MSNBC Republican enterance poll. 63% Evangelical. 26% Cruz, 24% Trump

[Renew Deal]

2012 57% Romney tied Santorum
2008 62% Huckabee won big

26 Cruz
24 Trump
21 Rubio
12 Carson

Cruz tanked

[LittleBlue]

1. Yeah his ground game is supposed to be the best by a mile

He's got the advantage, I think. Unless Evangelicals unexpectedly break for Trump.

[Yo_Mama]

8. According to this, evangelicals aren't that obsessed with Cruz

http://www.forbes.com/sites/johnzogby/2016/02/01/iowa-caucus-live-results/#1f75f5684431

63% of GOP are evangelicals — Cruz 26%, Trump 24%, Rubio 21%. Trump losing among non-evangelicals. Cruz doing not well enough among evangelicals and badly among non-evangelicals (only 15%). Trump was right about evengelicals loving him.

Spelling error not mine.

In another place he (Zogby) is talking about Trump's strength being in moderates.

But it looks to me that in the results Cruz is doing well with a good chance of beating Trump; so far he's ahead.

[LittleBlue]

9. Interesting!

I just saw a 30-23-22 split with Cruz-Trump-Rubio. The non-Evangelicals could actually swing it.

[saltpoint]

2. Is that a percentage turnout for

evangelical pro-GOP fundies or their IQ?

[book_worm]

3. yep, that would be good for Cruz

I don't care if it's Trump or Cruz because either one of them would lose easily imo. I just don't want Rubio--the media is all for him and they will do everything they can to build him up.

[4139]

4. Don't forget about Ben Carson splitting that vote

[Renew Deal]

5. Agree

And I don't know why Cruz didn't make a bigger pitch about that. Probably because he knows people like Carson and don't like Cruz

[Dawson Leery]

6. The first time voters are most likely on the GOP side

as they want a purist.

[spanone]

7. the nut squad votes!

irrelevant