expected tariff windfall (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Nov 22 OP
10 Year Projection? ProfessorGAC Nov 22 #1

ProfessorGAC

(75,429 posts)
1. 10 Year Projection?
Sat Nov 22, 2025, 01:32 PM
Nov 22

That's purely stupid. Why is CBO even wasting time analyzing something that is unlikely to be sustained got 10 years.
Oh, and I think they're still overestimating the revenue.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Here's why $1 trillion ju...