Do Democrats Have the Edge to Take the Senate?

[applegrove]

Do Democrats Have the Edge to Take the Senate?

March 15, 2026 at 9:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 404 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2026/03/15/democrats-have-the-edge-to-take-the-senate/

Bettors at Polymarket now think Democrats are slightly favored to win control of the Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.

[walkingman]

1. I don't see how it could be otherwise - who likes this shit?

[Fiendish Thingy]

2. The odds improve daily

Still going to be an uphill climb.

I hope we get strong candidates out of the primaries in IA, ME, MT.

We’ve already got one in TX, and NC and OH are our best shots to pickup.

AK looking good as well.

[Jack Valentino]

3. This is beginning to look a lot like 2006, when opposition to the continued military adventure in Iraq

drove voters to hand over both the House and the Senate to Democratic majorities!


I was glad to recently see the new polling in Ohio, which put Democrat Sherrod Brown ahead
of the Republican appointee in Vance's former Senate seat for the first time, as well as the likely Dem nominee
for Governor leading Ramaswiney by almost 10 points!

If we can take any four among Ohio, Maine, North Carolina, Texas and Alaska,
and hold Michigan, that's the ballgame!

Having a Democratic Senate would hopefully mean an end to the rubber-stamping
of his completely insane and incompetent cabinet nominees,
and hopefully ALSO prevent him from appointing any more Supreme Court nominees,
should one of those seats open up in the last two years of his term.

(We should just do as Mitch McConnell did to President Obama,
and refuse to even begin any confirmation hearings on any future Trump nominee--
"until after the next election"!)