Soon It Will Suck to Be Donald Trump
Soon It Will Suck to Be Donald Trumpby Ed Kilgore at NY Magazine
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/05/soon-it-will-suck-to-be-donald-trump.html#
"SNIP..............
Throughout the pre-primary and primary phases of the GOP presidential-nominating process, Trump had a bunch of advantages he will soon lose. He was a novice pol who was regularly defying expectations amidst almost universal predictions of failure. He was the dominant media object in a very crowded field of opponents. He had the strategic flexibility associated with doing relatively well in every region of the country and among every major category of Republican voter. He was independent of any sizable bloc of endorsers, donors, or surrogates, operating from his own tight-knit personal army. He was functioning within a Republican Party dominated by the older white voters that were his principal base, and where the minority voters he so deeply offends were rare and insignificant presences.
Now he is about to become the Titular Head of the Republican Party, with presumed responsibility for a big, divided and (at the moment) fearful coalition of down-ballot candidates and allied constituency and interest groups. Even if he minimizes the value of party support, he'll have to deal with constant advice and admonitions from party officials, many of whom not-so-secretly would prefer that he lose and leave them to inherit the GOP. He's already beginning to hustle money to finance his campaign.
Given the binary nature of general elections, he can no longer count on the kind of huge margins in media coverage he enjoyed when it was 16 Lilliputians trying to overcome the orange-haired Gulliver. For that matter, in Hillary Clinton he will finally face an opponent as well known as he is. He will not be able to run a national campaign that divides and conquers a scattered and regionally dependent opposition. He'll be fighting Clinton one-on-one in the same fixed set of battlefield states. Instead of dealing with an electorate where he can find support all across demographic groups, Trump will be beginning in a deep, deep hole with African-Americans, Latinos, and professional women, with sure support only from groups like non-college-educated conservative white men, which any Republican can and must carry by huge margins.
At key moments in the campaign like the debates, Trump will no longer be addressing an audience that inherently hates "political correctness" and thus has a high tolerance for borderline racist and sexist rhetoric and insult-comedy. And Clinton and her allies will be able deploy their massive oppo-research files on Trump in a consistent, relentless manner very much unlike the occasional, clumsy, and halfhearted Trump-bashing undertaken by his primary opponents and the mainstream media. After all, it's not like Democrats need to treat him with kid gloves because they'll need to appeal to his core supporters down the road.
...............SNIP"
= new reply since forum marked as read
It has all been touted out before. None of it new.
Trump on the other hand has made it easy. Because he is who he is and has been for the same 30 years and very little of it has been brought up before. Yet he has been quite public throughout those same 30 years. Reams of trump being trump and it is about to all come back to haunt him.
The only reason people didn't think Trump would make it this far is because they didn't understand how terribly flawed the republican party is. How years of dog whistles have taken their toll on a party whose base thinks xenophobia is perfectly natural, how they have learned to hate. It should have been obvious with the tea party take over but they and many others refused to believe it. The tea party isn't racist...
So Trump exposed what many knew all along. The republican party has been relying on racism for votes for a long time. Something they have been accused of and denied but it has been shown with Trump how pervasive it is.
It may be a wake up call for the Republican party but his win is not really surprising in the context of the Republican party. It was "Baked in" As Lindsay Graham of all people put it.
That 30 years of Opo reearch has taken its toll on Hillary to be sure but it has also done something else it has made her numbers stable. If you look at this primary and the last one her negative/positive remains almost constant throughout. Trump has no such stability to look forward to.
Going forward to win the GE Trump will have to pull off a herculean task and he will have to do it in the face of a near constant stream of advertisements full of footage of him acting like an ass.
In addition, most feel Sanders (68 percent), Clinton (62 percent), and Cruz (61 percent) have the “temperament” to serve, while most think Trump does not (65 percent).
“Clinton’s advantages over Trump on knowledge and temperament are striking,” comments Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts the Fox News Poll with Republican pollster Daron Shaw. “That could provide a very good foundation for a general election campaign.”
Those numbers are devastating for Trump and will be difficult if not impossible for him to turn around in the face of footage of him treating women like objects and disparaging minorities and all of the rest of his repulsive behavior. Yes a portion of the republican base will revel in it. That portion though large enough inside the republican party to get him through a divided primary, is not nearly large enough to carry a general. To win that he will need a lot of help.
The republican party already had a disadvantage demographically that has been growing and continues to grow mostly because of their past penchant for dog whistle politics. Trump is not doing anything to help that he is almost purposefully making it worse.
Yea it works in a party chock full of bigoted assholes but that is not the general election.
... George and all his "Bushisms." This country cannot take that kind of President again. 
Sarah Palin as Donald Trump's Press Secretary. 
Sweep 'em out of there!
He is a money Worshiper with Organized crime ties. He says out loud that he tries not to have to pay Taxes.
The more they support him, the more they'll be destroying themselves. It's just too good to be true!!!
Go ahead, make my day, get behind that gambler thief greed monster who hates women, and more than a few
other groups of regular folks. The Biggest Loser is gonna take you with him. 
