serious question...

[book_worm]

how reliable are exit polls which some networks are reporting when so many voters these days vote early?

[el_bryanto]

1. Any Poll is a sample of a larger population

and thus subject to issues like this one. That's why they talk about models so much these days - in theory a good model will take into account the types of people who vote early and account for it.

In practice it's hard to say - and certainly if you believe that the media is already biased against us, it's easy to imagine they aren't really looking for the best models.

Bryant

[arcane1]

2. I don't consider them very reliable, personally.

[truedelphi]

3. I have no idea about exist polls. However I rarely rely on TV

To tell me anything. (Unless on more exotic cable channels wher DemocracyNow and Amy Goodman can be found.)

About a decade back, when Debra Bowen was running for the office of Registrar of Voters for the state of Calif, some NBC reporters out of the Sacramento affiliate happily interviewed her competitor, congratulated that woman on her great run for office, and congratulated her on her "Big Win."

I was almost in tears thinking this pig had won. Then I called up a friend to find out that Bowen had indeed won. But hey, why should reality interfere with what is on TV news?

The media on ABC, CBS and NBC is totally owned by the most Conservative Forces on earth. (And then there is Fox,as well.)