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DanTex

(20,709 posts)
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:33 AM Nov 2014

Running more liberal candidates wouldn't have helped. That's the reality.

I'm not a fan of conservative Dems, but that doesn't mean that they or the "Republican-lite" strategy is responsible for the losses.

The root causes, as I see them, were that the Republicans were able to make Obamacare and Obama unpopular, and that they avoided responsibility for gridlock in congress. It didn't have much to do with candidates running too far towards the center or too far left or any of that.

There are also the usual factors. Yes, a lot of voters are dumb, but we knew that. Yes, white working class men voted against their own interests, but that always happens. There's the gerrymandering, the fact that senate seats up for election were mostly red, along with the fact that both houses of congress structurally favor conservatives (the senate because low-population states have the same number of senators than high-pop states which lean blue, the house because liberal voters are concentrated into a smaller number of urban districts).

But those factors are persistent.

Of things that could actually have been done differently, I think Obama bears a good amount of responsibility. Not because of the way he's governed, but because of how he's managed the propaganda wars, throughout his presidency. He's the leader of the party and the nation, it's his responsibility to ensure that there are people and a strategy in place to make sure that Republican lies are rebutted persistently and effectively.

But it's an uphill fight. With corporate media and tons of money on the right, it was never going to be easy. Anyone who thinks there is a simple solution like (let's lets run "real Democrats&quot is wrong. Who knows if Obama could have done better. He did get re-elected, so he certainly could have done a lot worse.

27 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Running more liberal candidates wouldn't have helped. That's the reality. (Original Post) DanTex Nov 2014 OP
Running moderates just lost us 7-9 senate seats and the majority libtodeath Nov 2014 #1
Who has donated to Sanders, the only one so far who has admitted to wanting to run for Pres. in 2016 merrily Nov 2014 #8
you still believe that? VanillaRhapsody Nov 2014 #26
But running moderates wasn't the cause of the loss. That's my point. DanTex Nov 2014 #12
How can we know and yes they were moderates libtodeath Nov 2014 #16
We can't know for sure, but we can look at the facts and try to reason. DanTex Nov 2014 #20
The poster is right. It was against Obama, not because of "how liberal" the candidates were. TampaAnimusVortex Nov 2014 #22
It's absurd to think that's why we lost those seats cali Nov 2014 #21
Yep, no bomb-throwers in that bunch. Eleanors38 Nov 2014 #23
Yeah, keep running Republican-lite Le Taz Hot Nov 2014 #2
I thought the reality was that the entire system is FUBAR, from the Kochs and their pals, to merrily Nov 2014 #3
Neoliberal technocracy: winning hearts and minds since 1992 unrepentant progress Nov 2014 #4
Sounds like speculation to me. bemildred Nov 2014 #5
X 1000 libtodeath Nov 2014 #10
Of course it's speculation. You're speculating too. DanTex Nov 2014 #11
Quite. nt bemildred Nov 2014 #13
Al Franken won his seat again, and that's not speculation. nt Electric Monk Nov 2014 #14
Right, but the conclusion that more Al Frankens would have done better in other states is. DanTex Nov 2014 #25
Define or be defined. That is the question. Eleanors38 Nov 2014 #6
Don't forget too maryellen99 Nov 2014 #7
Huh??? Dawgs Nov 2014 #9
whatever the right strategy is, it has to address right-wing media control. unblock Nov 2014 #15
True That! mazzarro Nov 2014 #27
blah, old people are bored, old people vote, old people tend to be fundies snooper2 Nov 2014 #17
We would have lost no matter who we put up. hrmjustin Nov 2014 #18
This explains it: flamin lib Nov 2014 #19
Unlikely to win if they did JonLP24 Nov 2014 #24

libtodeath

(2,888 posts)
1. Running moderates just lost us 7-9 senate seats and the majority
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:36 AM
Nov 2014

tell me how much fucking good that does for us?
If we are going to lose then lose in a fight not in a me too mush.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
8. Who has donated to Sanders, the only one so far who has admitted to wanting to run for Pres. in 2016
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:40 AM
Nov 2014

provided he can raise the money and see evidence of popular support (which would help him raise money). Who has even written him a letter urging him to run?

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
12. But running moderates wasn't the cause of the loss. That's my point.
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:44 AM
Nov 2014

Running liberals wouldn't have helped.

libtodeath

(2,888 posts)
16. How can we know and yes they were moderates
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:48 AM
Nov 2014

I want to see dozens of Senator Warrens running and let the chips fall.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
20. We can't know for sure, but we can look at the facts and try to reason.
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:57 AM
Nov 2014

Maybe running a bunch of Warrens would have lost us even more seats. Seems to me, with Obamacare and Obama's approval ratings where they are, and people not blaming Republicans for gridlock, there's not much that would have changed the outcome.

