Cruz thinks he can improve on Karl Rove's results among "gays, guns and God" voters. Not in 2016...
Ted Cruz has no path to win: His play for evangelical vote wont fly as GOPs Wall Street and Tea Party wings collide
The Texas senator thinks he can improve on Karl Rove's results among "gays, guns and God" voters. Not in 2016...
JOHN STOEHR
For the 2004 election, Karl Rove resolved to avoid a too-close-to-call repeat of the 2000 contest. He believed as many as 4 million white evangelical voters failed to show up in the race between George W. Bush and Al Gore. Four years later, President Bush was enjoying strong approval ratings as a war president, but Rove wasnt taking any chances. He set out to inflame conservative fear with a campaign strategy built on a theme of
Gays, Guns and God.
White evangelical voters are a fickle lot. They dont support just any Republican. They need to be courted. Wined and dined, you might say. John McCain, who never cared for social conservatives or their penchant for governmental control over private behavior, saw 2 million fewer white evangelical votes than President Bush did four years prior. Even more stayed home in 2012.
In launching his 2016 campaign at Liberty University, Ted Cruz was making clear his intention to be the Republican candidate of the gays, guns and God bloc. But, according to Bloomberg Politics Dave Weigel and Ben Brody, the Texas senator is aiming higher than Rove did. Cruz, they said, is banking on the theory that
8 million to 9 million white evangelical voters havent been turning out. As many as 35 million of their peers had, but if the exit polls were right, enough evangelicals stayed home to lose states like Ohio and Florida in 2008 and 2012.
So Cruz
cut to the chase in Lynchburg: Roughly half of born-again Christians arent voting. Theyre staying home. Imagine, instead, millions of people of faith all across America coming out to the polls and voting our values.
Its a gamble, as presidential politics tends to be. But his odds are made longer by two factors. One is obvious. Cruz is hoping to double the gays, guns and God bloc 4 million more than Rove got. Not easy. The other reason is more complicated, and it has nothing to do with immigration.
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http://www.salon.com/2015/04/28/ted_cruz_has_no_path_to_win_his_play_for_evangelical_vote_wont_fly_as_gops_wall_street_and_tea_party_wings_collide/