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lpbk2713

(42,759 posts)
3. Trump comes across as a PT Barnum wannabe.
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 03:53 PM
Jan 2016



Some RWers like that in a candidate and that is what keeps Trump energized.
However, that's just a small margin of the eligible voters. I he makes it to the
GE I also think he will go down in flames in an embarrassing defeat.

underpants

(182,826 posts)
2. I think Cruz will do well. Might win.
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 03:52 PM
Jan 2016

The Iowa GOP went nutso Evangelical before Kansas or Texas or North Carolina and others.

Remember Santorum tied Romney for the Iowa win 4 years ago - both at 25%.

I think everyone stays in until Super Tuesday but I could be wrong.

What, no love for Gilmore!?!?!

drray23

(7,633 posts)
5. cruz will probably lose to trump
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 04:03 PM
Jan 2016

I fear trump will be the nominee. I am also not as confident as some of my fellow democrats that he has no chance of winning. Lets face it, the vast majority of this country is uninformed. No matter what, the republican candidate will have 48 % of the votes to start with. Its decided on independent turnout. I am worried that after 8 years of a democrat being president, the ill-informed people will just vote GOP because they "want to give a chance to the other side".
For these reasons, I would not call it in the bag if Trump is the nominee. If we do not show up for vote, we could lose.

gvstn

(2,805 posts)
16. That is scary but very accurate.
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 08:04 PM
Jan 2016

Low information voters may just want to give the other side a chance without considering policy. EEK!

dembotoz

(16,808 posts)
7. who would have thunk michele bachman would have done well
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 04:07 PM
Jan 2016

the churchy gop nutjobs do strange and crazy things

Mass

(27,315 posts)
8. Don't know. All I know is that Iowa polls are generally not reliable.
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 04:32 PM
Jan 2016

The ratio between likely and registered as seen in recent polls is silly (way too high). Now, hard to figure out who this favors in the polls, but we'll see soon enough.

Warpy

(111,271 posts)
9. Cruz has made too many enemies in his own party
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 04:36 PM
Jan 2016

Even if they managed to cheat him into office (he's unelectable), the resistance from his own party in Congress would neuter him.

To know him is to loathe him.

hfojvt

(37,573 posts)
12. even if
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 05:02 PM
Jan 2016

he pays his dues
follows his cues
and hires a muse?
can you be sure
or is this just a ruse?


anybody got a peanut?

madinmaryland

(64,933 posts)
17. Fiorina will be the first to go. With Carson, it depends on when he is
Mon Jan 25, 2016, 08:27 PM
Jan 2016

awake enough to actually say that he is backing out.

Paul will probably be like his father and stick it out, at least until he has to get out so that he can run in the Senate primary in KY.

And Santorum is just a frothy mess and could be in it for the long run!!

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