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FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 12:57 AM Feb 2012

Gas Could Easily Go To $5 And Crush The National Economy

Everyone is talking about gas this past week, and for good reason. The price at the pump has been tearing higher. According to the papers this morning the national average price for regular gas is $3.65. Unfortunately for me, the price the media is spouting has nothing to do with my cost. As of this morning, my local gas guy is charging $4.85 for premium fuel, and that’s the stuff my car uses.

I doubt the numbers being bandied about regarding prices at the pump actually reflect the real economic consequences.

I'll probably take some flack for this, but I believe it's true. The only thing that matters is the price of gas in California and New York.

The USA has evolved into a two-tier gas market. The supply of crude from Canada and the Bakken fields has created a lower cost of supply for the central portion of the country. This differential is most notable in the market spread between WTI (a futures contract that settles physical delivery in Oklahoma) and LLS (Louisiana Light Sweet Crude) - the pricing of crude for the big Gulf refineries.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/bad-news-gas-could-easily-go-to-5-and-that-would-crush-the-national-economy-2012-2

We need pipelines from Canada/Midwest to New England and MidAtlantic states, and we need more refinery capacity there. The proposal to reverse the pipelines from Montreal to Portland and bring Canadian oil to the coast should be expedited.

We also need to simplify the gasoline blending requirements to reduce refining costs and dead time while refineries change from winter to summer blends.

