Nate Silver gave the Cubs the same chance of winning the Series

[Gman]

As Trump winning the WH when the Cubs were down 3-1.

Just so you know a Trump win can happen.

[TeamPooka]

2. Players don't vote to win.

[MADem]

11. Or their fans, for that matter. It's like trying to compare apples with power tools..

They just don't compare at all!

[ham_actor]

3. Really?

In that case it seems that Nate Silver knows as little about baseball as he does real world politics.

[LuvLoogie]

4. The Cubs' comeback series win took character and teamwork...

Trump has no character and cares only for himself.

[kysrsoze]

6. Bingo! They deserve oodles of respect. He deserves none.

[kysrsoze]

5. Please don't associate the Cubs with that vile piece of excrement!

[Foggyhill]

7. Good grief, that's a stretch

Only thing itvssts is he probably misuses stat...

Also, this is a skills game between very closely matched team, the analogy is plain weird

[Awsi Dooger]

8. Every oddsmaker worth the title had Cleveland a huge favorite at 3-1

Simple matter of estimating game prices based on pitching matchup and home field, then forcing the Cubs to win all 3.

I bet baseball for 20 years and used to do it all the time.

An election is hardly the same dynamic. Trump can't build momentum by winning Florida on Tuesday and then carrying over the positive vibe and positive press toward winning North Carolina the next day, then similar with Colorado two days later.

There is "play" in Hilllary's percentage only due to potential for widespread polling error. If either candidate is sharply underestimated then it possibly will show up in state after state, including the pivotal ones. Nate wisely incorporates that into his model.

[Charles Bukowski]

9. Has a presidential candidate EVER comeback

from the electoral hole Trump is in? 6 days out? I doubt it.

3-1 deficits are overcome much more frequently. This year alone produced 3 in the NBA and MLB (not sure about the NHL).

[Fahrenthold451]

10. He just adjusted his model to 69.7% chance of winning. Up .2%

For the Cubs.

[Gman]

14. I guess at this point it's 100%

[Orrex]

12. Nate's goal is to get clicks for Nate

All else is incidental.

[Gman]

15. Clicks are not his business

A statistician is about more than clicks. And clicks are probably pocket change compared to what he does.

[Orrex]

17. Lovely

I still don't set my watch by him, and I don't value his mercurial prognostications much more than anyone else's.

[Gman]

13. No doubt the methodologies and data are different

But the outcomes from the inputs and calculating of the probabilities yields a number that reflects the chances of the Cubs winning or Trump as president. And the respective probabilities were close in value. That number ended up being about the same as same as flipping a coin 3 times and one time getting heads.

[gratuitous]

19. Well, now that the Cubs have one

I suspect you're right: There will be a sudden groundswell of support for Trump hitherto unknown and unsuspected because . . . Hmmm. Nope, there really isn't any reason Trump will become a more attractive candidate in the next five days. He's still the same misogynistic, xenophobic, bigoted jerk he's been all along.

Just so you know a Trump win isn't going to happen.