Did i hear this right? Crockett 2 to 1 over Talerico, but ALSO

[Volaris]

83% African American, and majorities among SENIOR CITIZENS AND VOTERS WITHOUT A COLLEGE DEGREE?

Holy god.
That's....not a wave. That's the fucking asteroid impact that killed the dinosaurs.

Tick toc, motherfucker.

[Fiendish Thingy]

1. 2 to 1 what? Polls? Votes?

The latest polls (yesterday anyway) showed Talarico ahead of Crockett by a significant margin.

Votes haven’t been counted yet.

[spooky3]

2. The Hill reports Texas poll shows Crockett up by double digits

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5755382-jasmine-crockett-leads-texas-senate/amp/

But this poll was taken the first half of Feb., before the Colbert interview. It was reported on Feb. 25. Another poll reported Talerico was leading:

?

[Volaris]

3. I think thats the last poll?..i caught it on Steph Miller this morning.

Either way, that's kinda nuts lol.

[muriel_volestrangler]

28. So "2 to 1" was - a dream?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Texas#Polling_2

The polling varies quite a lot, but "2 to 1" was never said, by anyone.

[BannonsLiver]

5. Thank you.

[ananda]

34. Yes, Talarico was up by 4 a couple of days ago. Anyhow...

I would be happy to have either one of them as my senator.

Talarico grew on me. He comes across as honest and a good
Democrat. He's also a fighter, though not as fiery as fighter
as Jasmine.

[walkingman]

4. Both good people - Crockett highlights Texas racism, Talarico highlights Christian hypocrisy.

I'd be proud to have either one as Texas next Senator. ☮

[Attilatheblond]

6. Talarico sounds good, but his talking points are reported to be 'borrowed' from others

And he looks like he came out of Central Casting for a clean cut guy who will appeal to white voters of the Christian Nationalism persuasion. GOP knows Cornyn is on his way out with voters, and Paxton has more baggage than a luxury liner in the 1930s. The GOP need insurance policy against Texas actually going toward rational representation.

As a resident of AZ and victim of Democrat Kyrsten Sinema's treachery, I am worried Telarico is another Trojan Horse of a different gender.

[walkingman]

7. I totally understand your issue - but my nephew turned me on to him

a couple of years ago when he began to stand out in the Texas lege. I honestly think he is the real deal. I'm not into the religion thing but his version seems much more honest and digestible. Admittedly his image shouts "moderate" which to be honest is the only kind of Dem that can win in today's Texas. Texas has changed so much since the Bush invasion. I long for the days of Anne Richards and Mollie Ivins. ☮

[Attilatheblond]

21. Oh, I was impressed with him, initially.

But the more I read, the more a vague dread seeped in. Crockett has proven herself time after time. I hope she wins the primary race because she seems to have a lot of voters behind her. They know she's been fearless and relentless against the Trump regime.

[SSJVegeta]

16. His entire brand is to denounce Christian Nationalism not the other way around

He is a fierce supporter of teh separation of church snd system and largely uses his religion to demonstrate the hypocrisy of his fellow Christians and Christian Nationalists.

[pinkstarburst]

25. Talarico is the real deal!

[Katinfl]

18. I have only seen him once or twice but I am not impressed. He could turn out to be a Manchin, Fetterman, Sinema.

Crockett is so much better IMO.

[Attilatheblond]

19. Crockett has been fighting hard and smart. She's been battle tested on the Hill and I hope she is the DEM nominee in TX

Seems risky to support an unknown and then hope for the best.

When Sinema ran in DEM primary here, she was on TV constantly. Lots of big money behind her, and that was worrisome. Voted for her opponent in the DEM primary and voted for her in the general that year, but felt VERY uneasy about her. Hoped I was wrong, but... Us AZ DEMS were mad as hell about her votes and snotty behavior.

Getting the same feeling now. Sending what I can to Crockett. If we can take a GOP senate seat from the GOP, and from Texas, it will be solid evidence that the pendulum is swinging towards sanity in government again.

