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RandySF

(84,237 posts)
Tue Mar 31, 2026, 05:56 AM 12 hrs ago

Bettors grow more confident Virginia redistricting vote will pass

People are betting that Virginia's redistricting referendum will pass, and the odds have only grown more confident in recent days.

Why it matters: That optimism runs counter to growing anxiety among Democrats due to strong early voting turnout in Republican-leaning districts.

The big picture: Prediction markets on three major platforms — PredictIt, Polymarket and Kalshi — gave the referendum an 80% to 85% chance of passing as of Sunday night.

On PredictIt, odds have jumped nearly 10 points in in the past week.



https://www.axios.com/local/richmond/2026/03/30/virginia-redistricting-prediction-markets-bets

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