Wisconsin Exit Poll: Obama 51%, Mitt Romney 45 %

[cthulu2016]

Wisconsin Exit Poll: Obama 51%, Mitt Romney 45 %

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entries/early-wisconsin-exit-poll-data-down-to-wire?ref=fpa

This is, in my view, a slightly pro-Walker number (Obama is probably up by 8-10% over Romney in WI) but not indicative of a wildly skewed electorate one way or another. It's consistent with what one would expect from pre-election polling.

(The news stories about Romney contesting Wisconsin are delusional. Obama will win WI easily.)

The hope is an unusually skewed afternoon electorate, in the labor direction. I think the afternoon polling split is slightly Dem-favoring as a rule of thumb.

[HereSince1628]

1. I can't imagine a pro-Walker voter being for Obama. I just can't get my head around that

Walker is a radical polarizing force. If Obama is gonna get moderate independents, I think they also break for Barrett.