88 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Gas Could Easily Go To $5 And Crush The National Economy (Original Post) FarCenter Feb 2012 OP
I paid $4.35 today. Initech Feb 2012 #1
No.. sendero Feb 2012 #21
The Fed has nothing to do with it. It's Wall Street speculation. NashvilleLefty Feb 2012 #82
No.. sendero Feb 2012 #86
Easy answer. Arrest all of the oil speculators New Yawker Feb 2012 #2
+1000000000000 Initech Feb 2012 #4
Add a few more zeros to that! seeviewonder Feb 2012 #5
You are going to send Seal Teams to London, Zurich, Singapore, Dubai? FarCenter Feb 2012 #6
What the fuck, it worked in Pakistan. OffWithTheirHeads Feb 2012 #7
Al Qaeda is not even close to being in the same criminal league as London bankers. FarCenter Feb 2012 #9
Begin tightening speculation laws here while pushing to tighten them globally brentspeak Feb 2012 #64
I support that. appleannie1 Feb 2012 #8
Wage and Price Controls CAPHAVOC Feb 2012 #18
How about real estate speculators who push up property prices? Nye Bevan Feb 2012 #20
I filled up here in Iowa on Thursday and paid $3.48. n/t seeviewonder Feb 2012 #3
Our beloved oil companies are EXPORTING gas from the US while speculators drive up the price nt msongs Feb 2012 #10
Exporting GAS, not crude oil. napoleon_in_rags Feb 2012 #14
"Increase refinery capacity" is a bullshit RW argument considering how much gas bullwinkle428 Feb 2012 #11
Last week, we imported more gasoline than we exported FarCenter Feb 2012 #12
Refineries have been closed? KamaAina Feb 2012 #66
Since gasoline demand has been falling, they have been closing east coast refineries FarCenter Feb 2012 #68
"a supply glut at the delivery point for WTI in the Midcontinent" KamaAina Feb 2012 #76
The reversal of the Seaway pipeline will solve part of the price differential problem FarCenter Feb 2012 #77
We should start to hear rumblings of nationalzing the oil companies....in the press Historic NY Feb 2012 #13
Fat lot of good that'll do when the actual gasoline is being exported Zalatix Feb 2012 #16
Nationalise the oil and then what? Spider Jerusalem Feb 2012 #17
Here's how this article is playing out over in "Fair and Balanced" Land... dogknob Feb 2012 #15
Build the Keystone Pipeline. Nye Bevan Feb 2012 #19
Let's just fuck the planet over, who cares Hugabear Feb 2012 #22
I'm less concerned about the fate of the lesser-spotted tree frog Nye Bevan Feb 2012 #24
You realize that fucking over the environment affects humans as well? Hugabear Feb 2012 #29
+1 DCBob Feb 2012 #36
Did you ever learn about the RELATIONSHIPS between the lesser spotted tree frog nadinbrzezinski Feb 2012 #65
Uh, Hello? It's all connected. Arugula Latte Feb 2012 #67
Gasoline is contributing to global warming and reduced crop yields. Zalatix Feb 2012 #69
You want to see hungry humans? Wait until global warming destroys the Great Plains NickB79 Feb 2012 #84
“Hydraulic fracking is very much a necessary part of the future of natural gas,” Nye Bevan Feb 2012 #51
Do I agree with everything that comes out of the Obama administration? NO Hugabear Feb 2012 #62
You do realize that the oil transported through that pipeline will do nothing for the US MadHound Feb 2012 #73
Except there is plenty of crude. Problem is refinery capacity and gasoline exports. Exports are yellowcanine Feb 2012 #87
There is no glut in crude, we are importing 8.7 million barrels per day of crude FarCenter Feb 2012 #88
I paid $8 a gallon here last week, and the national economy still isn't crushed DFW Feb 2012 #23
We Americans are really spoiled when it comes to gas price. DCBob Feb 2012 #25
Germany is the size of Montana. Nye Bevan Feb 2012 #26
Th EU is bigger than just Germany, and with a bigger population than the USA DFW Feb 2012 #35
doesn't a large part of the price you pay go to government tax receipts magical thyme Feb 2012 #31
1. mostly yes, and 2.) mostly no DFW Feb 2012 #37
road maintenance and improvement. magical thyme Feb 2012 #38
Roads in the Northeast will likely deteriorate sharply as the price of asphalt increases FarCenter Feb 2012 #42
I don't know magical thyme Feb 2012 #53
There are refineries in the Maritimes FarCenter Feb 2012 #61
the speculators never run out of money magical thyme Feb 2012 #63
When you're a country in the middle of a continent that borders on ten other countries, DFW Feb 2012 #47
Yes they are turning to gravel CatholicEdHead Feb 2012 #54
Germany, France and Britain are much better equipped for mobility sans automobile..... marmar Feb 2012 #39
I wish! DFW Feb 2012 #49
what is the average commute in Germany? nt Snake Alchemist Feb 2012 #50
Depends on what you do and where you are. DFW Feb 2012 #56
I meant more of a distance calculation. Snake Alchemist Feb 2012 #78
Bamberg is a relatively small town DFW Feb 2012 #81
You really can't compare prices in Europe to prices here Marrah_G Feb 2012 #55
In some cases, the reason for that is enough to make your blood boil DFW Feb 2012 #58
I agree it is infuriating. Marrah_G Feb 2012 #59
It's about the same price in the UK, actually Spider Jerusalem Feb 2012 #85
That article sounds like Drill, Baby, Drill to me lunatica Feb 2012 #27
this will be a good thing in many ways Snake Alchemist Feb 2012 #28
So you're rooting for $5 gas. Nice. Nye Bevan Feb 2012 #32
whatever it takes. Snake Alchemist Feb 2012 #33
We should have been increasing the taxes a dime a year since the '70s FarCenter Feb 2012 #43
You forget that farmers and cattlemen can't work in the cities. KatyaR Feb 2012 #41
IIRC, gas and diesel for use in tractors on farms is not taxed. FarCenter Feb 2012 #44
But how do the farmworkers get to the grocery stores to buy food? Nye Bevan Feb 2012 #52
We used to go to town once a week, or less when the roads were bad FarCenter Feb 2012 #60
NEWS FLASH!!! We've already passed the point of peak oil. The cost of gasoline can ONLY go up Zalatix Feb 2012 #70
So you want to use gas prices as a blunt object to force people to repopulate urban hellscapes Sen. Walter Sobchak Feb 2012 #71
Won't have to be "used". It will happen naturally. nt Snake Alchemist Feb 2012 #79
X2 moparlunatic Feb 2012 #30
Yes, it's time to change our driving habits. ananda Feb 2012 #34
additional pipelines and areas opened up for drilling won't save the economy... ibegurpard Feb 2012 #40
The speculators are betting on the EU boycott of Iranian oil and the possibility of an attack FarCenter Feb 2012 #45
well, right ibegurpard Feb 2012 #46
Regulation of oil speculation in the US won't affect the world market FarCenter Feb 2012 #48
Yet the Ford F-150 is the #1 selling car in America taught_me_patience Feb 2012 #57
Doubtful. But it is due to speculation, higher demand internationally, and the Iran shit. RBInMaine Feb 2012 #72
Like many others on the coasts, you are forgetting something about "flyover country". MadHound Feb 2012 #74
If the price of energy goes up, the price of food will go up, and we will eat less FarCenter Feb 2012 #75
sadly.... unkachuck Feb 2012 #80
So in summary: 1) approve Keystone XL, 2) build more refineries, and 3) scrap clean-air rules NickB79 Feb 2012 #83

Initech

(100,080 posts)
1. I paid $4.35 today.
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 01:00 AM
Feb 2012


But pipelines aren't going to do shit to the fuel prices. We need to make speculation trading illegal. That's what will curb the prices.

sendero

(28,552 posts)
21. No..
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 09:36 AM
Feb 2012

... you need to make the Federal Reserve stop debasing the dollar by 'printing' and handing them out to bankers.

