'South Texas will never be red again': Home builders warn GOP over Trump's immigration raids
There are some demographic trends that show that Texas will turn blue. I was surprised to see Latino voters and the Rio Grande Valley support trump in 2024. I grew up in the Rio Grande Valley and that area used to be very blue. The recent Texas state senate race flipped Democratic because of Latino voters not being happy with trump. It seems that the shift in Latino voters could affect the Texas gerrymandered races
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/02/14/south-texas-will-never-be-red-again-builders-warn-gop-over-trumps-immigration-raids-00781374
The meetings this month came after Democrats crushed a Republican in a special runoff election for a state senate seat in a Trump-friendly district in Tarrant County, which includes most of Fort Worth, rattling Republicans nationally. New research from the American Business Immigration Coalition and Comité de 100, first obtained by POLITICO, shows how slipping support among Latino voters could affect Republican-leaning districts in Texas, Pennsylvania, Florida and California.
Here is the chart that was cited

trump's ICE policies may alienate Latino voters and turn Texas blue