Trump does 10% better on online based polling than phone polling.

[Renew Deal]

Trump may be more popular than polls say because college educated people don't admit to supporting him.

From Morning Consult:

“The study finds that Trump performs about six percentage points better online than via live telephone interviewing and that his hidden advantage online is driven by adults with higher levels of education,” explains the report.

“Among adults with a bachelors degree or postgraduate degree, Trump performs about 10 percentage points better online than via live telephone,”

Trump normally scores higher among high-school educated respondents than among college-grad respondents. But his apparently poor performance with college-educated respondents is partly driven by their reluctance to speak freely in telephone polls.

http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Morning-Consult-Donald-Trump-online-versus-live-polling-methods-study1.pdf

[Xipe Totec]

1. Another possible explanation is manipulation by trolls. nt

[Wounded Bear]

2. You know that nobody has ever manipulated an online poll...

You knew that, didn't you?

[Renew Deal]

3. This is not open online polling

This is weighted closed invitation polling

[Wounded Bear]

4. So you're saying that it is just as manipulable as phone polls, then...?

[Renew Deal]

5. I'm not saying anything about that either way.

Morning Consult is saying that people aren't admitting to supporting him over the phone. It's an opposite Bradley affect.

[Xipe Totec]

7. All the more reason to suspect cherry picking by a poll paTroll. nt

[Renew Deal]

8. I don't understand what you mean.

[Xipe Totec]

9. As you said, it's not open online polling. They get to pick who to ask

biased sample selection can get you whatever results you want to see.

[MariaThinks]

6. the race is likely going to be Trump against Hillary.