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ailsagirl

(22,897 posts)
Thu Jun 9, 2016, 06:28 PM Jun 2016

WaPo: Trump is going nowhere with Latino voters. Here’s the proof.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-partisan/wp/2016/06/03/trump-is-going-nowhere-with-latino-voters-heres-the-proof/

=snip=

...the high-water mark for Latino support of a Republican presidential candidate was 44 percent for President George W. Bush in 2004. By 2008, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) earned 31 percent. And Mitt Romney could muster just 27 percent in 2012. This was after a campaign in which he called on undocumented immigrants to “self deport” during the 2012 election. Trump has said much worse. His rhetorical abuse of a federal judge “of Mexican heritage” who also is deciding lawsuits against Trump University is but the latest example.

=snip=

David Damore and Matt Barreto at Latino Decisions went the extra step of looking at six swing states with large or emerging Latino electorates and whose electoral votes will be infinitely more important than total national vote. They can only be described as rough terrain for the Republican Party. Below are those states and the percentage of Latino vote needed for the GOP nominee to win the state, assuming black turnout is not as high in November as it was in 2008 or 2012 and the Latino share of the electorate “slightly increases.”

New Mexico (42 percent): Obama won this state in 2012. Exit polls show Latinos were 37 percent of the electorate. Romney got 29 percent of that vote. Obama got 65 percent.

Ohio (43 percent): Obama won this state in 2012. Exit polls show Latinos were 3 percent of the electorate. Romney got 42 percent of that vote. Obama got 54 percent.

Colorado (44 percent): Obama won this state in 2012. Exit polls show Latinos were 14 percent of the electorate. Romney got 23 percent of that vote. Obama got 75 percent.

Nevada (45 percent): Obama won this state in 2012. Exit polls show Latinos were 19 percent of the electorate. Romney got 24 percent of that vote. Obama got 71 percent.

Virginia (46 percent): Obama won this state in 2012. Exit polls show Latinos were 5 percent of the electorate. Romney got 33 percent of that vote. Obama got 64 percent.

Florida (47 percent): Obama won this state in 2012. Exit polls show Latinos were 17 percent of the electorate. Romney got 39 percent of that vote. Obama got 60 percent.

The Latino Decisions battleground survey from April shows that Trump’s unfavorable rating is an astronomical 87 percent among Latino registered voters. It’s 91 percent in Colorado, 87 percent in Nevada and 84 percent in Florida.
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WaPo: Trump is going nowhere with Latino voters. Here’s the proof. (Original Post) ailsagirl Jun 2016 OP
You mean this outreach didn't work? Doctor Jack Jun 2016 #1
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