No country has ever gotten away with massive debasement of their currency and we aren't either. Why would an oil producer trade his precious commodity for a piece of paper that is being trashed monthly?

Of course, the Fed can't stop printing now, so expect oil prices to rise continually, with only a world depression (massive falling demand) to put a temporary stop to it.

The fact that all of the easy to get oil has been got isn't helping either.

NashvilleLefty

(811 posts)
82. The Fed has nothing to do with it. It's Wall Street speculation.
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 01:28 AM
Feb 2012

The CFTC is trying to implement new rules, but they are being sued by Wall Street.

Trying to blame it on The Fed is delusional Ron Paul bullcr@p.

sendero

(28,552 posts)
86. No..
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 10:18 AM
Feb 2012

.. it is not. Speculation is part of it but printing money out of thin air in huge amounts is even more.

Why do you think many oil producing are actively trying to get away from the dollar?

Why do you think that the ones that come close to success with that find themselves in a war or dead (Iraq, Quadaffi, and soon Iran).

You apparently have NO IDEA what the Fed is currently doing and what the long term effects will be. Get a clue already.

 

New Yawker

(62 posts)
2. Easy answer. Arrest all of the oil speculators
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 01:01 AM
Feb 2012

and place in supermax prison for no less than 25 years.

Let the non-violent drug offenders go free to make room.

And make speculation a felony offense.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
6. You are going to send Seal Teams to London, Zurich, Singapore, Dubai?
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 01:07 AM
Feb 2012

It is delusional to think that the US can control the price of oil.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
9. Al Qaeda is not even close to being in the same criminal league as London bankers.
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 01:22 AM
Feb 2012

And Prime Minister Cameron would take a very dim view. Unlike the Iranians, the UK does have nukes.

brentspeak

(18,290 posts)
64. Begin tightening speculation laws here while pushing to tighten them globally
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 03:25 PM
Feb 2012

It's not rocket science.

 

CAPHAVOC

(1,138 posts)
18. Wage and Price Controls
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 09:23 AM
Feb 2012

Nixon tried that. Never works. The price would never go down. Speculation goes both ways.

napoleon_in_rags

(3,991 posts)
14. Exporting GAS, not crude oil.
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:21 AM
Feb 2012

Gas comes from oil like applesauce comes from apples. The gas is made from crude oil in refineries in the US, but the oil comes from overseas. Look here:
http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_wkly_dc_NUS-Z00_mbblpd_w.htm
Under the row "exports", second row down "crude oil". 37. Compare that with the imports at the top. America is totally dependent on oil imports.

bullwinkle428

(20,629 posts)
11. "Increase refinery capacity" is a bullshit RW argument considering how much gas
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 01:30 AM
Feb 2012

we're exporting these days.

In addition, if you make the conscious decision to buy a car that requires premium fuel, you have to know that you're always going to be paying more than the average bear for a tank of gas. I've done the same kind of number crunching when looking at new vehicles. Yeah, the VW TDI easily does 50 mpg on the highway, but do I want to pay an extra 80 cents per gallon for that diesel? It essentially cancels out the fuel savings I get over a gas-fueled 40 mpg car.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
12. Last week, we imported more gasoline than we exported
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 01:36 AM
Feb 2012
http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_wkly_dc_NUS-Z00_mbblpd_w.htm

We imported 845 thousand barrels per day of gasoline, mainly in the form of gasoline blending components, and we exported 616 thousand barrels per day of finished gasoline.

The larger export of finshed product is distallate fuel oil (diesel) where we imported 122 kbpd and exported 1124 kbpd. This reflects a market for diesel in Europe where diesel cars are far more popular than in the US.

Additionally, all the excess refining capacity is in the Gulf Coast. Refineries have been closed in the New York and Philadelphia area, so what happens is that gas is imported to the East Coast and West Coast and a little less is exported from the Gulf Coast to the Carribean and Latin America.

