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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe next GOP president won’t walk away from the Iran deal. Here’s why.
By Paul Waldman July 14 at 12:27 PM
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Scott Walker said it will be remembered as one of Americas worst diplomatic failures. Jeb Bush called it dangerous, deeply flawed, and short-sighted. Marco Rubio said it undermines our national security. And as usual, Lindsey Graham wins the award for the most unhinged conclusions: the deal is akin to declaring war on Sunni Arabs and Israel, he told Bloomberg News. He also said: Youve created a possible death sentence for Israel. Most of the Republican presidential candidates have pledged in the past not to honor the deal if they reach the White House. But heres the truth: they will.
So this is one more Obama administration achievement you can add to the list of things that Republicans rage at, insist their presidential candidates pledge to undo, and will one day (if they ever regain the White House) be appalled to find that a president from their party wont actually be able to roll back.
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Lets think for a moment about what it would mean if the next president abandoned this deal. Such an action would involve two parts: reimposing sanctions and walking away from inspections. But theres no reason to think that the other world powers that agreed to this deal would go along with either one, particularly if the new arrangement is operating as it was intended. Dont forget that this isnt a deal between Iran and the United States, its a deal between Iran, the United States, Russia, China, and Europe. The reason the current sanctions regime has crippled the Irans economy is that it was imposed not just by the United States but also by the United Nations, the European Union, and many other individual countries. So if we reimposed sanctions but those other countries didnt, Iran would be left with plenty of trading partners.
That means that if President Walker/Bush/Rubio/Trump walked away from the deal, it wouldnt actually hurt Iran that much. But it would mean saying that America is no longer interested in keeping tabs on Irans nuclear program were going to pull out our inspectors, and as far as were concerned they can do what they like.
Thats a plan so stupid that its hard to imagine even the current GOP presidential candidates carrying it out.
For now, there are two questions that every Republican who opposes this deal must be asked: First, whats your alternative? And second, can you explain exactly how your alternative would prevent Iran from pursuing a nuclear weapon? Policy choices dont exist in a vacuum. Whenever we say that one course of action is problematic, were saying that another course would be better. As far as I can tell (though it isnt easy to figure out since theyre so vague on this question), the Republican position is that we should have walked away from these negotiations and just
wait. Then after some undetermined period, Iran would come crawling back and give us everything we could ever want, without the need for any negotiations at all.
more
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2015/07/14/the-next-gop-president-wont-walk-away-from-the-iran-deal-heres-why/?
randys1
(16,286 posts)come back
phylny
(8,380 posts)Jesus, why take medicine, be vaccinated, have surgery, radiation, chemo, you name it, if you want to meet him sooner rather than later?
think
(11,641 posts)oasis
(49,387 posts)A possible war with Iran.
The American public will overwhemingly reject any political solution which would increase that chance.
randome
(34,845 posts)[hr][font color="blue"][center]If you're not committed to anything, you're just taking up space.
Gregory Peck, Mirage (1965)[/center][/font][hr]
postulater
(5,075 posts)He takes his orders from his donors and lets God take the responsibility for whatever happens.
If he becomes president he will be the most dangerous man on earth.