Stock Market, we are 3/4 of the way back to square one for TSF

[edhopper]

Last edited Fri Mar 27, 2026, 11:14 AM - Edit history (1)

Trump took over with the Market at about 43,500. It did irrationally go up to 50,110, but as of today it has slid to 45,500, 3/4 of the way back to no growth for Trump's term.
Though I suspect it will fall well below that before long.

[gab13by13]

1. All it will take is boots on the ground.

Krasnov has pushed that back for 2 weeks.

[genxlib]

2. Maybe Pam will let us ask her about Epstein now?

Just curious how far below 50k it needs to drop before she actually complies with the law.

[Pinback]

3. Impossible to predict with much precision.

The markets seem to be driven by day traders and bots to a significant extent, so the wild seesaw swings may continue. That’s why long-term buy and hold is generally sound strategy. But Krasnov could well be propelling us into a prolonged downturn.

[gab13by13]

4. Personally I think the numbers are being manipulated

We go to war with Iran, a nation that controls 20% of the world's oil because of Hormuz. Indications are that we are gearing up for boots on the ground. If we take Kharg Island it will decimate Iran's economy and turn them into cornered rats. The Houthis have not been eliminated, they are waiting on the word to disrupt ship traffic in another strait.

I believe for sure that the price of crude, the price of gasoline and diesel should be much higher today than what they are. WTF is propping them up, Krasnov saying that make believe negotiations with Iran are happening?

What about Iran saying that it has mobilized 1 million troops to fight the land assault?

Krasnov went to war with Iran because Saudi Arabia and the UAE paid him big money.

Making the idiotic decision to go to war with Iran should have crashed the market on Day 1, fucking traitor Krasnov was paid to go to war.

[lastlib]

8. Close to impossible to do.....

...since the things that make up "the market" are uncountable and various. It is possible to manipulate things that drive sectors or individual companies, but those can have opposing consequences on other sectors. Things that drive oil stocks higher may drive transportation and manufacturing stocks lower.

I'm not saying you're way off base, since a lot of it is valid, but it's too simplistic to say the overall market is being manipulated.

[edhopper]

6. Selling off when you see a crash coming

and buying into the recovery, works better.
2008, 6 years before the markets recovered.
1973, 16 years.
If you are older, you don't have the years for a recovery.

[Pinback]

9. Timing the markets works great

in hindsight. Much more difficult in real time.

I have never tried to “buy low and sell high,” because my crystal ball is covered with mud. A few index funds plus a couple of “dry powder” accounts have worked for me so far.

But everybody’s situation is different (and I am an amateur small-potatoes investor), so I would never recommend a course of action for anyone else.

[Johnny2X2X]

5. That's not accurate. DOW closed at 43,487 on inauguration day 2025

But that was down from the Biden high of about 45,000.

And here's the thing, the DOW has averaged +10.4% a year the last 30 years. So in 14 months, Trump is at about 5%, he's been awful for investing.

[edhopper]

7. You are right

I will amend the post.