We've been really good at exporting the idea of free markets to other countries. They have figured out how to play that game better than we do.
 

KamaAina

(78,249 posts)
66. Refineries have been closed?
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 03:29 PM
Feb 2012

Well, if more refining capacity is truly needed, wouldn't someone just reopen them? Much cheaper and easier than siting and building a new one.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
68. Since gasoline demand has been falling, they have been closing east coast refineries
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 03:44 PM
Feb 2012

Conoco to sell or shut Pennsylvania refinery
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/09/27/us-conocophillips-trainer-idUSTRE78Q5R320110927

"We are very disappointed to hear the news that ConocoPhillips will permanently close its Trainer, Pa. refinery in six months if a buyer is not found," said United Steelworkers Union International Vice President Gary Beevers in a release. USW represents 215 workers at Trainer.

Over the last year, Sunoco has shut down its 145,000 bpd Eagle Point, New Jersey, refinery and PBF Energy has bought Valero Energy's (VLO.N) Paulsboro, New Jersey and Delaware City, Delaware, refineries.

Additionally, Hovensa LLC in the U.S. Virgin Islands, reduced the input capacity of its St. Croix refinery by 150,000 bpd. Western refining shut down its 66,300 bpd Yorktown, Virginia, refinery

The article also identifies:
Sunoco selling or closing Marcus Hook and Philadephia 500,000 bpd refineries,

Once closed, the refineries are never rebuilt.

 

KamaAina

(78,249 posts)
76. "a supply glut at the delivery point for WTI in the Midcontinent"
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 09:00 PM
Feb 2012

Why, then, build a controversial pipeline from Canada right through the Midcontinent to the Gulf?! This is just surreal.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
77. The reversal of the Seaway pipeline will solve part of the price differential problem
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 09:16 PM
Feb 2012

Conoco Philips sold its 50% of the Seaway Pipeline to Engridge and Enterprise. Since Conoco Philips has refineries in the Midwest, it did not have an interest in making Cushing OK oil more expensive. But they have now been bought out.

With the reversal of Seaway, the price at Cushing should go up to the world market price for seaborne oil. However, that is some months away.

Enbridge and Enterprise Agree to Reverse Seaway Crude Oil Pipeline From Cushing to U.S. Gulf Coast

CALGARY, ALBERTA and HOUSTON, TEXAS--(Marketwire - Nov. 16, 2011) - Enbridge Inc. ("Enbridge&quot (TSX:ENB) (NYSE:ENB) and Enterprise Products Partners L.P. ("Enterprise&quot (NYSE: EPD) today announced that they have agreed to reverse the direction of crude oil flows on the Seaway pipeline to enable it to transport oil from Cushing, Oklahoma to the U.S. Gulf Coast. Pending regulatory approval, the line could operate in reversed service with an initial capacity of 150,000 barrels per day by second quarter 2012.

"The Seaway Pipeline reversal provides an early opportunity to offer Gulf Coast access to midcontinent producers and other crude oil shippers," said Patrick D. Daniel, President and Chief Executive Officer, Enbridge Inc. "A Seaway reversal will provide capacity to move secure, reliable supply to Texas Gulf Coast refineries, offsetting supplies of imported crude."

Michael A. Creel, President and Chief Executive Officer of Enterprise's general partner, said, "We congratulate Enbridge on its agreement to purchase a 50 per cent interest in Seaway. We believe that reversing the direction of crude oil movement on Seaway and the construction of additional infrastructure will accelerate access to Gulf Coast markets, reduce transportation costs, improve both producer and refiner economics and hasten the development of North America's crude oil reserves."

Following pump station additions and modifications, anticipated to be completed by early 2013, the capacity of the reversed Seaway Pipeline will be up to 400,000 barrels per day in mixed service. Enbridge and Enterprise expect that the reversed Seaway pipeline will be fully contracted. The partners anticipate conducting an open season to validate shipper support for an expansion of Seaway, through looping or twinning.

