I've been monitoring Florida Voter Registration Numbers for about a month

[Tony_FLADEM]

12/31/2015 Republican 4,193,586 Democrat 4,520,265

1/31/2016 Republican: 4,209,039 Democrat: 4,534,845

2/29/2016 Republican: 4,284,600 Democrat: 4,576,036

3/1/2016 Republican: 4,286,528 Democrat: 4,577,821

3/2/2016 Republican: 4,287,910 Democrat: 4,579,184

3/3/2016 Republican: 4,289,102 Democrat: 4,580,769

3/4/2016 Republican: 4,290,069 Democrat: 4,581,963

3/6/2016 Republican: 4,291,401 Democrat: 4,583,590

3/7/2016 Republican: 4,291,843 Democrat: 4,584,068

3/8/2016 Republican: 4,293,514 Democrat: 4,585,668

3/9/2016 Republican: 4,294,856 Democrat: 4,587,108

3/10/2016 Republican: 4,296,036 Democrat: 4,588,318

3/11/2016 Republican: 4,297,465 Democrat: 4,589,777

3/14/2016 Republican: 4,299,077 Democrat: 4,591,864

3/15/2016 Republican: 4,302,097 Democrat: 4,595,900

3/16/2016 Republican: 4,321,347 Democrat: 4,596,743



In the month of January the Republicans did a little bit better registering about 1,500 more than the Democrats.

In February they did even better registering about 34,000 more. I figured these are people who want to vote for Donald Trump.

From 3/1 to 3/15 the Democrats did better registering about 1,000 more than the Republicans.

I looked today and the Republicans added a little more than 18,000 to their voter rolls yesterday. The Democrats 843.


I wonder how the heck they added 18,000 in one day when the deadline to vote in the primary was a few weeks ago.

http://registration.elections.myflorida.com/CheckVoterStatus

[rock]

1. How does processing time figure in your calculations?

Or have you already accounted for this?

[Tony_FLADEM]

2. That's a good question.

I don't know how long it takes for them to process voter registrations. I'll monitor it tonight and see if there is a bigger than usual increase for the Democrats. I was just surprised when I saw it today.

[rock]

3. Keep us informed

I don't trust the bastards. Thanks.

[csziggy]

4. Have you factored in the Democrats who changed their registration to vote Republican?

There are some who did so because they don't like the Democratic candidates but even more who did so they can vote for the Republican most likely to lose against the Democratic nominee.

Two of my BILs did that. They are faithful Democrats - one has campaigned for Democratic candidates since 1968 before he was eligible to vote - but they do this as a strategy to reduce the chances the Republicans will win. They've done it since 2008 at least, maybe before that.

[Tony_FLADEM]

5. I don't think this is occuring in any significant numbers

The Democrats have added about 76,500 since the beginning of the year. That's about normal.

[juxtaposed]

6. This most likely the reason^^^^^

[davidn3600]

8. Studies show that is very rare in closed primary states

Sure it happens, but not in any numbers that are significant.

It's also quite risky and subjective. For example, in my opinion, I think Cruz would be easier for us to beat than Trump. Some disagree with that though.

[lpbk2713]

7. As I was leaving my precinct Tuesday ...

I was behind two young men also on their way out. From what they were saying to one another it looked like they had just found out they couldn't vote in the Primary because they had registered NPA. Some of the new Rs and Ds you are seeing may be changing from NPA.

[Baitball Blogger]

9. So, you're saying the Democratic registrations lost momentum after the election?

But the Republicans increased their momentum?

[Tony_FLADEM]

11. The Democrats had the momentum for the month of March outregistering

the Republicans by about 1,000 voters then all of a sudden yesterday the Republican numbers increase by 18,000 in one day which I can't understand.

[ScreamingMeemie]

10. I posted that my daughter was unable to vote in FL primaries because they

claimed she "switched" her registration (that post dropped like a rock). She did not. I don't buy any numbers out of Florida for anything related to voting.