KY-Sen: Pollster Who Accurately Predicted Harry Reid's 2010 Win Has Grimes (D) Edging McConnell (R)

[WI_DEM]

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/09/10/1328654/-KY-Sen-Pollster-That-Accurately-Predicted-Harry-Reid-s-2010-Win-Has-Grimes-D-Edging-McConnell-R

According to a new internal poll, Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes has a small lead over Sen. Mitch McConnell in Kentucky 43%-42%.
The poll, conducted for the Grimes campaign by the Melman Group, found that the Democrat has more strong support than McConnell (35%-30%). Grimes leads Independents by ten points (40%-30%), and she leads by nine points with voters who know both candidates (50%-41%). Despite millions of dollars in negative advertising from McConnell and outside groups that are supporting him, Grimes has maintained a net positive personal favorability rating of (+5). Her personal favorable rating is 41%-36%. McConnell’s personal favorable rating is a net (-5), 42%-47%.

Mitch McConnell’s negative job approval rating continues to drag him down...

[Dawgs]

1. Long way to go but good news.

[Proud Public Servant]

2. That poll doesn't have Grimes winning

unless it has a 0% margin of error. A poll -- especially an internal poll -- showing 43-42 8 weeks out doesn't tell us anything. And sadly, there hasn't been a non-internal poss showing Grimes ahead in almost 3 months.

[bigdarryl]

8. Stop being a Debbie downer

The major point in all this is this poll accurately predicted Reeds numbers.Just because it's a internal. Poll doesn't mean it's off.You don't think McConnell doesn't have his own internal polling.One other point if the race is a far gone conclusion why is Mcturtle spending all this money to be reelected

[randome]

3. What does Nate Silver say?

[hr][font color="blue"][center]“If you're not committed to anything, you're just taking up space.”
Gregory Peck, Mirage (1965)[/center][/font][hr]

[Proud Public Servant]

4. Nate Silver, Sam Wang

RCP and Pollster.com all have McConnell up by 5. Silver puts his chances of winning in November at 83%. I really want Grimes, but clinging to a single internal poll that contradicts everything else out there seems so...so...Romneyish.

[City Lights]

5. Fingers crossed! nt

[pnwmom]

6. That poll says it's a toss-up. Which is exciting, but it's not a lead

when it's within the margin of error.

[MineralMan]

7. GOTV for Democrats in KY!

That oughta do it.

[Doctor_J]

9. god, that would be absolutely historic

go, allison