After reversing the direction that crude oil flows on the 500-mile (805-kilometer), 30-inch diameter, long-haul pipeline, Seaway will deliver crude from Cushing into the Houston-area market by utilizing existing affiliate and third-party pipelines as well as its Texas City local pipeline system. Enbridge and Enterprise plan to build a 45-mile (72-kilometer) pipeline that will link Seaway directly to Enterprise's ECHO crude oil storage terminal located southeast of Houston. This will provide shippers with enhanced connectivity and more efficient transportation to the Houston refining market. Additional investment required by the joint venture partners to reverse the line and construct supporting lateral and related facilities is expected to be approximately $300 million.

http://www.marketwire.com/press-release/enbridge-enterprise-agree-reverse-seaway-crude-oil-pipeline-from-cushing-us-gulf-coast-tsx-enb-1587719.htm

Historic NY

(37,451 posts)
13. We should start to hear rumblings of nationalzing the oil companies....in the press
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 02:51 AM
Feb 2012

Obama should just flood the market with US oil reserves and then get the Commodities Futures Trading Commission off their asses.

 

Zalatix

(8,994 posts)
16. Fat lot of good that'll do when the actual gasoline is being exported
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:28 AM
Feb 2012

that drives up prices here.

 

Spider Jerusalem

(21,786 posts)
17. Nationalise the oil and then what?
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 07:39 AM
Feb 2012

That won't do any good, over half on US oil consumption comes from imports. And oil is traded globally; what's the US CFTC going to do in London, exactly?

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
19. Build the Keystone Pipeline.
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 09:31 AM
Feb 2012

I appreciate the environmental issues. But I'm more concerned about folks having to choose between buying gas and eating.

Hugabear

(10,340 posts)
22. Let's just fuck the planet over, who cares
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 09:43 AM
Feb 2012

Do you feel the same way about fracking? That it's more important that we extract oil through whatever means necessary, and completely disregard the damage it does to the environment?

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
24. I'm less concerned about the fate of the lesser-spotted tree frog
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 09:53 AM
Feb 2012

than I am about hungry human beings.

Hugabear

(10,340 posts)
29. You realize that fucking over the environment affects humans as well?
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 10:05 AM
Feb 2012

Where do you think our food and water come from? How about the air you breathe?

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
65. Did you ever learn about the RELATIONSHIPS between the lesser spotted tree frog
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 03:25 PM
Feb 2012

and humans?

Dirty water and air that will kill the frog will also kill humans.

I got a better solution... GREEN technologies, wake up to peak oil and DO something about it.

Otherwise, this oil based civilization WILL crash.

 

Arugula Latte

(50,566 posts)
67. Uh, Hello? It's all connected.
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 03:32 PM
Feb 2012

Do you not have a clue as to how all air, water, land, animal and plant systems are interwoven?

 

Zalatix

(8,994 posts)
69. Gasoline is contributing to global warming and reduced crop yields.
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 03:51 PM
Feb 2012

How much good will cheap energy be in the face of a global famine?

NickB79

(19,253 posts)
84. You want to see hungry humans? Wait until global warming destroys the Great Plains
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 03:46 AM
Feb 2012

How much corn, soy and wheat do you think we'll be growing when the kind of drought we just saw in Texas expands across half the Great Plains?

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
51. “Hydraulic fracking is very much a necessary part of the future of natural gas,”
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 12:47 PM
Feb 2012
“Hydraulic fracking is very much a necessary part of the future of natural gas,” Salazar said. He added that it “can be done in a safe way, in an environmentally responsible way, and in a way that doesn’t create all of the concerns that it is creating across the country right now.

http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/monitor_breakfast/2011/1005/Interior-secretary-Fracking-can-be-safe-and-responsible-VIDEO

Is Obama's Secretary of the Interior full of shit? Do you think he should be fired?

Hugabear

(10,340 posts)
62. Do I agree with everything that comes out of the Obama administration? NO
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 03:18 PM
Feb 2012

Fracking has been proven to be very harmful.

Do you also believe the myth of "clean coal"?

 

MadHound

(34,179 posts)
73. You do realize that the oil transported through that pipeline will do nothing for the US
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:55 PM
Feb 2012

The pipeline is simply being built so that Canadian oil can reach a better port to ship it to China.

Why should be ruin our environment for Canada's sake?

yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)
87. Except there is plenty of crude. Problem is refinery capacity and gasoline exports. Exports are
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 10:26 AM
Feb 2012

more than making up for the reduced demand for gasoline in the U.S. Refiners can get a higher price by exporting gasoline. That is what is pushing up the prices. There is actually a glut of crude oil right now in the U.S. so an operating Keystone Pipeline would do nothing.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
88. There is no glut in crude, we are importing 8.7 million barrels per day of crude
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 10:56 AM
Feb 2012
http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_wkly_dc_NUS-Z00_mbblpd_w.htm

Gasoline exports are about 620 thousand barrels per day.