TampaAnimusVortex

(785 posts)
22. The poster is right. It was against Obama, not because of "how liberal" the candidates were.
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 12:08 PM
Nov 2014

This was a referendum on Obama and his policies. That's why candidates were running from him and trying to be more centrist. More liberal candidates that weren’t running from him would have been trounced even worse.

On a good note, this is all cyclical... the metronome hand swings back and forth. This is only 1 tick.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
21. It's absurd to think that's why we lost those seats
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:58 AM
Nov 2014

because candidates weren't liberal enough.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
3. I thought the reality was that the entire system is FUBAR, from the Kochs and their pals, to
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:37 AM
Nov 2014

the corporate/establishment media, to vote suppression, to the uber-partisan, shameful SCOTUS, etc.

It all comes down to love of money and power, much as when former bureaucrat Julius Caesar decided he was God, as well as Emperor.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
5. Sounds like speculation to me.
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:39 AM
Nov 2014

The reality is if you want to defeat Republicans, you have to run against them. Cowards lose.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
25. Right, but the conclusion that more Al Frankens would have done better in other states is.
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 12:21 PM
Nov 2014

And I don't think that conclusion is supported by the observable reality.

maryellen99

(3,789 posts)
7. Don't forget too
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:40 AM
Nov 2014

That it has been drummed into people's heads for the past 30+ years that the Democratic Party is the party of no good lazy blacks and handouts and they believe that anyone who votes democratic is on government assistance. How do you overcome that?

unblock

(52,227 posts)
15. whatever the right strategy is, it has to address right-wing media control.
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:47 AM
Nov 2014

that's a huge, huge advantage for republicans. we have to recognize that our candidate and our message will be viewed through a heavily filtered lens and the image the voters have, especially in swing districts/states, will not be the view we here on du have.

one possible conclusion is that we might as well run ardent liberals, because they're going to be painted as such regardless, might as well appeal to the base, won't turn off the opposition any more than the right-wing propaganda is going to do anyway.

in any event, putting the blame on any one person or one strategy or whatever is certainly overly simplistic. getting good democrats elected is hard in this warped political environment, between the biased media and the ridiculous private cash funding.

mazzarro

(3,450 posts)
27. True That!
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 01:46 PM
Nov 2014

And the left has no sugar daddy to puny up and buy a mass media company to balance out Faux Noise at least; hmmmmmmmmm!

 

snooper2

(30,151 posts)
17. blah, old people are bored, old people vote, old people tend to be fundies
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 11:49 AM
Nov 2014

that is all...it isn't that complicated

luckily the crowd that watches Pat Robertson are dying off like he is soon so only another 10-20 years of idiots left then their numbers will be meaningless...


JonLP24

(29,322 posts)
24. Unlikely to win if they did
Wed Nov 5, 2014, 12:13 PM
Nov 2014

Democrats are not a midterm party, if Obama had higher approval ratings and middle class voters started feeling the effects of a better economy they'd have a chance. Also media coverage isn't close to what is seen in Preisdential years so messaging is diffficult, especially when Republicans are running 6 to 1 ads in races they're already heavily favored to win.

I still think it was a poor strategy depending on the races in question.

But the White House and congressional Democrats have in recent weeks launched a messaging offensive aimed at blunting the anticipated GOP barrage. Before the Memorial Day recess, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi distributed a 78-page binder instructing members on how to sell the bill in their districts, and White House officials ranging from Obama to Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack highlighted the benefits of the bill in a spree of university commencement speeches.

In the special House election last month in South Carolina, Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch distanced herself from Obamacare (she supported it, but with major caveats). But that race, which Colbert Busch lost to former Gov. Mark Sanford, was an outlier because the district is more conservative than the typical swing House district.

At the very least, Democrats say, four years’ worth of scrutiny, bad press and political attacks have lowered expectations for success of the rollout of the new system. They figure a smoother-than-anticipated launch will play to their benefit.

“The reality is, this is coming on line,” said John Anzalone, a Democratic pollster who has conducted extensive public opinion research on the health care bill. “The expectations are so low that the Obama administration will meet those expectations and possibly exceed them.”

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2013/06/dems-2014-strategy-own-obamacare-92172_Page2.html#ixzz3ID6Lwbac

I will give you my thoughts on Krysten Sinema who represents a district that has Democratic ASU campus but heavily republican on the east. She was outnumbered in ads portraying her as a terrorist lover "she voted to give rights to terrorists!!!!" who wanted open borders. Her only ad just focused on helping veterans, no attack ads. She also had the benefit of having a half hour presenting herself when her opponent skipped out on the only televised debate claiming 'there were no ground rules agreed to by both parties so she choose to be with voters' was what her campaign said.

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