What Republican will quit next now that Walker is bowing out?

[Algernon Moncrieff]

In fifth place is former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, at 9%. He's followed by Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 6% each, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky at 4%, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at 3%, Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 2% and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania at 1%.

Five other candidates received less than one-half of 1 percentage point support: former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore, Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, former New York Gov. George Pataki and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker.

Full CNN Article

15 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Time expired
	Pataki
	3 (20%)
	Jindal
	4 (27%)
	Graham
	4 (27%)
	Gilmore
	1 (7%)
	Santorum
	1 (7%)
	Kasich
	0 (0%)
	Christie
	1 (7%)
	Paul
	0 (0%)
	Other
	1 (7%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
Show usernames Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll

[gratuitous]

1. How will we find out?

It's not like any of these nobodies is commanding a whole lot of media attention nowadays.

[Algernon Moncrieff]

21. Nobody is attracting much attention outside of Trump and Fiorina.

Carson's poll numbers are fascinating because he (comparatively) hasn't gotten much attention.

[louis-t]

2. Kasich, then Pataki.

Then Gilmore. Jindal will stay to the end to increase speaking fees. So will Lindsay, Huck, and Santorum. Cruz will pretend he won the election and wander Pennsylvania Ave. giving speeches to homeless people.

[Erich Bloodaxe BSN]

4. Nah, Kasich will look to pick up all the tag ends.

He won't bow out til at least all of the folks with 0-1% are gone or past him.

[Algernon Moncrieff]

22. I think that's what Jeb is hoping to do.

Pick up an additional 5% once the weak candidates are sent packing, and then hope he can sell that as "momentum."

[Cayenne]

3. Huckabee

[Algernon Moncrieff]

8. Huckabee, Santorum, and Carson are all competing for the same voting block

Right now, Carson is smoking the other two.

[Liberal_in_LA]

5. Jeb isn't on your list

[Algernon Moncrieff]

6. No, but you can pick Jeb as "other"

Here's my theory: The RNC wants to winnow out the seriously weak hands prior to the Colorado debate. My theory is that everyone polling < 5% will be asked to throw in the towel.

Some will be stubborn (I'm thinking Santorum here)

As long as Jeb is hovering near 10%, he will hang-in until Super Tuesday hoping that the political newcomers at the top will implode.

[louis-t]

7. I agree.

[morningfog]

9. Soon will be Christie, Santorum and Jindal.

Pataki and Kaisch, McConnell and Graham in the next round.

[Algernon Moncrieff]

20. I think Santorum will be stubborn

Honestly, I think he will try to hang in until Iowa.

[olddots]

10. Ayn Paul is just sane enough to bow out soon

but with these lizards who knows what can happen ?

[Algernon Moncrieff]

12. His low poll numbers are fascinating

He inherited his dad's machine, and Ron pretty consistently polled around 10% in 2008 and 2012 -- so you'd figure Rand would be in similar territory. Also (not that this is scientific at all) Rand is the 2nd most ftrquent Republican bumper sticker I see (most frequent: Ben Carson).

Rand's lower numbers might indicate how much of Ron's support was owing to his opposition to the Iraq war.

[hifiguy]

11. Booby Jindal.

His fifteen seconds are long up.

[Algernon Moncrieff]

13. I've thought all along he was running for Veep

I still think their Veep nominee will be Susanna Martinez (Governor of NM).

[OakCliffDem]

14. Christie has too much baggage to go much longer

It is tough dragging a bridge behind you.

[Algernon Moncrieff]

15. The irony is that he's spent two years toning down his remarks

you know - doing the talk shows, not being as blunt and trying to sound more presidential.

...so the Republican voters switched to Trump.

[TwilightGardener]

16. Who's under 5% and not totally delusional?

That will be the next dropout. I can't believe TippyToes is running fifth, BTW. That's pretty funny.

[Algernon Moncrieff]

19. Nothing in their primary season is going as predicted.

Then again, who predicted Barack Obama in '07?

[lpbk2713]

17. I always thought Rubio was only in the race for the exposure.

He's not ready for prime time.

I think what he really has his eye on is to be anyone's veep running mate and then he hopes to use that in the future as a stepping stone. Notice how he's been careful about not seriously offending any of his fellow candidates?

[Algernon Moncrieff]

18. If you go with conventional political wisdom, what you say makes perfect sense

If the pundits are to be believed, Hillary Clinton would win the GE. However, no party has held the White House for longer than 12 years since FDR/Truman ('33-'53). So, conventional wisdom would also dictate that Hillary would be a one-termer. Rubio would be well positioned to run in 2020. I also notice that his political positions have softened slightly -- enough to where he is considered by some to be center/right instead of far right.

[Bucky]

23. Jeeze.... FINALLY a poll that Trump isn't winning

of course the distributive property of mathematics reminds us that it doesn't particularly matter which order they drop out in.

[Algernon Moncrieff]

24. "A positive, conservative alternative to the current frontrunner"

"I encourage other Republican presidential candidates to consider doing the same so the voters can focus on a limited number of candidates who can offer a positive, conservative alternative to the current frontrunner," Walker added.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/scott-walker-announcement


The order does not particularly matter except that Jeb needs people to drop out who will switch to him. So Rand Paul dropping out likely would not help him. Ditto Ted Cruz. As I said upthread, he needs these voters to switch to him so he can argue he's gaining momentum.