General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsMake your prediction: What will Trump say after his loss?
"The system is rigged."
"It's the fault of women and minorities: They fell for the woman-card and pandering instead of voting with their brains."
"It's the fault of the GOP: They didn''t support me enough."
"It's the fault of my staff. They were incompetent. And they are fired."
"But you can read the whole truth in my new tell-all book how I came out of nowhere and almost became President with my brains and charisma. And my huge hands."
mac56
(17,569 posts)"They had to shut me up."
Katashi_itto
(10,175 posts)DetlefK
(16,423 posts)GOP:
The 2008 election turned into a referendum on Bush. During the campaigns, the dominating topic was national-security at first and McCain was leading Obama. Then the recession suddenly moved the topic to economy. The election came down to the choice between a Bush-surrogate and Anybody-but-Bush and Anybody-but-Bush won.
The infighting of the GOP has already defined this election as the choice between Trump and Anybody-but-Trump.
Math:
Trump has a 70% "unfavorable" rating among women. And they make up about 60% of the electorate. That's 42% of the popular vote he can outright forget.
He has a 90% "unfavorable" rating among Latinos. And they make up about 10% of the electorate. As half of them are already female, that's another 4.5% of the popular vote he won't get.
Andsoforth.
And there is even a significant percentage of establishment-Republicans who don't like him at all. If they abstain from voting, that will rob him of another 1 or 2% of the popular vote.
Experience:
Voters like candidates who project confidence. They like candidates who can assure them that they can get shit done. But right now, Trump has nothing to offer but swagger and the GOP is a clown-house in the midst of a pie-fight.
The Democratic Party on the other hand isn't that fractured and if the rumors are true, Bernie Sanders is secretly admitting defeat and switches tactics to empower the social-democratic wing of the Democrats instead of running directly for the WH.
When given the choice between a united party and a party with infighting, voters will subconsciously choose the united party.
Takket
(21,575 posts)rug
(82,333 posts)Response to DetlefK (Original post)
rjsquirrel This message was self-deleted by its author.
MowCowWhoHow III
(2,103 posts)Quackers
(2,256 posts)grossproffit
(5,591 posts)MANative
(4,112 posts)laugh at all you losers. Joke's on you."
TheCowsCameHome
(40,168 posts)Don't count your chickens just yet.
Nobody has this sewed up .
Igel
(35,317 posts)SwankyXomb
(2,030 posts)Fixed that for you.
tabasco
(22,974 posts)Rex
(65,616 posts)He will pretend it was rigged and he didn't want it anyway and then scoff off into the sunset.