Qestion, What senate races offer the best opportunities for our retaking a majority in the Senate?

[Stuart G]

I would like to follow them very closely. I do know about Duckworth in Illinois, and Feingold in Wisconsin, but haven't got a clue about the others. Do we need four or is it five to regain control? What are some close elections in other states, and who should we support? Thanks for your insight and ideas..

[vadermike]

1. off the top of my head

Well,

Dems or are now slighlt favored to win IL, AND WI....... thats two so far (hopfuly ) and possibly NH ( I think Clinton will possibly help Hassan over the line on this one, more than likely in a presidential year) .. so thats 3...... We are also doing well in FL .. i think we might have a better shot with Murphy but Grayson would do well too.. so thats 4.... PA is gonna be tough..... so that one is a lean R... Unfortunately.. Sestak isnt the greates Canididate BUT Mrs. Clinton COULD pull him over if she wins by alot but i am not sure cause he isnt the best candidate for that seat..... thats my top of the head analasys... i might be forgetting a few states

[Stuart G]

3. Than 4 is the correct number of take overs to regain control? (not 5?) no text.

[pinboy3niner]

5. It depends on which party wins the presidency

A net gain of 4 Dem seats makes the Senate 50-50, but under a Dem President Democrats would have control because the Vice President has a tie-breaking vote. With a Republican President, Democrats would need a net gain of 5 seats to gain control of the Senate.

[Stuart G]

6. Thank You for your answer...

[pinboy3niner]

10. You're welcome. nt

[Nevernose]

2. I don't know about the senate as a whole, but NV race will be close

Both likely contestants are popular and have held office before (although Republican Joe Heck probably has more name recognition).

http://www.rgj.com/story/news/2015/07/10/race-replace-reid-close/29990477/

It's a great question, and one I hope DU focuses more on pretty soon.

[bowens43]

4. the top of the ticket will determine our chances of taking back the senate

a presidential candidate who doesn't inspire and excite the Democratic base, especially the younger voters, will ensure that the republicans keep the senate.

[HereSince1628]

8. In WI, Dems could be seriously hurt by racial division

The pulse that has made WI blue in Presidential election years depends on Blacks and Hispanics.

Feingold didn't get that support in 2010. The best predictor of a vote is the previous vote. That's not real encouraging for Feingold.

Feingold's background much better aligns with Sanders than Clinton,

the Clinton surrogates are trying to destroy Sanders' connection with Blacks and Hispanics. If that wedge bites to cut off progressives in general, it would reduce Feingold's chances

[dsc]

7. Illinois and Wisconsin

are looking great. New Hampshire and Ohio are looking like toss ups. Florida is also looking decent. PA an NC are looking like outside shots at this point. PA could go our way. NV is our only race that could cost us a seat.

[jen63]

9. I need to check polling in Ohio.

Former Governor Ted Strickland is running against Rob Portman. Getting that madman out of the Senate would give us two great Progressive senators. Strickland has been campaigning heavily and is a wonderful person.

[Recursion]

11. If Vilsack decides to run in Iowa that could change the game there

Though right now he's still looking like he'll stay at Ag.

[loyalsister]

12. MO seems like it could be surprisingly competetive

We have a fantastic candidate running against Roy Blunt and he has fallen out of favor.

PPP finds Missouri Sen. Roy Blunt in surprisingly poor shape

MO-Sen, Gov: PPP's new poll of Missouri is interesting for a whole bunch of reasons. For starters, it finds Republican Sen. Roy Blunt with a startlingly poor 30-47 job approval rating, making the freshman one of the least popular senators in the country. That's a remarkable finding given that the last time PPP poll here (almost three years ago), the generally inoffensive Blunt sported a 35-34 score, and earlier this year, a survey from Republican pollster Remington Research gave him a 39-31 favorability rating.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/08/12/1411137/-Morning-Digest-PPP-finds-Missouri-Sen-Roy-Blunt-in-surprisingly-poor-shape