[pinkstarburst]

24. Talarico has served FOUR TERMS (since 2018)

He is not "an unknown." This is not "hope for the best."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Talarico

Jasmine Crockett has only been serving since 2023 (that's THREE YEARS.)

So James has been serving 5 years longer than her, for those of us at DU who seem to be not strong at math.

Much of this anti-Talarico, rabid-Crockett support seems to be coming from non-Texans who don't have a grasp of Texas politics and who really seem to want to interfere with Texas elections. It's perplexing. As a Texan, I like both candidates. I was dismayed when Crockett decided to run for the senate seat (on the last day of the filing deadline) not because I don't like her, but because Talarico had already been running a strong campaign for months by that point, and I was already planning to vote for him. I wanted both of them! I wished she would have decided to run for something else where we didn't already have a strong candidate running.

I think a lot of these nasty anti-Talarico smears are coming from outside the state, and I wish they would stop. It's really disappointing.

[Sweet Freedom]

22. All of a sudden, I am seeing this Fetterman talking point everywhere.

Where did it come from? Talarico been in office four terms and hasn't turned R.

I mean, personally, I'll vote for either, but we don't have a voice in Congress speaking out against Christian Nationalism, which has gone unchecked forever, and I'd prefer Crockett in a position for the next administration.

[pinkstarburst]

23. It's coming from non-Texans who are going crazy over the idea

that actual Texans are divided and like BOTH James Talarico and Jasmine Crockett. They can't wrap their minds around the idea that this race is very close, much less the idea that James Talarico may win. He has not only been in office for four terms, so LOTS of experience, despite what some keep saying. They are going insane because they believe it should be an absolute Jasmine Crockett blow away, and since that isn't manifesting, since Texans like BOTH candidates, they are looking for any excuse to find something wrong with him that doesn't exist.

[Sweet Freedom]

33. Perhaps it's a whisper campaign.

The exact same Fetterman talking point popped up and took off, with nothing to back it up. I just did a search for the claim and it's all over social media since last week (maybe after Colbert?)

[pinkstarburst]

27. Talarico has been around for 8 years.

Talarico has served for 4 terms now, since 2018. He's been steady as they go for the past 8 years. You might not be aware of that, since like you said, you are from Arizona, and aren't tuned in to Texas politics.

Crockett was elected in 2023 and has served for 3 years.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

8. The polling here is mixed

The poll cited in the OP was taken before the Colbert show


Here are a couple of different polls

Link to tweet

New Emerson poll of Texas Senate Democratic Primary (1/10-12):

OVERALL:
🟣 47% Talarico
🟠 38% Crockett

🟣 Latinos — Talarico +34
🟣 White — Talarico +29
🟣 Independents — Talarico +29
🟣 Men — Talarico +22
🟣 Women — Talarico +1
🟠 Dems — Crockett +1
🟠 Black — Crockett +72

Here is another

Link to tweet

I voted for Talerico but would be very happy to support Crockett.

[Quiet Em]

12. The PPP poll does not seem to exist outside of the static image on the X tweet

The Emerson poll is legit though.

[Chasstev365]

9. Maybe, perhaps people are finally figuring out that Republicans fuck them economically

[patphil]

10. I can't tell who'd be better, but what I really want is someone who will strongly support the party and the people.

I want a strong voice who speaks truth to power, and can be relied on to represent the people, not the monied interests.

[pinkstarburst]

11. This polling is a bit outdated, though

It was taken in the first half of February, before Talarico appeared on the Colbert show. I believe all the recent polls have him in the lead...

[ChicagoTeamster]

13. I wish them both the best and hope that the winner is supported by their former opponent

Hopefully they'll beat the Republican (looks like they're going to) and then if Crockett wins the Senate race, maybe Talarico can run in the special election to replace her vacated House seat which he'll surely win with Crockett's support.

[hamsterjill]

14. I'm not hearing that locally.

Can you link to the poll that you're referring to perhaps?