Gasoline imports are about 700 thousand barrels per day.

DFW

(54,405 posts)
23. I paid $8 a gallon here last week, and the national economy still isn't crushed
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 09:48 AM
Feb 2012

And here in Germany, we don't pay anywhere near what they pay over in France or England.

Plus, the environmental guarantees that a huge amount of our nation's drinking water supply and
clean water for agricultural use will be 100% protected are not there. People can't eat if they have
no clean water with which to grow their food. Don't build the pipeline. Not under present circumstances,
anyway.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
25. We Americans are really spoiled when it comes to gas price.
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 09:55 AM
Feb 2012

Most of the rest of the world pays much more as you have noted in Germany.

Thanks for the reality check.

DFW

(54,405 posts)
35. Th EU is bigger than just Germany, and with a bigger population than the USA
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 11:03 AM
Feb 2012

Germany is one of the cheaper countries in the EU for gasoline.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
31. doesn't a large part of the price you pay go to government tax receipts
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 10:29 AM
Feb 2012

and come back to you, at least in part, in support and safety net services that we don't get here in the US?

DFW

(54,405 posts)
37. 1. mostly yes, and 2.) mostly no
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 11:10 AM
Feb 2012

A huge amount of that is government taxes. One ridiculous part (in Germany) of the tax law
adds the price of the gasoline plus the mineral oil tax, and then adds VAT onto the sum of the
two, in other words, you pay tax on the tax, and it's STILL cheaper than in France or the UK.

The mineral oil tax is used most for road maintenance and improvement. The VAT on top goes
partly to Brussels which then returns part of it to Germany, and THAT part is used for support and
safety net services that we lack in the USA.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
38. road maintenance and improvement.
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 11:26 AM
Feb 2012

I've read that in rural areas of the heartland, we are turning once-paved state roads into dirt roads because they can't afford to re-pave them.

I remember parts of Massachusetts seeming like one humongous pothole.

So mostly no could be headed toward more yes than recognized

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
42. Roads in the Northeast will likely deteriorate sharply as the price of asphalt increases
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 11:54 AM
Feb 2012

With all the refinery closures in the midAtlantic, the asphalt has to be shipped from the Gulf Coast. Probably barged up the intracoastal waterway?

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
61. There are refineries in the Maritimes
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 03:13 PM
Feb 2012

But I don't think their output is enough to repair highways, roads, streets, etc, throughout the Boston-Washington area.

Of course, much road repair is being done by grinding off and recycling the old asphalt.

Building of new roadways in new subdivisions and adding lane miles to existing highways is not being done so much.

We should stop buying land for "open space preservation" and let the developers and speculators be stuck with their undevelopable land in the outer suburbs.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
63. the speculators never run out of money
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 03:19 PM
Feb 2012

they'll just build private roads, sell fake communities and then abandon them to become falling apart messes for the rest of us to clean up.

DFW

(54,405 posts)
47. When you're a country in the middle of a continent that borders on ten other countries,
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 12:16 PM
Feb 2012

Your roads are one VERY vital part of your economic existence. Germany recognizes that,
and spends a fortune or road upkeep. So, in the sense that roads are vital for the well-being
of the country, then, yes, the road taxes do go toward the general welfare of the country.

CatholicEdHead

(9,740 posts)
54. Yes they are turning to gravel
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 12:50 PM
Feb 2012

The locals end up being too cheap and just adapt to gravel roads. If you look around other rural towns you will find deterioration in them too as if you do not invest in the roads, you do not invest in town. There is so much short sighted thinking and just plain cheapness in rural areas.

marmar

(77,081 posts)
39. Germany, France and Britain are much better equipped for mobility sans automobile.....
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 11:34 AM
Feb 2012

The situation is very different here.


DFW

(54,405 posts)
49. I wish!
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 12:24 PM
Feb 2012

You'd think that with their dense network of local rail, light rail and public transportation, that places like
Germany and Holland would not be as dependent on motor vehicles as we are.

But it's not the case. Just try and get in or out of any major metropolitain area anywhere in Western Europe
at rush hour by car, and it'll make the traffic at the Lincoln Tunnel at 5 PM seem like a Kansas cornfield after
harvest season.

