Can Mitt do Dixie?

[DonCoquixote]

Outside of Florida, a state which has a mixture of Dixie and Latin America, Mitt has not won a southern state? Is this an elephant in the room?

I ask because I wonder if Newt is holding out for Dixie, saying "you know the folk in the South ain't votin for no Mormon.." If nothing else, all he would have to do is hold out till Texas votes, because of Mitt cannot win Texas or any other Dixie state, than the GOP will realize that one of their lynchpins of power may slip.

PS: how much you want to bet that Ron Paul dives out before Texas?

[bluestateguy]

1. This is what I think

Romney's margin among white evangelicals (disproportionately in the South) will be 72%-28%, which would only be a couple percent below the McCain-Palin margin.

BUT (and this is a big but), the white evangelical turnout will be lower than 2008 and well lower than 2004, which could make states like Georgia and Texas available to Obama. If he tries.

[demosincebirth]

3. Many evangelicals will stay home and not vote if Romney is the candidate. I agree with you.

[RZM]

4. Doubtful

Republicans will keep what they had in 2008. They will almost certainly regain North Carolina too. Florida and Virginia will be tossups. Still, they need Ohio and Iowa to seal the deal even if they sweep the south. That's not very likely.

[bluestateguy]

5. Don't pee in my Wheaties.

nt

[aint_no_life_nowhere]

2. Yesterday on MSNBC, Michael Steele said it's now virtually impossible for Romney to win

the nomination on the first ballot at the convention, when delegates must pledge to the their candidate. He can't get the required number of delegates because he can't win in the south. Steele said that will mean they will be released to vote for whoever they want on the second ballot and that might open up the possibilities.