First look: The midterm congressional races to watch in PA
Pennsylvania has at least four congressional districts that are going to be closely contested,” Yost said. “In 2024, they were decided by narrow margins. Those are going to be the places where both parties look to either defend the majority, in the case of Republicans, or to take control of the majority, in the case of Democrats,” he added.
Political observers expect Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District, 8th Congressional District and 10th Congressional District to be the most hotly contested races of the cycle. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report has Mackenzie and Perry’s districts rated as toss-ups, while Bresnahan’s seat is rated as “Lean Republican.”
Democrat Chris Deluzio’s 17th Congressional District seat is rated “Likely Democrat” by Cook, though to date, no Republicans have announced a run for Deluzio’s seat. Cook rated the 1st Congressional District seat, held by Fitzpatrick, as “Likely Republican.”
Eli Cousin, a spokesperson for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, told City & State that the DCCC believes that seats held by Bresnahan, Fitzpatrick, Mackenzie and Perry are all winnable for Democrats.
https://www.cityandstatepa.com/politics/2026/01/first-look-midterm-congressional-races-watch-pa/411048/?oref=ng-homepage-top-story