DFW

(54,405 posts)
56. Depends on what you do and where you are.
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 01:11 PM
Feb 2012

My wife needs half an hour if she leaves by 6:30 AM and an hour if she leaves an hour later, and
two hours if by public transportation because there is no direct route from where we live to where
she works. I need 15 minutes to get to the airport, or 20 minutes to get downtown if I leave before
6 AM, but over an hour if I leave after 7:30. But since I work in a different country almost every day, I
sometimes need four hours to get to work, combining car/taxi, train/plane and public transportation
once I get to the city I have to be in that day.

The ones to really pity are the ones in suburbs of big towns like Hamburg, München, Frankfurt or
Berlin. To get into town by car at rush hour can take 90 minutes easily. Same goes for London,
Paris, Brussels. The whole of the Netherlands can be one big traffic jam during the week.

 

Snake Alchemist

(3,318 posts)
78. I meant more of a distance calculation.
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 10:58 PM
Feb 2012

I spent a lot of time in Germany years ago when I used to work for a company out of Bamburg. One of the things that amazed me was that I would meet a lot of twenty-something girls from places like Munich and the surrounding towns that had never been to Berlin. Just astounded me.

DFW

(54,405 posts)
81. Bamberg is a relatively small town
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 12:54 AM
Feb 2012

So getting in and out of there is probably way easier than up here in the Rheinland, where Köln to Düsseldorf to Duisburg to Essen to Bochum to Dortmund is almost one big city. I've heard it's a very petty town, too, but I've never been there.

My wife's commute is about 35 Km, but not along any Autobahn route. Mine are more complicated. It's now 5:50 AM here in Düsseldorf, and I have to be in Brussels by 10, and back here by 2:30 PM. Tomorrow, I have to be in Barcelona. You get the idea.

There is still quite a lot of provincial thinking in Europe, and you'd be amazed at the number of people who think that a major city five ours away by train was on the other side of the world, whereas the person sitting next to them might commute from Stuttgart to Singapore and back every month and not think it was a big deal.

Marrah_G

(28,581 posts)
55. You really can't compare prices in Europe to prices here
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 12:52 PM
Feb 2012

There are a couple reasons why. First reason is the size and infrastructure. Much of America was populated after cars became the norm. Most people outside of cities cannot get to work or even shopping centers without one. Also there are many taxes on gasoline in Europe that help to fund social programs that we pay out of pocket here.

If gas goes to 5 dollars a gallon here, the working poor are the ones that will be hurt the most. Cities have become to expensive to live in. Outside of cities, public transportation is either non existent or severely limited.

In my case I live next to the commuter rail and work next to the same commuter rail. Unfortunately, I cannot take that train to work because it does not stop in the town that I work.

DFW

(54,405 posts)
58. In some cases, the reason for that is enough to make your blood boil
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 01:21 PM
Feb 2012

Take western NJ, for instance. Plans were made for widespread commuter rail lines almost a century ago.
They were trashed by influential oil barons like the Rockfellers, who had every interest in Americans
depending on oil for everything.

As for shopping centers, most people here can't get to one without a car either, and American-style
shopping centers are growing in popularity, to the detriment of the European way of life. The working
poor here often pool resources with one car serving for several families. There is even a popular crime
show here about a private detective who always takes on clients with little money, and he can't afford
his own car, so he is always borrowing cars from friends who can ill afford to be without them.

The taxes on gas here go for road maintenance, not social programs. Those are funded from other revenues.

 

Snake Alchemist

(3,318 posts)
28. this will be a good thing in many ways
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 10:01 AM
Feb 2012

Number one being that it will encourage people to move closer to the cities and reduce the endless sprawl that we Americans seem to love.

Nye Bevan

(25,406 posts)
32. So you're rooting for $5 gas. Nice.
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 10:39 AM
Feb 2012

No impact on one-percenters in Manhattan's Upper East Side. Devastating for rural New Englanders and Westerners who are forty miles from a good supermarket.

What exactly would you like the price of gas to be? Is $5 high enough for you? Or would you like it to be $10? Or $20?

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
43. We should have been increasing the taxes a dime a year since the '70s
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 11:57 AM
Feb 2012

By now we'd have taxes at 3 or 4 dollars per gallon like the rest of the developed economies, and we'd have a much more energy efficient economy.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
60. We used to go to town once a week, or less when the roads were bad
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 03:05 PM
Feb 2012

Most food was grown on the farm. A potato field, orchard, and garden provided much of our fruits and vegetables which were canned and frozen. Flour, sugar, and salt were bought in large quantities. A steer, a couple of hogs, and few dozen roosters were raised and slaughtered each year.

