CBS news just said that Walker could lose on Tuesday

[malaise]

Bwaaaaaaaah hahahahha - I hope so.

[southernyankeebelle]

1. I sure hope they are right. On the other hand they could be wrong.

[freshwest]

5. We got our focus on them, anyway. K & R.

[malaise]

11. Same here

Would I like to see Joe Scum's face on Wednesday morning if he loses.
Remember though Dems need one seat among the other recalls and the legislative branch switches.

[CTyankee]

22. I will NOT watch MJ on Wednesday if the unthinkable happens! I refuse!

I will not listen to his moralistic saying how the "people" decided this. Bullshit!

I'll be done with lots of MSM if we don't win on Tuesday...really upset about this whole thing...

[southernyankeebelle]

26. The sad thing is doing the right could lose because of money.

[PatrynXX]

44. ho hum....

yeah but there'll be the question of Scott the bot wins. is it worth it or was worth it... well if we pick up a seat hell yes it was worth it and odds are more than generous on that. That and he'll probably be charged with corruption if he does win. then it becomes expensive.

[lastlib]

61. He's goin' down!

Stick a fork in Scott Walker, he.is.DONE!

[southernyankeebelle]

27. True we need to remember that. Plus remember that across this country.

[crunch60]

12. And I am saying Walker "will lose", no room for "could" here.

[southernyankeebelle]

25. I like your positive thinking. I hang on your positive thinking. I want you to be right.

[jerseyjack]

50. --- or it could be a tie score.

[southernyankeebelle]

53. Oh god I didn't think of that.

I am going to burn an extra long long candle and pray hard.

[Left Coast2020]

56. Actually, I had a positive thought about the 160,000 ballots that ....

..... came in wednesday/Thursday--as reported on the Ed Show. I really do have a feeling this will come out good. Lets all be positive.

Then on Wednesday we'll all be doing this...

[southernyankeebelle]

57. I really am trying.

[Tennessee Gal]

2. Would much rather they had said he WILL lose on Tuesday.

Could does not mean a thing.

[NYC_SKP]

3. BWAAAHAAAHAAAHAAA!!!

Walker, the skidmark in the undergarment of Wisconsin politics.

[proud2BlibKansan]

40. LOL that's what we call Brownback

You have to admit, the name fits. LOL

[senseandsensibility]

4. What was their reasoning? New poll numbers?

Love it!

[deutsey]

6. Cynical take: probably an attempt to scare Walker supporters into voting

Still, my optimistic side says: here's hoping it's true.

[GoCubsGo]

19. Or, get his opponents to stay home, thinking it's in the bag.

From all I have been hearing and reading, that isn't going to happen.

[ejbr]

42. + 1 n/t

[byeya]

7. Hope so, but it was probably low ratings

[malaise]

10. They didn't cite any

Was quite a detailed presentation where they looked at the implications for a variety of stakeholders

[progressoid]

23. Or just covering their asses.

Then after the election, they can point to this and say they predicted this.

[eowyn_of_rohan]

8. music to our ears -- beautiful sound

let it be so

[kestrel91316]

9. So mote it be.

[ThatsMyBarack]

13. K+R for luck!

[OVERPAID01]

14. ABC is owned by who?

ABC just announced (5 minutes ago) that polls show Walker winning out right. I recall faux news stating that despite a 55 to 45% exit poll data during Bush vs. Gore, in favor of Gore winning in Florida, polls can not be taken seriously. I wonder why we are supposed to take ABC's poll serious?

[GoCubsGo]

18. They are owned by The Walt Disney Corporation.

That explains their Mickey Mouse news programming. They're the worst of the three broadcast networks in that department.

[Jack Rabbit]

32. Wrong network

ABC is the Mickey Mouse organization.

[GoCubsGo]

36. Go back and read OVERPAID01's subject line...

That is who I was responding to.

[wpelb]

75. Walker's lead in Wisconsin recall election tightens in new poll

Another day, another poll:

By Rachel Rose Hartman
June 4, 2012

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker maintains a narrow lead in his recall election, but his standing has diminished in recent weeks, according to a new poll released on the eve of the election.

