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If the 2014 elections were held today, Republicans would be in grave danger of losing control of the House of Representatives, according to a series of 24 surveys conducted byPublic Policy Polling in Republican-held House districts over the past few days. The surveys challenge the conventional wisdom that gerrymandering has put the House out of reach for Democrats.
The surveys, commissioned and paid for by MoveOn.org Political Action, showRepublican incumbents behind among registered voters in head-to-head contests with generic Democratic challengers in 17 districts. In four other districts, the incumbent Republican falls behind a generic Democratic candidate after respondents are told that theRepublican incumbent supported the government shutdown.
In only three districts do Republican incumbents best generic Democratic challengers after voters are told theincumbent supported the government shutdown.
Democrats must pick up 17 seats to win control of the House. These poll results makeclear that if the election were held today, such a pickup would be well within reach.
The districts where a generic Democratic challenger leads prior to any information being provided about the shutdown are:CA-31, CO-06, FL-02, FL-10, FL-13, IA-03, IA-04, IL-13, KY-06, MI-01, MI-07,MI-11, NY-19, OH-14, PA-07, PA-08, WI-07
http://www.scribd.com/doc/173826158/GOP-could-lose-the-House-in-2014
gopiscrap
(23,763 posts)Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)Please.