 

Zalatix

(8,994 posts)
70. NEWS FLASH!!! We've already passed the point of peak oil. The cost of gasoline can ONLY go up
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 03:54 PM
Feb 2012

due to the demand outstripping the supply. You can howl at that all you want but that's like fighting gravity.

We simply have to deal with it or find an alternative.

 

Sen. Walter Sobchak

(8,692 posts)
71. So you want to use gas prices as a blunt object to force people to repopulate urban hellscapes
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:24 PM
Feb 2012

Sounds like a winning proposal to me... if your goal is a public lynching for every proponent of the said policy.

ibegurpard

(16,685 posts)
40. additional pipelines and areas opened up for drilling won't save the economy...
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 11:37 AM
Feb 2012

...from current high and escalating gas prices. Because we wouldn't see the results of that for a long time. However, it might ease fears on the markets which may bring prices down. Which shows that the problem is being caused by speculators in the first place.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
45. The speculators are betting on the EU boycott of Iranian oil and the possibility of an attack
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 12:01 PM
Feb 2012

If you take those off the table, the price comes down immediately.

ibegurpard

(16,685 posts)
46. well, right
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 12:03 PM
Feb 2012

which seems to me to give us an opening for why we should be arguing for increased regulation on commodities speculation and not just flood the market.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
48. Regulation of oil speculation in the US won't affect the world market
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 12:19 PM
Feb 2012

The price for imported oil is set by the prices for Brent, Bonny Light, Dubai, and other internationally traded crudes. These prices, which tend to follow Brent, are what determine the price of imported crude oil. The price of imported crude sets the price into refineries on the US coasts.

The cash settlement price for Brent is established by Platts, based on their assessment of prices paid for cargoes at Brent and at a few other points in the North Sea.

http://www.platts.com/Products/crudeoilmarketwire

Although they are a subsidiary of McGraw Hill, it is doubtful that the US govt would have much control over them.

Global Network


Platts employs a total staff of more than 900, and maintains a network of correspondents spanning the globe. It has more than 15 offices in key cities, including major energy centers such as London, Dubai, Singapore and Houston, and global business centers such as Sao Paulo, Shanghai and New York, where its headquarters is located.


Products & Services


Platts publishes news, research, commentary, market data and analysis, and more than 9,000 price assessments daily that are widely used as benchmarks in the physical and futures markets. Its products and services include real-time news and price information; end-of-day market data; newsletters and reports; geospatial data and maps; conferences; and a weekly television program broadcast in the US and online.



In addition, Platts serves customers through two business lines that operate under their own well-established brand names: The Steel Index (TSI), a price information specialist which compiles indexes through the collection of transaction data from industry participants, and BENTEK Energy®, a specialist in natural gas fundamental market data analysis.


 

taught_me_patience

(5,477 posts)
57. Yet the Ford F-150 is the #1 selling car in America
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 01:16 PM
Feb 2012

Maybe we ought to self-reflect on our own consumption levels before building more pipelines.

 

MadHound

(34,179 posts)
74. Like many others on the coasts, you are forgetting something about "flyover country".
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:59 PM
Feb 2012

That it is our food supply. If the price of gas goes up here, it will hurt you even more. No gas, no farms. No farms, no food.

 

FarCenter

(19,429 posts)
75. If the price of energy goes up, the price of food will go up, and we will eat less
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 06:36 PM
Feb 2012

Since Americans are rather obese, a little decrease in the food supply and a shift away from highly processed to basic foods will be good for us.

The percentage of energy that goes into agriculture is small, compared with other things like travel to attend sports events and religous services, so it is really not in danger. Plus, one of the major energy uses by agriculture is the production of fertilizer from natural gas, which is rather cheap right now.

 

unkachuck

(6,295 posts)
80. sadly....
Sun Feb 26, 2012, 11:38 PM
Feb 2012

....as long as we have a corrupt government that refuses to control its' economic system, the oil monopoly and the wall-street casinos will continue to put the American economy and consumer at risk....

NickB79

(19,253 posts)
83. So in summary: 1) approve Keystone XL, 2) build more refineries, and 3) scrap clean-air rules
Mon Feb 27, 2012, 03:44 AM
Feb 2012

Alrighty, any other RW talking points that were missed?

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