[Lonestarblue]

15. I also read this morning that Republicans are pouring a ton of money into this primary.

They believe that Crockett is less likely to win in the Fall.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

20. Here is a DU thread on a Washington Post article on this

https://democraticunderground.com/100221053343

[ToxMarz]

17. Too bad it is either or, I like them both

So, does the loser still get to keep or run again for their House seat or are they giving that up to run in this election?

[JI7]

26. Imagine if both of them were the 2 senators from Texas

instead of what they have now.

[EdmondDantes_]

29. Hard to know without a link to the poll

But I suspect those numbers are in the primary given Talerico is her primary opponent. Getting a majority of senior citizens or whites without a college degree in the Democratic primary doesn't translate to the same among the same demographics in a state wide Texas election.

[surfered]

30. The GOP would rather run against Crockett than Talerico,

who has a better chance with independents.

Sadly, this is Texas reality: Harris did worse against Trump than Hillary and Biden fared better than Hillary.

[Frasier Balzov]

31. I know she is determined, but we want that Texas seat.

So my scenario is she leaves the race and endorses Talerico with the agreement that, when he wins, she will run his Senate office and they will work the vote coalitions together.

Is that practical?

Do they hate each other's guts? I certainly would hope not!

(The pay is nearly equal for a Senator and their chief of staff.)

[surfered]

32. A better chance of Talerico beating Paxton (adulterer, corruption history) than Cornyn

[CNYHarris]

35. If you want to support bitcoin, vote Jasmine Crockett

If you want bitcoin to be money and for the bitcoin Musk and maga crowd to be the new billionaire class, vote for Jasmine Crockett and the crypto Democrats.

https://www.texasmonthly.com/news-politics/jasmine-crocketts-cryptocurrency-history-is-under-scrutiny-heres-what-her-record-tells-us/

The trump imposition of bitcoin to back the dollar is going to be the greatest transfer of wealth to maga white nationalists those that Talarico is fighting against.

Talarico has called Christian nationalism "the worship of power—social power, economic power, political power, in the name of Christ" and has said Christian nationalists have turned Jesus "into a gun-toting, gay-bashing, science-denying, money-loving, fear-mongering fascist"

I hang out with maga trumpers, they are stacked with bitcoin and are Christian nationalists. Years ago when Tucker was on Faux News, Tucker was trying to get Faux News viewers to buy bitcoin because it was going to make Republicans wealthy.

Jasmine Crockett is the candidate for that. That is the legacy that trump wants.

If you don't believe me, listen to Rachel Maddow:

It was the Bannon, Epstein, trump agenda to do the greatest transfer of wealth in human history. Those of the Epstein class that invested in bitcoin when it was pennies, when it is made money, are going to be billionaires controlling politics.

This issue is bigger than Epstein, because if Crockett and her donors have it their way, it is the genocide of those without bitcoin/money. And those wealthy in bitcoin are going to run industries, politics, media. It is the invention of millions of Musks around the globe, loyal to Christian Nationalism.

Bitcoin was first sold to libertarians and tea party members, they bought and mined it when it was 10 cents per bitcoin. That ponzi scheme is now worth tens of thousands per bitcoin. It needs to be made money for the next group of buyers of bitcoin to increase their wealth by billions per maga voter.

That crypto money is currently buying Democratic politicians, before the greatest transfer of wealth in human history with bitcoin as money. After bitcoin is money, crypto super PACs are going to be the new controllers of politics.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

36. The Polling in the Texas Democratic Senate primary is all over the place

While I have already voted for Talarico, I would be very happy to support Crockett if she is the nominee. Texas Democrats are blessed with two amazing persons running for this seat which is why the polling has been all over the place.

Link to tweet

I thought our 2024 MD senate primary had some of the worst polling but TX you are the winner hands down. I really have no clue who will win on Tuesday and I am okay with that.

One or none of these polls got it right, I never seen no shit like this 🤷🏽‍♀️

Here is the latest average of the polling

Link to tweet

These numbers are all within the margin of error and so I would not be surprised to see either candidate emerge as the nominee. Again, Texas Democrats are blessed with two amazing candidates and we will be fortunate to have either candidate be our nominee to run against hopefully Paxton.