Commodity Shipping Measure Falls to 28-Year Low on China Demand
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-01-29/shipping-gauge-falls-to-28-year-low-as-china-demand-growth-slows
As boring as this sounds, combined with the loss of US oil rigs this past quarter, this is pretty important.
The Baltic Dry Index plunged 5.1 percent to 632 points, the lowest since Aug. 22, 1986, according to data from the Baltic Exchange in London on Thursday. Freight rates for all the vessel types within the measure declined.
China, the worlds biggest buyer of of coal and iron ore, will increase imports of the two commodities by 6 percent this year, down from a growth rate of 8.7 percent in 2014, according to estimates from Clarkson Plc, the worlds largest shipbroker. The nations economic expansion this year will be the slowest since 1990, the average of 67 economists forecasts compiled by Bloomberg shows.
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Total trade in dry-bulk commodities, which also include cargoes such as grains, steel, sugar and scrap metal, will expand about 4 percent to 4.67 billion metric tons this year, about the same as last years increase, Clarkson data show. The capacity of the fleet of vessels able to haul the commodities will increase 5.1 percent, it anticipates.
The demand from China is weak, Charles Rupinski, senior analyst at Global Hunter Securities LLC, said by phone from New York on Thursday. Theres been a large number of new build deliveries and people had been expecting a recovery.
Basically, after the financial crisis, when prices were low, a lot of companies bought or fixed up cargo ships, and this glut is driving the price of freight shipping down.