Walker leads Democratic challenger Tom Barrett, the mayor of Milwaukee, by just 3 percentage points in a new survey of likely voters ( pdf) conducted by Public Policy Polling. Walker leads Barrett 50 to 47 percent, down from the 50 to 45 percent matchup PPP found in a poll conducted three weeks ago. The margin of error for this week's poll is plus or minus 2.8 percent.

Link

[AnotherMcIntosh]

15. Let's hope that this doesn't suppress the vote. The Republicans and their MSM supporters

are willing to use dirty tricks.

[spanone]

16. k&r...

[Initech]

17. Stop the Koch Bros from declaring themselves Caesar on Tuesday!

[spanone]

20. this vote will ONLY be a big deal if walker wins...otherwise, the media will downplay it

trust me....

[Gregorian]

21. It's a sign of sickness that there's even a question.

What a reflection on the quality of this country. Toss out the garbage, and get this country into rehab.

[kentuck]

24. And how will they report it?

if he loses? That will be interesting.

[malaise]

28. Have no fear they'll have some back up story to cover wall to wall

If he loses this will be an afterthought

[crunch60]

43. I heard a Waker supporter talking about voter suppression. So they will

probably use that and money from Big Unions, yea, that's the ticket.

[Cosmocat]

66. They won't

This is a BIG deal, and if it a D, it would be regular national news.

Crickets chirping all along.

As noted, Walker wins by one vote, the Scarboros of the world will have their righteous snark on.

He loses, it will be dismissed on the rare moments it is mentioned.

[KurtNYC]

29. Do the Kochs get their money back if Walker loses ? n/t

[malaise]

31. I hope not

[Voice for Peace]

30. did they mention the cloud of John Doe hanging over his head?

[Jack Rabbit]

33. All well and good, but what makes them say that?

Curious minds want to know.

I've seen reports of polls showing Walker with a comfortable margin, but that was about a month ago and all he's gotten is bad news since. Still, the last polls I've seen have him about even.

Of course, I think he should be recalled, then tarred and feathered with the Koch brothers. Then we'll work on criminal indictments. But I digress.

Why does CBS say that?

[derby378]

34. We can only hope

It's time for unions to stage a resurgence after being kicked around for the last 30 years.

[indivisibleman]

35. A relative of mine was in Ripon last weekend

and the conservatives he spoke with were very fearful that they were going to lose.
Walker did terrible in the debates and Barrett was very good. We know of one person who watched Walker's performance and decided to vote against him because of it. How many more are there like her.
Boy we sure hope we can stop this man.

[iemitsu]

38. i sure hope you can recall the weasle too.

you have my support and good wishes.

[Greybnk48]

37. Hey Malaise, we're busting our butts here in WI!

I worked the phones today for 2 1/2--3 hours calling people who are not "regular" voters and I was pleasantly surprised by the response. Besides election fatigue, many I called were excited to vote for Tom Barrett or against Walker. A few hung up on me, but only about four out of about 100. Again. My list was of people that only usually vote for the President at most.

I'm excited!

[iemitsu]

39. a good report greybnk.

anecdotal but just the sort of story that could spell trouble for walker.
i hope others calling had the same experience and that everyone in the state with brains gets to the voting booth on tuesday (or before).

[malaise]

45. Wisconsin has been my inspiration for the past year

We've been buying only Wisconsin cheese since then.

Recall that scumbag Walker and those other ReTHUGs

[FailureToCommunicate]

47. THANK you for your phone work! May the results be in "our" favor!

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_q4ggTMQcLgY/Stpl4I8zvtI/AAAAAAAAElE/FtggMJCIkdc/s320/lily+tomlin+1.jpg

[writes3000]

58. THANK YOU!

I really appreciate all of your work. I'll donate more tomorrow. Please keep up the good work.

[SunSeeker]

41. K&R

[TomClash]

46. Keep hoping

The fix is in. Everywhere.

[L. Coyote]

48. Only if Wisconsin Dems learned their lesson from the Supreme Court special election

That, of course, is one of two possible lessons:

1.) Don't let them cheat and steal votes, or
2.) Get out the vote in the City of Milwaukee.

Some will remember the Milwaukee Anomaly, a huge red shift in the very bluest part of the state while the rest of WI shifted blue.
Did the blue voters stay home only in Milwaukee, or did someone rig the election in Democrat-rich Milwaukee?




http://jqjacobs.net/politics/spreadsheets.html#wisconsin

If they want to win this one, Milwaukee is where they have to focus either a powerful get out the vote effort or a high level of scrutiny. I recommend BOTH!

