New Dem Poll: Vitter Trails Dem Rival By 12 Points In Louisiana Guv Runoff

[babylonsister]

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/poll-vitter-trails-bel-edwards-12-points

New Dem Poll: Vitter Trails Dem Rival By 12 Points In Louisiana Guv Runoff


By Catherine Thompson
Published October 29, 2015, 2:31 PM


Sen. David Vitter (R-LA) trails Democratic gubernatorial rival John Bel Edwards by 12 points after edging out his Republican challengers in Saturday's jungle primary, according to a Democratic poll made public Thursday.

The survey conducted by Democratic polling firm Anzalone Liszt Grove on behalf of the anti-Vitter Gumbo PAC found Edwards, a state representative, leading the senator 52 percent to 40 percent. The runoff is Nov. 21.

Notably, the poll found that voters who cast their ballots for losing Republican candidates Scott Angelle and Lt. Gov Jay Dardenne are now just as likely to choose Edwards as they are to choose Vitter. Forty-seven percent of those Republican voters said they'd be likely to move toward Edwards while 46 percent said they'd be likely to move toward Vitter.

Those Republican voters also have a more favorable view of Edwards than they do of Vitter. Forty-seven percent of Angelle and Dardenne supporters said they viewed Edwards favorably compared to forty percent who said they viewed Vitter favorably.

The poll surveyed 700 likely runoff voters by phone from Oct. 26-28. The survey had a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points.

Correction: This post has been updated to reflect that Edwards leads Vitter 52-40, not 50-42.

[NYCButterfinger]

1. Good. Southern Democrats are slowly coming back.

Last year wasn't nice. Southern Democrats are the key to the party. You can't win Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, Georgia, what's the point of being president?

[Iliyah]

2. Family in New Orleans and Shreveport, and other parts (Hammond), etc.

And word is Edwards have a strong opportunity in winning the governorship. Yes he is a Conservative Dems, but he's way better than Vitter and a hell of a lot better than insane Jindal.

[Wellstone ruled]

3. Hope this holds.

Just do not trust the Election System in Louisiana.

[Ex Lurker]

4. A good omen, but this will go down to the wire

Vitter went negative right out of the gate and will continue to do so. The Super Pacs and national GOP will throw millions behind him. Vitter is not popular with other Republicans, but a lot of them will still vote for him. The other two Republican candidates have not officially endorsed Ewards, but their disdain for Vitter is well known. Edwards needs to pick up about half the voters who cast ballots for them. If he can do that, and other GOP voters stay home rather than vote for Vitter (and a lot of them will, the question is how many), he can make it.