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BootinUp

(50,959 posts)
Sun Jan 4, 2026, 01:57 PM Sunday

This guy's pattern recognition for analyzing the Venezuela

situation is kind of fascinating. It’s another Substack video, but with a transcript (see below) I would say he does a good job with his analysis. A little difficult to follow, but DU’ers can handle it.

https://open.substack.com/pub/defiance13/p/venezuela-as-exit-positioning

Transcript is there too, here is the beginning:


Removing a dictator is not what anyone is upset about.

That needs to be said plainly, because a large share of the reaction to Venezuela has been intentionally flattened into a dishonest binary. Nicolás Maduro is not a misunderstood figure. He is not a noble anti-imperialist hero crushed by Western paranoia. He presided over a state hollowed out by corruption, repression, and economic collapse. You do not have to defend him, excuse him, or mourn his fall to ask serious questions about how the United States acted, what legal justifications were constructed after the fact, and what power arrangements are being assembled in his absence.

Reducing criticism of U.S. actions to “support for Maduro” is not analysis … it’s a rhetorical escape hatch. It avoids engaging with how power actually works. Opposition to a method is not allegiance to a man. In global politics, the how matters as much as the who, because methods set precedent, and precedent outlives villains.
The real question is not whether Maduro deserved to fall.

The real question is what is being built in the vacuum his removal creates.

Because this does not look like liberation.

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This guy's pattern recognition for analyzing the Venezuela (Original Post) BootinUp Sunday OP
Trenchant, if depressing, analysis. unblock Sunday #1
Good points! snot Sunday #2
Brilliant, tough essay. Feel like I did when yorkster Sunday #3

snot

(11,520 posts)
2. Good points!
Sun Jan 4, 2026, 02:49 PM
Sunday

I think we're looking at inter-oligarch feudal warfare – who gets to exploit whose resources for their own good.

Claims re- the good of either Venezuelan or US citizens are a side show.

yorkster

(3,677 posts)
3. Brilliant, tough essay. Feel like I did when
Sun Jan 4, 2026, 03:01 PM
Sunday

reading Naomi Klein's Shock Doctrine.
Stunning clarity is an old chestnut, but it applies here I think.

Thanks for the link.

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