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cali

(114,904 posts)
Mon Sep 15, 2014, 12:04 PM Sep 2014

Ugh. Shaheen, Brown in dead heat in NH Senate Race

Scott Brown, the former senator from Massachusetts who moved to New Hampshire to run in a more friendly environment, appears to be in a dead heat with Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, a new poll shows.

A CNN/ORC International poll out Monday finds Shaheen and Brown tied among likely voters, with both obtaining the support of 48% among 735 voters surveyed.

A close race could mean bad news for Democrats, who are struggling to maintain control of the Senate. Keeping the seat in the Democratic column is crucial if the party want to maintain a slim majority in the Senate.

One thing working in Shaheen's favor is her high favorable ratings. More than half of likely voters -- 54% -- have a favorable view of the first-term incumbent, while Brown's favorability is not as high. His rating currently sits at 46%.

What could be a drag on Shaheen, however, is New Hampshire residents' opinion of the leader of her party. Thirty-eight percent of New Hampshire adults polled approve of the job President Barack Obama is doing, while 60% disapprove. Throughout the campaign, Brown has sought to tie Shaheen to Obama.

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http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/15/politics/new-hampshire-senate-poll/

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Ugh. Shaheen, Brown in dead heat in NH Senate Race (Original Post) cali Sep 2014 OP
Not to worry. At some point, he's bound to open his mouth. KamaAina Sep 2014 #1
I live in NH and I totally dismiss the polls. Vinca Sep 2014 #2
I hope you're right. Although I don't live in NH, I have to say cali Sep 2014 #3

Vinca

(50,278 posts)
2. I live in NH and I totally dismiss the polls.
Mon Sep 15, 2014, 12:12 PM
Sep 2014

I'm betting the majority of people with a better-than-sixth-grade education are like me. They have caller ID or cell phones, recognize the pollster numbers (we're pestered to death here) and don't pick up the phone.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
3. I hope you're right. Although I don't live in NH, I have to say
Mon Sep 15, 2014, 12:16 PM
Sep 2014

NH's record isn't entirely encouraging. voters there seem to be an unpredictable lot. I don't dismiss polls. they're a rough barometer. I do think Shaheen will probably win- she's the incumbent and as the article pointed out, she has high favorables, but I don't like seeing the polls (this isn't the only one) this close.

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