[sarcasmo]

49. Swift Kick!

[BlueDemKev]

51. RCP Average has Walker leading by 6.6 pts

Things just aren't looking as good as we'd hoped for at this point. Still, it's not over 'till it's over, and every single progressive in Wisconsin MUST get to the polls and vote on Tuesday--without fail.

[Quixote1818]

52. Wasn't the last poll before the debates and Clinton? nt

[BlueDemKev]

68. Post-Debate Poll

The PPP (a Democratic poll) taken over the weekend (June 2-3) has Walker leading 50% to 47% (sample was of 1,200 likely voters). I don't think Barrett is going to make it. What's sad is that this recall was a HUGE gamble: winning it would be great, but if we lose the ramifications could be catastrophic:

1) Obama would be very vulnerable in a state that he cannot afford to lose. If Wisconsin's 10 electoral votes go to Romney and Obama loses the election while winning between 260 and 269 electoral votes (just shy of the 270 needed to win) we'll ALL be kicking ourselves for this recall.

2) A Walker victory will embolden other Republican governors and legislatures across the country to end collective bargaining in their states which will essentially destroy unions--the only organized group powerful enough to match corporate $ in the post-Citizens United era.

Damn.

[uponit7771]

76. I agree with Debbie, I don't think the world is going to fall apart and it could bulster their clame

....that money talks in elections..

IF Walker also has to be charged in an investigation that isn't going to go well either.

The Kock brothers aren't going to throw 30million towards other kkkon governors either

[wpelb]

78. Polling at or above 50%

If a candidate consistently polls at or above 50%, it means that even if the undecideds go the other way, the candidate has the election in the bag. Consistent polls at 50%+ also reduce the likelihood of polling error (i.e., one poll could be an outlier, but multiple polls aren't likely to all be outliers in the same direction).

"Dewey Defeats Truman" isn't impossible, but it is highly unlikely in this day and age, where polling is sophisticated and continues up to election eve.

[FSogol]

54. Make it so... K&R

[Fearless]

55. In a just world he would. Never mind could! n/t

[jn2375]

59. PPP poll coming out tonight between 11 and midnight saw this posted on twitter

keeping fingers crossed

[Marie Marie]

60. Is it to much to wish for a double whammy here?

He loses the recall election AND gets indicted and sent to prison.

[libodem]

62. Please, oh, Please

[flamingdem]

63. yays!

nt

[itsrobert]

64. Keyword "could"

I could win the lottery Tuesday.

[thesquanderer]

65. hope so, but the media also loves to create horse races out of nothing (n/t)

[whatacountry09]

67. Explain cause I don't get it...

Isn't this big 'recall' being implemented because they want him out? Many people want him out? Then how and why is it possible for him to win?

[WinkyDink]

69. Whoa! Way to take a definitive stand!

[Joseph28]

70. CBS news just said that Walker could lose on Tuesday

[IMG][/IMG]many thanks

[Highway61]

71. "could" lose

The fact that this is even CLOSE boggels my mind. The willfully ignorant having a vote in any election just pisses me off.

[Marr]

72. Well, yes-- I believe that's the point of an election.

Just out of curiosity, did they go to a weatherman who explained that we might have rain or maybe sun?

[shcrane71]

73. In what context? Did a news anchor say this, or a pundit?

Just curious.

[wpelb]

74. Meaningless statement

Anything could happen at any time. I could be struck by a meteorite tomorrow. I could get up and go to work. Which is more likely?

Could simply indicates possibility, not probability, and definitely not certainty. The polls are close (Walker +3, according to a recent survey), so any outcome is still possible.

My guess is he'll be retained by 1 or 2 points.

[Douglas Carpenter]

77. I shall say a prayer

[The Wielding Truth]

79. He is a loser every day of the week!

[Dustlawyer]

80. I am sure they are going to try to "pencil whip" us. We still have all those Diebald voting machine

I have not heard much about them lately but they are like Wall Street regulations, nothing will change. If they have resorted to purge lists, hacking the voting machines is no big deal!

[Doctor_J]

81. WGN Chicago just said he'll win by 3-9%

more likely, IMO. Maybe some day we'll start fighting back for real, but I don't see it happening in my life time.